- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
IHMA HealthData Projections Plummet for Louisiana COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:07 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:07 pm
The April 5, 2020 update believes that we have already hit our peak in resource use and deaths per day will peak tomorrow. At one point, it was projecting nearly 2,000 deaths in Louisiana, but now projects less than 800 by August 2020.
It shows overall USA death projection as being less than 85,000.
Obviously, we have no idea how accurate this will be, but it seems to be rapidly improving as more information becomes available and is added to the projections.
LINK
At the top, where it says "United States of American" click on the drop-down menu and select "Louisiana".
Hopefully, the numbers in the coming days will be somewhat close to these projections.
It shows overall USA death projection as being less than 85,000.
Obviously, we have no idea how accurate this will be, but it seems to be rapidly improving as more information becomes available and is added to the projections.
LINK
At the top, where it says "United States of American" click on the drop-down menu and select "Louisiana".
Hopefully, the numbers in the coming days will be somewhat close to these projections.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 11:09 pm
18
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:08 pm to TigersSEC2010
Would be awesome if their model is near the mark.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:09 pm to TigersSEC2010
Great news
I think one of the takeaways from this will be the need for a much more consistent and reliable reporting system.
There is a lot of variability in the numbers due to different states reporting in different ways.
I think one of the takeaways from this will be the need for a much more consistent and reliable reporting system.
There is a lot of variability in the numbers due to different states reporting in different ways.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:10 pm to TigersSEC2010
That sounds more like what i was expecting....under 1000. Since we had 1400 regular flu deaths in LA last year time to open this puppy back up and stop all this chicken little stuff.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:16 pm to Tigahs24Seven
quote:
That sounds more like what i was expecting
You predicted less than 1500 deaths for the US total..........and then revised that to 50 just 3 days later.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 11:21 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:18 pm to JohnnyKilroy
That model looks a lot more what I expected. Granted their confidence interval looks fricking ridiculous
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:18 pm to TigersSEC2010
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 9:55 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:22 pm to Ingloriousbastard
quote:
but it seems to be rapidly improving
Or quite possibly wildly overestimated from the beginning.....
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:24 pm to Tigahs24Seven
Updated projections factor in mitigation. Remove mitigation and those projections are no longer valid.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:25 pm to TigersSEC2010
I have screenshots from yesterday I can post to compare tomorrow. I’ve been waiting for this release, knew it would be better.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:26 pm to Ingloriousbastard
Alabama too. It projected Alabama to have 9K deaths last Tuesday. Now at 900 or so which is much more believable
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:28 pm to biscuitsngravy
quote:Quite possibly.
Or quite possibly wildly overestimated from the beginning.....
Great news either way.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 11:31 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:30 pm to Scruffy
As long as we can get that wall built around New York City we’ll be in good shape to open things back up.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:32 pm to 1BamaRTR
quote:What we have been doing as far as social distancing is sufficient to have caused a 90% reduction in estimated deaths?
Alabama too. It projected Alabama to have 9K deaths last Tuesday. Now at 900 or so which is much more believable
That is a massive drop.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 11:36 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:32 pm to 1BamaRTR
xxx has 5 deaths in 2 weeks and they shut down the whole city. We usually have more shootings than that. The hospitals are not half full. This is the biggest overreaction I’ve ever seen.
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 10:34 am
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:33 pm to Scruffy
The national estimate went from 91K to 95K to 81K. Also the national peak days haven’t moved more than a day or two.
The two things no reasonable person can call this model are alarmist or highly variable.
The two things no reasonable person can call this model are alarmist or highly variable.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:35 pm to Tigahs24Seven
quote:
That sounds more like what i was expecting....under 1000. Since we had 1400 regular flu deaths in LA last year time to open this puppy back up and stop all this chicken little stuff.
Yeah, you’re a genious - let’s open the puppies - 1000 in around 2 weeks is chicken little.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:41 pm to Bristol Dawg
60k H1N1 deaths of a lot of young people and Obama played golf and did NOTHING. Geta grip on yourself chicken little. You libs love some good drama...
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:43 pm to TigersSEC2010
I hope it’s right
Posted on 4/5/20 at 11:43 pm to TigersSEC2010
When it first came out, it had our peak at 97 (with a wider range) deaths/day.
So glad that it's less than half that now. Hope it holds or goes down even more.
So glad that it's less than half that now. Hope it holds or goes down even more.
Page 1 of 5
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News