re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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More drunk arrivals for duty… with English subtitles

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I think the cheapest most effective weapon Ukraine could drop on Russian soldiers looks like this:

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That map looks oddly familiar.

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As the football coach says, if you got a play that works, keep running it until they show they can stop it.

ISW Update

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Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s declarations about which categories of Russian males will be exempted from partial mobilization may not reflect Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intentions or orders

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Responsibility for the partial mobilization appears to be divided and complex, possibly contributing to confusion, disorganization, and violations of Shoigu’s commitments regarding exemptions.

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The military commissars are generally acting as if they had received orders to prioritize getting bodies to training centers over adhering to Shoigu’s guidelines, and the seemingly confused chains of responsibility for executing the mobilization decree may be responsible for the divergence between Shoigu’s statements and commissars’ actions.

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Positions held by senior Russian military leadership are continuing to change hands, suggesting that Russian President Vladimir Putin is continuing to see systemic problems as the result of the personal failings of senior subordinates.

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Russian forces may be preparing to forcibly mobilize Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) to fight for Russia, which would constitute a violation of the Geneva Convention on Prisoners of War.

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Key Takeaways

Local military commissars are carrying out mobilization orders in a way that suggests a possible disconnect between Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu’s guidelines for partial mobilization and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s demands for haste.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is likely continuing to address systemic issues in Russian senior command by replacing individual senior subordinates.

Russia may be preparing to forcibly mobilize Ukrainian prisoners of war in what may constitute a violation of the Geneva Convention on Prisoners of War.

Ukrainian forces likely continued to make gains along the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border and northwest of Lyman.

Ukrainian military officials indicated that the continued Ukrainian interdiction campaign in southern Ukraine is degrading Russian combat capabilities.

Russian sources identified three locations where Ukrainian troops conducted ground operations in Kherson Oblast- northern Kherson Oblast, western Kherson Oblast near the Inhulets River, and northwest of Kherson City near the Mykolaiv-Kherson Oblast border.

Russian forces conducted ground attacks around Bakhmut, Donetsk City, and in western Donetsk Oblast.

Russian authorities continue to coerce residents of occupied Ukrainian territory into voting in sham referenda.

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Russian soldiers tweet pictures of their "new" weapons issued.

LINK

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 25 September 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

On 21 September 2022, high-profile Russian nationalist Duma member Aleksandr Khinstein called for the partial mobilisation of Russia's military to be extended to the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia).

Rosgvardia units have played an important role in both combat and rear-area security in Ukraine and are currently facilitating accession referendums in occupied areas. The force is intended for use in domestic security roles, to ensure the continuity of Putin's regime. It was particularly ill-prepared for the intense fighting it has experienced in Ukraine.

With a requirement to quell growing domestic dissent in Russia, as well as operational taskings in Ukraine, Rosgvardia is highly likely under particular strain. There is a realistic possibility that mobilisation will be used to reinforce Rosgvardia units with additional manpower.

Dagestan - anti-mobilization protests reported in a variety of places. One example of many...

Dagestan is rapidly becoming Russia's most 'troublesome' region. This morning locals gathered to protest against the mobilisation on the Khasavyurt-Makhachkala highway near the village of Endirei. Machine gun fire can be heard

Twitter

I’ll join you when you hit page 812.

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Anti-mobilization protests in Dagestan with police firing warning shots in the air.

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e

Considering that ethnic Russians make up less than 5% and Islam is over 80%, I'm going to take a wild guess that being killed demonstrating gets one either 72 virgins or 36 pearly boys, thus desirable

If Putin were ever stupid enough to use battlefield nukes then NATO would have no choice but to intervene. If that happens a million new Russian cannon fodder with rusted out AKs won’t make a damn bit of difference. Western air support alone would wipe out any Russian resistance in Ukraine, they wouldn’t even have to put an actual boot on the ground. Putin is crazy but he’s not that crazy. He knows he doesn’t want that fire.