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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 10/16/22 at 6:44 pm to JayDeerTay84
Posted on 10/16/22 at 6:44 pm to JayDeerTay84
Yes, that Ukraine suffered heavy losses as the counteroffensive was stopped. Even showing some video said to be from there, more than once in the last week.
Rybar also claimed that Bakhmut was taken more than once, never happened
Rybar also claimed that Bakhmut was taken more than once, never happened
1
Posted on 10/16/22 at 6:49 pm to CitizenK
I have Rybar on follow. They have not claimed what you say. Again, no need to embellish so much.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 6:49 pm to BrianKellyRespecter
quote:
Really wonder what the hell they're up to.
Apparently your commie buddies are still working on their catching skills.
LINK
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:00 pm to JayDeerTay84
I am following their Twitter
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:01 pm to beerJeep
60 Minutes just did a story where they were interviewing people in Bucha who lost family members in the Bucha massacre.
Interviewed a guy who watched his wife and 2 young sons (<10 years old) die right in front of him after being shot then caught in a burning car. jesus christ.
Interviewed a guy who watched his wife and 2 young sons (<10 years old) die right in front of him after being shot then caught in a burning car. jesus christ.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:09 pm to CitizenK
quote:
I am following their Twitter
Then you can post for the classroom Rybar saying Wagner/RUTook Bakhmut.
This post was edited on 10/16/22 at 7:12 pm
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:09 pm to CitizenK
DP.
This post was edited on 10/16/22 at 7:09 pm
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:12 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Big difference in our fields.
Cool
Not sure why you are trying to start a what do you do for a living D measuring contest as if that has any bearing on this thread.
I only said something because twice so far you guys have tried to insinuate that just because I am a contractor that somehow my opinion matters less. Now you are under the assumption that because you are in O&G and have spoken to a Russian businessman you are now a foreign policy expert and are somehow a great war strategist.
You guys all get your sources from the same spot...the internet. Anyone can read it in case you weren't aware of how the internet works.
This post was edited on 10/16/22 at 7:18 pm
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:48 pm to stout
quote:
Now you are under the assumption that because you are in O&G and have spoken to a Russian businessman you are now a foreign policy expert and are somehow a great war strategist.
You guys all get your sources from the same spot...the internet. Anyone can read it in case you weren't aware of how the internet works.
Direct from sources. If we know the same dude with the Ukrainian wife. Let it be known that they are PRO UKRAINE. The former Heritage Scholar is Ukrainian but naturalized US citizen. We are still in contact, he is getting everything from inside sources as well.
So I verify with sources from both sides plus a friend from NOLA who was associated with Trump since 2011, first as a lobbyist for real estate deals then in Trump's campaign who is working with other former active duty Marines in Poland and Ukraine.
Your sources... INTERNET
Edit - The Russian CEO returned by call from his cell phone in mid March from Kazakhstan and we spoke a couple times since then. I had someone interested in buying their demonstration plant, likely didn't have enough funding, but I had to ask him.
This post was edited on 10/16/22 at 7:59 pm
Posted on 10/16/22 at 7:57 pm to GetCocky11
I saw it too, it’s just terrible what they did to those people. Don’t tell BK Respecter though he says Ukraine are the terrorists and Russians are the great liberators. Bucha alone proves the Russians are animals and every one of them that has invaded Ukrainian lands needs to meet the same fate of the civilians they murdered.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:17 pm to LSUPilot07
The Bucha killings were carried out by Ukrainian hard line groups against so-called “collaborators” after Russians had already left the area.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:21 pm to stout
ISW update
quote:
This campaign assessment special edition focuses on the specific parts of Ukrainian territory currently under Russian occupation that are important for the long-term viability of an independent Ukraine. Ukrainian forces are currently conducting a counteroffensive push in Kherson Oblast as of October 16. We will update our maps after information about the new front lines unambiguously enters the open-source environment.
Ukraine must regain certain specific areas currently under Russian occupation to ensure its long-term security and economic viability.
quote:
Ukraine has every right to fight to liberate all the territory Russia has illegally seized, particularly in light of the continued atrocities and ethnic cleansing Russia is perpetrating in the areas it occupies
quote:
However, Ukraine also requires the liberation of the areas mentioned above for purely strategic military and economic reasons
quote:
Ukraine’s hold on its entire western Black Sea coast will remain tenuous as long as Russia holds territory in southwestern Kherson much further north than the 2014 lines.
