re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

it only made the news because Taiwan. Yeehawers are going to YEEHAW. Chicken Littles are going to shiver in fear of something quite the norm.

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My experience is late 1980's when they were all sleeve bearings. The lead babbit in the sleeve bearings had scrap value well over the rest of the car.

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Being a woodworker that has rehabbed a lot of old machine I have poured a Babbit bearing or two in my life but I didn't know any train trucks ever used lead Babbits at least not in the 20th century. In the US at least friction bearings were usually made from brass and oil soaked. The brass did not circle the axle but just the top half since it isn't like it was going to bounce out. I won't say there are no friction bearings left on US cars but roller bearings have been the standard since the 60's but it took a long time for most of the friction bearing trucks to be switch to roller bearings.

All that said I have no idea what Russia uses in its trucks (bogies). It may be primarily friction bearings. That said any basic machine shop could fabricate the brass friction bearings used on US cars.

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They don’t dare even try to fly their “stealth” Su-57 in Ukrainian airspace, even Russian held Ukrainian lands.

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They only have 12 of them and 2 of them are the original prototypes designed only for concept testing. The other 10 are being used for public demonstrations and testing purposes. Theses were never intended to be used for combat. Basically Russia only has one squadron of 5th generation fighters on paper.

Through the 80's a profit center for scrap yards was lead babbit from railcars. The axles were rolled into T fence posts. Scrap rail was rolled into steel bed frames.

Major railcar parts manufacturer shows new design here.
LINK

Interesting if true, That puts the entire Crimea area in range. The Kerch Bridge is now hittable.

https://twitter.com/WarfareReports/status/1566075646094213120

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???? Unconfirmed: Germany has transferred an unnamed number of long-range JFS-M missiles to Ukraine for the Himars MLRS which have a target engagement range of up to 499 kilometers.

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Unconfirmed: Germany has transferred an unnamed number of long-range JFS-M missiles to Ukraine for the Himars MLRS which have a target engagement range of up to 499 kilometers

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My take on Russia fully shutting down nordstream 1 at the start of September is things are not going well for Mother Russia. Once the gas flow is fully shut there is no more reason for fence sitting by Germany. So long as some gas was flowing Russia continued to have some level of leverage over Germany to keep their heavy weapons off the battle field and support for Ukraine somewhat muted.

This is not a card I would expect Russia to play at all or at the very least this early if things were going well.

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 4 September 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

Russian forces continue to suffer from morale and discipline issues in Ukraine. In addition to combat fatigue and high casualties, one of the main grievances from deployed Russian soldiers probably continues to be problems with their pay.

In the Russian military, troops' income consists of a modest core salary, augmented by a complex variety of bonuses and allowances. In Ukraine, there has highly likely been significant problems with sizable combat bonuses not being paid. This is probably due to inefficient military bureaucracy, the unusual legal status of the 'special military operation', and at least some outright corruption amongst commanders.

The Russian military has consistently failed to provide basic entitlements to troops deployed in Ukraine, including appropriate uniform, arms and rations, as well as pay. This has almost certainly contributed to the continued fragile morale of much of the force,

ISW Update Sept 3

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Ukrainian officials directly stated on September 3 that the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive in southern Ukraine is an intentionally methodical operation to degrade Russian forces and logistics, rather than one aimed at immediately recapturing large swathes of territory.

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The Kremlin could intensify its efforts to promote self-censorship among Russian milbloggers and war correspondents who cover the war in Ukraine.

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Key Takeaways

Ukrainian officials directly stated that the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive is a methodical operation to intentionally degrade Russian forces and logistics in the south, rather than one aimed at immediately recapturing large swathes of territory.

The Kremlin may be intensifying efforts to foster self-censorship among Russian milbloggers and war correspondents who are covering the war in Ukraine.

Ukrainian military officials reported that Ukrainian forces continued positional battles along the Kherson-Mykolaiv frontline and that Ukrainian troops are focusing on striking Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs), equipment and manpower concentrations, and logistics nodes along the Southern Axis.

Social media footage shows evidence of effective Ukrainian strikes in western and central Kherson Oblast.

Russian mibloggers continue to claim that Ukrainian forces are fighting in western Kherson Oblast, along the Inhulets River, and in northern Kherson south of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border.

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northeast and south of Bakhmut and north and southwest of Donetsk City.

Ukrainian forces may be conducting localized attacks along the line of contact in Western Zaporizhia Oblast to disrupt ongoing Russian troop deployments.

Russian authorities continue to generate combat power from recruitment through state-owned enterprises and prisons to circumvent general mobilization.

Russian occupation authorities are increasingly struggling to provide basic services in occupied areas of Ukraine.

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insane anti-energy climate policies

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That's all going to blow up this winter. In three years they will be burning coal like crazy. And there may be some curiosity now for the latest and greatest nuclear power plant technology. But they are going to have to fight off the greenies to do it.

The USA is producing more than ever in oil (not including the 2 million BPD of stripper wells never reopened after 2020) and natural gas. The issue is getting the gas to Europe and distributed. While there are several LNG receiving terminals on the Iberian Peninsula (Portugal and Spain), pipeline capacity to even France is almost nonexistent. It is pretty much that way for much of Europe, with each country having done its own thing for decades and next to no coordination with even its neighbors.

There are pipelines from Norway to Denmark Sweden and Germany, and also to the UK.