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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:49 pm to SoonerK
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:49 pm to SoonerK
quote:
Since you have "come to peace" with it, I guess we can expect you to stop posting here as you will be spending your last few days/months out enjoying your remaining time on this Earth right?
Don't tell him that. He'll be Jerking in San Diego to cross something off of his bucket list
1
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:55 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
If it does go nuclear, I expect you all to put on a Roman Triumph for me. I’ve come to peace that there’s a good chance that’s going to happen, but might be a shock for the rest of you.
Is there anything you don't over-dramatize?
Posted on 9/22/22 at 11:56 pm to CitizenK
quote:
He'll be Jerking in San Diego to cross something off of his bucket list
Posted on 9/23/22 at 12:04 am to OMLandshark
You’re still holding onto that idea of yours that Russia will use nukes against Ukraine?
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 1:11 am
Posted on 9/23/22 at 6:37 am to Obtuse1
Can one of you military guys tell us where we should be looking now at the maps? Chrome (i think) said something a few pages back but I can't seem to find it now. He said if the U's break through at so and so it would be big time. (not his exact wording).
Posted on 9/23/22 at 6:39 am to RLDSC FAN
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE
23 September 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
In the last three days, Ukrainian forces have secured bridgeheads on the east bank of the Oskil River in Kharkiv Oblast. Russia has attempted to integrate the Oskil into a consolidated defensive line following its forces' withdrawals earlier in the month.
To the south, in Donetsk Oblast, fighting is ongoing as Ukrainian forces assault the town of Lyman, east of the Siverskyy Donets River, which Russia captured in May.
The battlefield situation remains complex, but Ukraine is now putting pressure on territory Russia considers essential to its war aims.
UPDATE ON UKRAINE
23 September 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
In the last three days, Ukrainian forces have secured bridgeheads on the east bank of the Oskil River in Kharkiv Oblast. Russia has attempted to integrate the Oskil into a consolidated defensive line following its forces' withdrawals earlier in the month.
To the south, in Donetsk Oblast, fighting is ongoing as Ukrainian forces assault the town of Lyman, east of the Siverskyy Donets River, which Russia captured in May.
The battlefield situation remains complex, but Ukraine is now putting pressure on territory Russia considers essential to its war aims.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:03 am to jeffsdad
quote:
Can one of you military guys tell us where we should be looking now at the maps? Chrome (i think) said something a few pages back but I can't seem to find it now. He said if the U's break through at so and so it would be big time. (not his exact wording).
Zaphorzhzhia oblast between ukr territory and azov sea like make an advance in the direction of meliotopol or berdyansk. Russia would be totally fricked if they were able to do that.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:37 am to cypher
I guess "partial mobilization" means they are drafting people that are partially mobile...
63 year-old retired lieutenant colonel Alexander Yermolayev from Volgograd Region says he has been called up to fight in Ukraine
He suffers from diabetes and cerebral ischaemia but said he hasn't undergone any medical checks and was passed fit to serve by a military doctor
Translated tweet
63 year-old retired lieutenant colonel Alexander Yermolayev from Volgograd Region says he has been called up to fight in Ukraine
He suffers from diabetes and cerebral ischaemia but said he hasn't undergone any medical checks and was passed fit to serve by a military doctor
Translated tweet
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:31 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The third arrow, from Severodonetsk, breaks Russian defense in the northern Donbas, threatens the Russian flank of its Donbas offensive, and advances Ukrainian logistics for future attacks on the "peoples' republics." This guy, Robert Bor, says that (unlike elsewhere) Lyman cannot really be bypassed. He says that Lyman will need to be a Ukrainian base for attacks further east, and that's why Ukraine didn't bypass it to attack Kreminna and/or Svatove.
Lyman will eventually have to be conquered, but for now it can be start to encircle it which hopefully results in the Russians fleeing like they have done many times before. If the Russians don’t flee the Ukrainians can encircle Lyman and bypass it.
quote:
The Russian Army is about to experience the next major defeat. Lyman is about to be liberated and the Russian units in Drobysheve are either encircled or eliminated.
LINK
It looks like the last major barrier to encircling Lyman will fall shortly (if it hasn’t already). If I was the Ukrainian commander I would move to encircle and cut off Lyman and then push towards gettIng behind Severodonetsk. Once the Ukrainians are near Severodonetsk 3 of the 4 remaining Russian rail lines to the Donbas and all of the rail roads to the Luhansk oblast will be in HIMARS range. 2 of the 3 have major bridges across across the SD river which can be destroyed with HIMARs and the 3rd one has a tunnel as well as a major rail yards which would be in HIMARS range. Plus Luhansk city itself would be within HIMARS range. Let’s see if the Russians can conduct their fake elections under bombardment.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:41 am to OMLandshark
quote:
If it does go nuclear, I expect you all to put on a Roman Triumph for me. I’ve come to peace that there’s a good chance that’s going to happen, but might be a shock for the rest of you.
You still wouldn't know who to blame, even though only one side is using the nuclear rhetoric.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:42 am to WeeWee
Just one source here, but this squares with some of the other observations about discrepancies between levels of mobilization in the provinces and the bigger Russian cities.
LINK
quote:
Russian authorities plan to conscript 1.2 million people for their “partial mobilization,” Meduza has learned from a source close to one of the country’s federal ministries.
Additionally, a source close to Moscow’s leadership told Meduza that up to 16,000 people from the capital are slated to be drafted. This was confirmed by a source close to one of Russia’s federal ministries. Authorities in St. Petersburg plan to draft roughly 3,200 people, according to a source close to the Presidential Envoy to Russia’s Northwestern Federal District.