Tracing defensible lines requires constantly referring to the roughly 25-kilometer maximum effective range of the 152mm artillery system
quote:
Sound military doctrine also teaches that one does not attempt to defend a position by standing on it—reliable defenses must be established well forward of the points or lines that must be held.
quote:
Consideration of key terrain in eastern Kherson and western Zaporizhia Oblasts must integrate security and economic concerns because of the location of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) at Enerhodar.
quote:
Melitopol is a critical junction of roads that run from the Dnipro around the Nova Kakhovka Dam to the Sea of Azov coast and ultimately Mariupol on the one hand and that run from Crimea north to the city of Zaporizhia on the other. If the Russians retain control of Melitopol and the roads running south and east of it, they can and likely will turn it into a major militarized base from which to launch mechanized attacks across the largely flat steppe land to its north and west.
quote:
Further east the weight of consideration becomes more economic. The Donbas—the area of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts divided by the line of control since 2014—had been a single integrated economic unit for centuries.
quote:
The military requirement for that restoration includes the Ukrainian liberation of Mariupol and the road and rail networks north via Volnovakha toward Donetsk City and to the west toward Melitopol and Zaporizhia City
quote:
Similar economic arguments hold for the historically industrial cities of Donetsk, Severodonetsk, and Luhansk.
quote:
Northeastern Ukraine does contain some strategically important areas, however. The towns of Svatove, Starobilsk, and Bilovodsk sit on major road junctions, control of which determines in part which bases in Russia proper the Russians can use to support future attacks in Ukraine directly.
quote:
The Crimean Peninsula, finally, is strategically important for NATO as well as Ukraine.
quote:
Principled legal, moral, and ethical considerations require supporting Ukraine’s efforts to regain its lost lands and people and should not be dismissed. The aim of this essay has been to show that purely military realities and strategic considerations lead to the same conclusion. If Ukraine is to emerge from this war able to defend itself against a future Russian attack and with a viable economy that does not rely on long-term international financial support, it must liberate almost all its territory.
quote:
Key inflections in ongoing military operations on October 16:
Several Russian sources reported renewed Ukrainian assaults in the Kherson direction and Ukrainian sources reported higher-than-average numbers of daily shelling and missile strikes, but Ukrainian forces are maintaining operational silence about any operations.[1]
Ukrainian military officials stated on October 16 that Russian forces are falsely claiming to have captured several towns near Bakhmut in the past several days, but Ukrainian forces have held their lines against Russian attacks.[2] Russian forces are likely falsifying claims of advances in the Bakhmut area to portray themselves as making gains in at least one sector amid continuing losses in northeast and southern Ukraine.
Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate announced a $100,000 bounty for the capture of prominent Russian milblogger and former proxy commander Igor Girkin and confirmed his presence in Ukraine, stating “it is known that one of the most famous Russian terrorists has decided to renew his participation in the war against our state.”[3]
Russian and Belarusian sources continued to report Russian men and material entering Belarus.[4]
Ukrainian sources reported Russian occupation officials in Kherson City are stepping up filtration measures against Ukrainian partisans and accelerating efforts to evacuate key materials and personnel from Kherson to Crimea.[5]
Unknown assailants attacked a military commissariat in the suburbs of Moscow with a Molotov cocktail on October 16.[6]
Local Russian authorities in Krasnodar Krai reportedly intend to mobilize 1,000 more people by December 2022 and discussed proposals to redirect funding from entertainment events so supply mobilized personnel, seemingly contradicting Putin’s announcement that mobilization will conclude by the end of October 2022.[7]
Poor medical care in both frontline and rear-area Russian units is exacerbating already dire morale problems.[8]
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:23 pm to LSUPilot07
Amateur hour for Russian intelligence
@EtoBuziashvili
@EtoBuziashvili
quote:
The Ukrainian defense ministry’s intelligence department (GUR) has claimed that Russian operatives used deepfake technology in an attempt to discredit Ukraine’s partnership with Turkey. 1/5
quote:
According to a GUR Telegram post from October 9, Russian intelligence services attempted to use deepfake technology to call Haluk Bayraktar, CEO of of Baykar Defense, the Turkish defense company providing Bayraktar drones to Ukraine. 2/5
quote:
GUR claimed that ???? intel tried to impersonate Ukraine’s PM Denys Shmyhal in the video call with Bayraktar. However, instead of speaking with the Bayraktar executive, GUR said ???? intel was connected to an “equally fake” individual impersonating a Bayraktar employee. Video ?? 3/5
quote:
GUR added that ???? intel made pronunciation errors when speaking in Ukrainian. Specifically, the speaker used the Ukrainian expression babyne lito (?????? ????, “Grandmother’s summer” or “Indian summer”), but used Russian pronunciation bab’ye lyeto (????? ????) instead. 4/5
quote:
GUR stated that the purpose of ???? operation was to discredit the cooperation between Ukraine and Turkey. At the end of the conversation, the Russian operatives were informed that they had been exposed and would be prosecuted. 5/5 VIDEO:
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:27 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Can Luka survive jumping in?
