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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:25 pm to
Posted by lz2112
Largo, Fl
Member since Oct 2019
1172 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

18Z Euro is WAY north so far. And look at that trough!


Damn Europeans giving us hope. I don't trust them.

Euro too aggressive East, GFS too aggressive West, meeting in the middle over Tampa Bay.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:28 pm to
quote:

Euro too aggressive East, GFS too aggressive West, meeting in the middle over Tampa Bay.

would it bad to hope it blows Tom Brady & Mike Evans out to sea?

asking for a friend
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

mouth


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Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Some intense convection on the southwest side of 98L


Because of Fiona's outflow still. Lots of shear but that will be gone tomorrow and then it's on.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:33 pm to
:sigh:

When does the next advisory thing come out?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181895 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:33 pm to
So FL gets to take one for the team this time around?
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16119 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

Would be an interesting turn of events after everyone has already declared 98L to be the "big one" for this season. Would remind a lot of people to let things get farther along before hitting the "doom button"


I remember maybe 3/4 years ago we had a 50 page thread with doom cane model runs. System never made it over Haiti.
Posted by lz2112
Largo, Fl
Member since Oct 2019
1172 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:36 pm to


That front has been predicted to get south of Tampa for more than a week. This time of year they typically stall over the peninsula. There isn't enough time for another trough to come behind it to tug on 98L. That gif you posted verifies what the Euro is seeing pretty well.

Posted by PaBon
UPT 17th W/D
Member since Sep 2014
2267 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:36 pm to
So Louisiana gets a spare? You’re predicting?
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11921 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

My mother


Pics?
Posted by Giantr63
Member since Mar 2019
43 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:39 pm to
Congrats on your wedding.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:39 pm to
DON’T JINX IT!!!

Dom, I’m practically grandma age, and you want pics of my mom?
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 8:47 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

Congrats on your wedding.


He's marrying Aspercel.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:41 pm to
18Z Euro ensembles

Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12593 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:42 pm to
quote:




Operation Gulf Shield is a go.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14199 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Oates Mustache


The OT never ever stops hardlegging females does it?
Posted by sonoma8
Member since Oct 2006
8138 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Don, I’m practically grandma age, and you want pics of my mom?


Sure why not, Ive jerked it to worse
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
42223 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:44 pm to


Sorry, Florida
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:44 pm to
I prefer that outcome of course but thats just not dispersive enough. No members in the Yucatan Channel? nvm... 2 weak ones

Good trend is good though.

This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 8:47 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:44 pm to
I don't predict - I leave that to rds, Duke, Legend and other experts. I like that Total Precipitable Water gif ever since someone posted it several years ago. It really shows the big picture of airmass flow.

But things are looking a bit better for central Gulf coast. Still too early to relax though.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 8:46 pm
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