A source close to one of the country’s federal ministries noted that authorities “recommended keeping recruitments to a minimum” in regional capitals. Instead, the government is conscripting people “in rural areas, where there’s no media, no opposition, and more support [for the war],” said the source.
LINK
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:42 am to WeeWee
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:46 am to WeeWee
quote:
Lyman is about to be liberated
quote:
A fierce pancake
@SayItLoud19
@Tendar
It's 'about to be liberated' for at least a week now
From your twitter link
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:51 am to SDVTiger
Well, there's no way for Russia to really defend Lyman. Lots of reasonable people thought that Russian forces would retreat east to areas that can be better supplied.
I'm actually happy that didn't happen. It's going to mean more Russian tanks and equipment get left behind for Ukraine to take and use.
I'm actually happy that didn't happen. It's going to mean more Russian tanks and equipment get left behind for Ukraine to take and use.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:52 am to CitizenK
quote:
The Dutch are soooo scared of Putain and his nukes and of course his natural gas...
That was hilarious
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:56 am to BrianKellyRespecter
quote:
Zaphorzhzhia oblast between ukr territory and azov sea like make an advance in the direction of meliotopol or berdyansk. Russia would be totally fricked if they were able to do that.
Zaphorzhzhia oblast makes the most sense but I do not know if Ukraine has the logistical capacity to launch a 3rd offensive right now. Even though the lines in the east and south offensives are not moving much the fighting is intense and the Ukrainians are having to move a lot of supplies across its rail network which is already stretched beyond breaking and per my sauce(s) in Ukrainian intel they had more locomotives in the shop this week than they had operating. They are practically begging the USA and the EU to send any freight locomotives diesel or electric that they can spare right now and both the USA and the EU are not listening.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:12 am to jeffsdad
Jeffsdad, I put this together for you.
ETA: This is a good link to bookmark, its the sourcemap I used for this post. https://soar.earth/maps/13238?pos=48.58396564303461%2C31.12762899500001%2C6.66
This is a map of the overall front. There are three areas to watch.
1: Eastern Front
2: Central Front (also known as the Zaporizhzhia Front)
3: Southern Front
1: On the eastern front Ukraine is currently attempting to take Lyman (#1 on map) Russia is fighting fiercely to keep it because if it falls to Ukraine, it opens up the flank of Severdonetsk. Simultaneously, they are pushing on #2 to interdict the railway (black line). Ultimately Ukraine will want to take #3 as it represents the remaining Russian Rail hub in the center of the region.
2: On the Central Front, there are multiple reports that Ukraine is building combat power to launch an assault on Melitopol. This entire area is strategically important because it is the land bridge to Crimea. Establishing the land bridge to Crimea was one of Russia's primary goals. Without this landbridge, Russia is forced to rely on the bridge across the Kerch strait as the only road into Crimea. If Ukraine takes Melitopol, then Russia's entire offensive is in danger of collapse.
3: On the Southern Front, The Russians are trapped on the north side of the river because Ukraine has taken out the only two bridges. Russia cannot effectively supply their troops in this area. Ukraine has been slowly advancing, their likely strategy being to let the Russian combat power wither away without supply. Ukraine has the luxury of time here.
ETA: This is a good link to bookmark, its the sourcemap I used for this post. https://soar.earth/maps/13238?pos=48.58396564303461%2C31.12762899500001%2C6.66
This is a map of the overall front. There are three areas to watch.
1: Eastern Front
2: Central Front (also known as the Zaporizhzhia Front)
3: Southern Front
1: On the eastern front Ukraine is currently attempting to take Lyman (#1 on map) Russia is fighting fiercely to keep it because if it falls to Ukraine, it opens up the flank of Severdonetsk. Simultaneously, they are pushing on #2 to interdict the railway (black line). Ultimately Ukraine will want to take #3 as it represents the remaining Russian Rail hub in the center of the region.
2: On the Central Front, there are multiple reports that Ukraine is building combat power to launch an assault on Melitopol. This entire area is strategically important because it is the land bridge to Crimea. Establishing the land bridge to Crimea was one of Russia's primary goals. Without this landbridge, Russia is forced to rely on the bridge across the Kerch strait as the only road into Crimea. If Ukraine takes Melitopol, then Russia's entire offensive is in danger of collapse.
3: On the Southern Front, The Russians are trapped on the north side of the river because Ukraine has taken out the only two bridges. Russia cannot effectively supply their troops in this area. Ukraine has been slowly advancing, their likely strategy being to let the Russian combat power wither away without supply. Ukraine has the luxury of time here.
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 10:59 am
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:19 am to Chromdome35
Very much appreciated!!
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:19 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Lyman is about to be liberated
quote:
A fierce pancake
@SayItLoud19
@Tendar
It's 'about to be liberated' for at least a week now
From your twitter link
Ukraine has been pushing to encircle Lyman for a week or so. Drobysheve was the last major Russian stronghold preventing it from being encircled. If the stuff information reported in the tweet I posted is true and the Russian forces in Drobysheve have been encircled or eliminated then the path to encircling Lyman is open.
What is funny about that Mr Shite Poster?
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 9:29 am
Posted on 9/23/22 at 9:26 am to SlimTigerSlap
quote:
The Dutch are soooo scared of Putain and his nukes and of course his natural gas...
That was hilarious
Well St. Maarten (a Dutch territorial kingdom) is already as corrupt as Russia and the Russian mafia did not want to play ball with Putin and his mobsters already have control of everything there. So the Dutch do have experience dealing with the problems of annexing Russia.
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