It will be ugly but he probably will survive.
quote:
His military is basically his enforcement force at home
The Russian military in Belarus will protect him. If it doesn’t then Putain will try to absorb Belarus to officially unite the Russia and Belarus under the banner of the Union State.
This post was edited on 10/16/22 at 8:29 pm
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:30 pm to RickAstley
I thought this was interesting:
@MrKovalenko Twitter
Tweet:
Article:
@MrKovalenko Twitter
Tweet:
quote:
Good catch in #Norway: a Russian man detained at the border with 2 drones, 3 passports, and gigabites of video filmed over #Norvegian energy infrastructure.
Article:
quote:
Norway: Russian man detained with 2 drones near Arctic
Norway has bumped up security at energy installations in the country after numerous drone sightings. The 50-year-old was ordered held in custody for two weeks.
A Norweigan court on Friday ordered a 50-year-old Russian national held in custody for two weeks as he admitted to flying two drones over the country, potentially over critical energy infrastructure.
In recent weeks, there have been numerous drone sightings near the country's offshore oil and gas platforms.
Security has been ratcheted up following explosions that targeted gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea last month.
What do we know about the suspect? The identity of the Russian male was not made public, only that he was detained on Tuesday with three passports in his luggage, two Russian ones and one Israeli, according to local Norweigan media.
Authorities also seized four terabytes of data, some of it encrypted.
Customs officers reportedly located two drones and numerous electronic storage devices during a routine check at the border crossing in Storskog, the only border crossing between Norway, a NATO member, and Russia.
The border between Russia and Norway is 198 kilometers (123 miles) from Arctic land.
Prosecutor Anja Mikkelsen Indbjor told Norwegian broadcaster NRK that the Russian man is suspected of violating sanctions that were put in effect following Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24.
Under the measure, Norway prohibits aircraft, including drones, operated by Russian nationals or companies "to land on, take off from or fly over Norwegian territory."
The VG newspaper reported that the suspect told the Eastern Finnmark District Court in Vadso that he had been in Norway since August and flew the drones across the country.
Jens Bernhard Herstad, the defense attorney for the Russian national, has said his client acknowledged flying drones across Norway but has not told the court why he is in the country other than as a tourist on vacation.
Justice Minister Emilie Enger Mehl said it was still "too early to draw conclusions." After police review the seized material, charges against the Russian man could be expanded.
Enger Mehl told the broadcaster NRK, "It is known that we have an intelligence threat against us which has been reinforced by what is happening in Europe."
What is the nature of the security threat facing Norway? As European states seek to reduce reliance on Russian energy sources, Norway has become a key source of natural gas for those countries.
Last month, explosions ripped up two gas pipelines running through the Baltic Sea that had been built to bring Russian gas to Germany. Those blasts occurred in the exclusive economic zones of Denmark and Sweden, just beyond the reach of their territorial waters.
While Russia has not been blamed for the blasts, it has been excluded from partaking in the official investigations being carried out by the Danes and the Swedes.
Since the explosions, security has been heightened around critical infrastructure in Norway and the region. The Norwegian military Home Guard has been called up to protect sensitive sites.
Even before last month's undersea incidents, the Petroleum Safety Authority in Norway had advised energy firms to be alert to the possibility of unwanted drones.
On Thursday, police responded to a threat phoned in against the Nyhamna gas plant, among Europe's largest facilities for exporting energy.
ar/fb (AP, Reuters)
Posted on 10/16/22 at 8:58 pm to BrianKellyRespecter
Oh get fricked you Putin loving douchebag. You know good and damn well who did that and it wasn’t Ukrainians. How about you answer my question you’ve been avoiding. You can’t can you?
Posted on 10/16/22 at 9:02 pm to LSUPilot07
I reject the entire premise of the question.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 9:05 pm to RickAstley
This is an interesting take on Russia:
LINK
LINK
quote:
Putin believes that his regime can survive a defeat in Ukraine so long as the depoliticized order holds. While Russia runs a greater risk of defeat in Ukraine by refusing to mobilize, Putin believes that increasing his likelihood of victory in Ukraine via mobilization would also increase the likelihood of his being overthrown.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 9:20 pm to Mr Happy
Talk about being between a rock and a hard place.
Posted on 10/16/22 at 9:27 pm to BrianKellyRespecter
How can you reject the premise when you are the one calling the Ukrainians terrorists? Please tell me how they are the terrorists when they were invaded by Russia. You can’t. So you try to sound smart by saying you reject the premise of the question but in truth it just shows your stupidity.
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