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re: JBE: Shelter in place "may be necessary" in LA

Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:31 pm to
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:31 pm to
I'm surprised we haven't already. Currently the mortality rate is running around 4% global. Kinda scary.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 7:32 pm
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
119953 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

No because they’re all closed


Dentist are closed unless you have an emergency so in other words, if you have a teeth cleaning coming up you will have to wait at least a month to get one.

You can still order out from restaurants, you just can't go inside and eat.

If you need emergency surgery you will receive it. If its not life threatening you will just have to put it on hold for a little while.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11011 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised we haven't already. Currently the mortality rate is running around 4% global. Kinda scary.



quote:

Many health experts have predicted that death rates overall will decrease as the number of cases rises and testing expands. The US's experience offers evidence of that: As of Tuesday, its death rate had dropped to 1.7% from 5.9% about two weeks ago; in the 12 days between calculations, the number of people tested in the US jumped to more than 58,000 from fewer than 2,000. Widespread testing could mean a lower death rate because most COVID-19 cases — about 80% — are considered mild.


Stop the fear mongering!
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 7:37 pm
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
15916 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:35 pm to
The shelter in place order would still have to allow trips to the grocery, doctor, and other places. It would take people dropping dead in the street and people being actually scared for them to shelter in place.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
62151 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Currently the mortality rate is running around 4% global.


3.4% at the highest estimate, with China, Iran and Italy being the outliers bumping the rate up.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464773 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

Currently the mortality rate is running around 4% global. Kinda scary.

it's below 1.5% for US and falling every update
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 7:39 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

You can still order out from restaurants,


No shite? So I was just lucky I had $90 of Chinese Food delivered from Five Happiness about 30 minutes ago?

Thanks Chris for letting me know I can still order food from restaurants
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:39 pm to
Ok 3.4% is huge. Do you realize what that could equate to for the US if that number is true?
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84336 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:39 pm to
Also not every person who contracted the virus got tested.
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
70762 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

it's below 1.5% for US and falling every update



And will likely drop further as more testing is completed. There are a lot of asymptomatic or very mild cases that aren't confirmed via testing.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 7:44 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464773 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Ok 3.4% is huge. Do you realize what that could equate to for the US if that number is true?


a lot

good thing it's well below that rate
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464773 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Also not every person who contracted the virus got tested.

possibly the majority of people who have it are asymptomatic, so yeah, it's going to go much lower

plus the old folks home in Washington is still severely skewing the data
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11011 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Ok 3.4% is huge. Do you realize what that could equate to for the US if that number is true?


Are you fricking retarded? Yes or no? You clearly can’t interpret data to see the death rate in The US tanked in a matter of 12 days
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31733 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:41 pm to
The thing that frustrates me is that we have no way of knowing for sure if all of this was worth it. If the virus doesn't explode and wipe 5% of us out, then everyone will say this was all done for nothing. It'll all have been an over-reaction and all actions were panic stricken reactive measures.

But perhaps the reason it doesn't explode is BECAUSE we took these measures, keeping it from wiping out 5% of our population.

We'll never know for sure.

If the tide avoided, it'll cause lose-lose perception.
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:41 pm to
I do hope is it below that rate and I do feel like that rate will work its way down. But is it right to wait and see what it is and not do anything about it? Or should we be proactive in the event that number is correct?
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

Ok 3.4% is huge. Do you realize what that could equate to for the US if that number is true?




3.4% is wildly incorrect.

They’re measuring that based off confirmed deaths vs confirmed cases and they’ve tested almost no one and the few they have tested they only test of highly likely to have it anyway. Currently in the USA it’s sitting around 1.5-2% and dropping each day.

But at 3.4% you’re looking at 13.5 million dead or an average of 250,000 per state:
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85425 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 pm to
This is happening
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13462 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 pm to
It’s going to be interesting to see how many contracted it during MG. Let’s face it, bourbon street is far off from a Wuhan market filth wise.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

SlowFlowPro


Bruh you have been spouting and regurgitating some much bullshite the past few days especially today. I think it’s time you take a break.

I can’t wait to go back in a few weeks and quote some of your asinine post.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464773 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

But is it right to wait and see what it is and not do anything about it? Or should we be proactive in the event that number is correct?

the question is cost...or more benefit cost/benefit
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