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re: Japanese bank will pay WeWork ceo Neumann $2b to go away. (Payoff details are insane)

Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:37 pm to
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
36165 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Amazon is profitable, mostly driven by AWS.



AWS is by far their largest profit center within Amazon hence why Microsoft, Google, AliBaba and IBM are throwing 18-wheeler loads of cash at their cloud platforms.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
26960 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

It's almost smart, they have ensured they won't be allowed to go bankrupt/fail - too many other parties who would be negatively affected.


In the short term, yes. Long-term (and not that long), they've provided the playbook to backfill their vacated space. It's already well outfitted to move a more stable competitor in right behind them, or a REIT can develop a platform to operate that space themselves.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41084 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

i think Amazon has started to turn a profit the past 2 years or so


Yes, on an annual basis. Not only that, but Amazon is getting close to running out of their net operating losses and credits that have been carrying over since the beginning. They are about to start, on an overall start to now basis, being profitable, and paying taxes.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

i don't think Uber is anywhere close

I'm not a financial guru nor have I ever cared enough to really look into it, but I just don't unerstand what the heck Uber spends so much money on to not be able to make a profit?
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41084 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

But its not a tech company. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

They buy real estate, paint it hipster colors, and lease/sub-lease it out.

It's just a real estate company.


They don't even buy the real estate, just lease it and sublease it out.

It's Regus with millennial flair and a better reservation app.
Posted by PrettyBird
Aspen
Member since Feb 2010
10409 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

REIT can develop a platform to operate that space themselves.


I would try this route, if I owned a building they were leasing. They (wework) don't have a problem finding tenants for their offices, and this whole co-working space as we move into more consulting/free lance type jobs, has really taken off.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41084 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

I'm not a financial guru nor have I ever cared enough to really look into it, but I just don't unerstand what the heck Uber spends so much money on to not be able to make a profit?


It's a revenue issue, not a spending one. They have been buying market share by being cheaper than alternatives such as taxis. They need to raise their rates if they want to make money.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
26960 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

I would try this route, if I owned a building they were leasing.

The only issue is that you need some scale to make the economics work. That's why REITs can do it. They own a bunch of buildings, so it makes sense to invest in your own short-term sublease operator who can control all their co-working space and develop a brand name. Then your can also contract out to buildings owned by others.

The co-working idea has legs, but you need some scale.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

It's a revenue issue, not a spending one. They have been buying market share by being cheaper than alternatives such as taxis. They need to raise their rates if they want to make money.

But I guess I'm asking in the very literal sense, what the heck are they spending billions of dollars on?

And again I'm asking admittedly from a clueless perspective. The way the company is set up with drivers not being employees, I just don't get where the high expenses are going.
Posted by Bruco
Charlotte, NC
Member since Aug 2016
3026 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:47 pm to
[img]As an aside, most institutional owners were limiting We's presence in their buildings to around 10% of square footage to limit systemic fallout should something happen. There's been skepticism in the industry for awhile.[/img]

The building I work out of limited WeWork to 3 of 19 floors. They tried to lease 3 more full floors, owners said no thanks.

There definitely skepticism and has been for a while. But there are certainly some owners who saw the lease dollars and saw how that might inflate the value of their building who went heavy on WeWork
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
26960 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

The way the company is set up with drivers not being employees, I just don't get where the high expenses are going.

Most of the fare goes to the driver, I would guess. Then, technology infrastructure, talent, R&D, marketing, etc. That all costs a ton.
Posted by GeeOH
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2013
13376 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:52 pm to
They are doing it for a reason. They will turn it around and make 10x that money.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87561 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

But I guess I'm asking in the very literal sense, what the heck are they spending billions of dollars on?

And again I'm asking admittedly from a clueless perspective. The way the company is set up with drivers not being employees, I just don't get where the high expenses are going.


This is from their second quarter 10-Q filing. That's just for the quarter.



This post was edited on 10/22/19 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9924 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

The idea was a good one but like Zillow they strayed far from the original idea.



What was the original Zillow idea?
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36231 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

i honestly think WeWork will be the inflection point on the tech bubble
Did you catch that Atlantic article someone shared on here the other day?

LINK

quote:

Starting about a decade ago, a fleet of well-known start-ups promised to change the way we work, work out, eat, shop, cook, commute, and sleep. These lifestyle-adjustment companies were so influential that wannabe entrepreneurs saw them as a template, flooding Silicon Valley with “Uber for X” pitches.

But as their promises soared, their profits didn’t. It’s easy to spend all day riding unicorns whose most magical property is their ability to combine high valuations with persistently negative earnings—something I’ve pointed out before. If you wake up on a Casper mattress, work out with a Peloton before breakfast, Uber to your desk at a WeWork, order DoorDash for lunch, take a Lyft home, and get dinner through Postmates, you’ve interacted with seven companies that will collectively lose nearly $14 billion this year. If you use Lime scooters to bop around the city, download Wag to walk your dog, and sign up for Blue Apron to make a meal, that’s three more brands that have never recorded a dime in earnings, or have seen their valuations fall by more than 50 percent.
quote:

But this was never going to last forever. WeWork’s disastrous IPO attempt has triggered reverberations across the industry. The theme of consumer tech has shifted from magic to margins. Venture capitalists and start-up founders alike have re-embraced an old mantra: Profits matter.
quote:

This example is not a hypothetical. The meal-kit company Blue Apron revealed before its public offering that the company was spending about $460 to recruit each new member, despite making less than $400 per customer. From afar, the company looked like a powerhouse. But from a unit-economics standpoint—that is, by looking at the difference between customer value and customer cost—Blue Apron wasn’t a “company” so much as a dual-subsidy stream: first, sponsoring cooks by refusing to raise prices on ingredients to a break-even level; and second, by enriching podcast producers. Little surprise, then, that since Blue Apron went public, the firm’s valuation has crashed by more than 95 percent.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182516 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

once the cult-like veneer of confidence cracks, these stocks are revealed to be a flea circus and crash. we're out of good tech ideas and into things like WeWork being pushed as "tech" to convince people to invest in it



Tilman Fertitta made some LA people rich but greatly overpaid for Waitr. Thankfully he can use it for Ladry's at the very least even when everyone else jumps to Uber Eats and Grubhub as has been happening.

Now Lake Charles is at it again with an app moving into crowded space. Some app named Gophr that does the same thing as Postmates as far as I can tell. It's not even built yet and they leased the old United Way building downtown.

LINK
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32893 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 2:28 pm to
To be a website for people to track real estate and potentially use as kind of a FSBO market.

Now they are actively involved in flipping houses all over the country and are going at it very quickly, and according to Eisman, without nearly enough local expertise.
Posted by secfballfan
Member since Feb 2016
3578 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 3:00 pm to
there are wall street analysts who think Uber will never make an operating profit..ever, insurance costs for them are too high and there are only so many people who will work for so little $ per hour, driverless cars will kill them although they are entering this market as well
Posted by blowmeauburn
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2006
8062 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Wow, never seen anything like this he is getting paid to leave a company he destroyed.


How did he destroy it? It's the same as its always been. Not his fault that Softbank didn't do their due diligence. Good for him.
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
61475 posts
Posted on 10/22/19 at 3:24 pm to
I still don't understand how banks and investors thought a business that is little more than a go between property owners and renters was a billion dollar company.
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