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re: Hurricane Season - TS Paulette, TS Rene, 95L, 96L & Fruit Salad

Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:39 am to
Posted by ezride25
Constitutional Republic
Member since Nov 2008
24280 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:39 am to
Wait until after you cut the grass.
Posted by habz007
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3696 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Get there and thinking MJO progression could lead to a little lull in activity late September too.


Brief explanation?

TIA

Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117700 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:43 am to
AND,.......






































I’m Shteve Gheller


























Double U Dub L

Shports
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75198 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:44 am to
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:45 am to
quote:

More then happy to get some cool weather.

I don't think it's one of THOSE cool fronts. It's the kind we get this time of year that dries things out and it only gets to 87 instead of 92.

I'll take it, but it ain't the "wake up in the morning and realize that noise you hear is the air conditioner not running and open the windows because the eight months of miserable weather in this godforsaken state is over" kind of front.
This post was edited on 8/30/20 at 10:48 am
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65680 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:48 am to
Friend,

The screen shot that you posted was a pleasant surprise. Congratulations on another brush with a celebrity! In reading the message from Mr Arredondo, I realized the great meteorologistic horsepower that was assembled for a while at WorldWideLoyola TV for that period: Nash (who moved into the emeritus rôle), Mr David Barnes, and our Mr Arredondo. Quite impressive, I dare say no other local station in the United States could compare with that lineup. Conversely stated, one would have to get up Early to have a better lineup? And unfortunately, he’s now the late Mr Early.

Wishing to you and yours a pleasant Sabbath and thank you again for your work here, I remain your humble correspondent.

Yours truly,

Mssr. Füt
This post was edited on 8/30/20 at 10:56 am
Posted by PurpleGoldTiger
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Mar 2010
4009 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

MJO progression

Have we crossed over the peak of the current cycle yet?

I'm looking at the chart below and am having a hell of a time trying to read it.

Is zone 8 the typical danger zone for the North Atlantic region?

Or is the distance from the center the largest indicator of the cycle potential?

And in general how much does the MJO play as a factor in tropical storm development potential?



Sorry for the barrage of questions, but I went down an MJO rabbit hole last night.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

I'm looking at the chart below and am having a hell of a time trying to read it.



Why? That graph isn't straightforward enough?

quote:

Is zone 8 the typical danger zone for the North Atlantic region?



8, 1, and 2 are typically better for tropical development.

quote:

Or is the distance from the center the largest indicator of the cycle potential?


Distance from center is how strong the pulse is. Too strong and you might get too much competing convection. It's a lot more where in the cycle it is vs how strong imo.

quote:

And in general how much does the MJO play as a factor in tropical storm development potential?


It's a table setter that tells you convection should be enhanced and conditions for tropical systems will be more favorable. Still can have colder water temps or dry air wreck it.

This tweet is a great way to visualize it. Green = stormier.

LINK



Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

Why? That graph isn't straightforward enough?

NO way. There's NO way I'm diving into this one. Have at it, Duke. And Godspeed.

Madden is generally okay. It was that a-hole Julian who strongly favored the use of impossible graphs.
This post was edited on 8/30/20 at 11:26 am
Posted by CoachChappy
Member since May 2013
32537 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:26 am to
quote:

It's the kind we get this time of year that dries things out and it only gets to 87 instead of 92.

The weather channel is predicting high 79 low 62 around 9/11. I’ll take it!!
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58128 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:33 am to
Hell even if we get a high of 85 and a low in the 60’s with low humidity, I will be damn happy
Posted by PurpleGoldTiger
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Mar 2010
4009 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:50 am to
quote:

It's a table setter that tells you convection should be enhanced and conditions for tropical systems will be more favorable. Still can have colder water temps or dry air wreck it.

So going by the projections on the graph, it looks like we're in the downswing of the cycle and entering zone 3. I'll absolutely take one less table setter at this point in the season.
quote:

This tweet is a great way to visualize it. Green = stormier.

Mr. Webb just got a follow, that was great. Thanks again for the info.


quote:

Madden is generally okay. It was that a-hole Julian who strongly favored the use of impossible graphs.

Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40093 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:52 am to
After multiple days of heat indexes reaching 115 here in DFW, can we please just skip fall and go right into winter??
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
11975 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 2:28 pm to
Sounds like The Gulf may be closed for a while then ? I don't count storms that form in the NW carribbean and move northeast of the Florida straits. I mean major hurricanes that make it north to upper texas coast to Mobile, Alabama.

Seems like a storm moving north to central Gulf Coast in late September usually circulates drier continental air into its circulation before landfall.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Seems like a storm moving north to central Gulf Coast in late September usually circulates drier continental air into its circulation before landfall.


Yeah that's normally how it goes and by late September the mid latitudes are starting to get more active and open up the Bermuda high to have right turns out of the area.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164137 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 2:44 pm to
quote:



Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7420 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:






Polar vortex setting up shop a little early.
Posted by FCP
Delta State Univ. - Fightin' Okra
Member since Sep 2010
4785 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Polar vortex setting up shop a little early.
Not early enough for this cowboy. Just happened to glance at the 10 day forecast, and we're sunny, mid 90s, and heat indices well over triple digits for the next week. In other words, it'll be hot as balls out there this week.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/30/20 at 11:43 pm to
Man I sure wouldn't mind that cold arse winter we got a few years back where it snowed like 6 inches in Louisiana then a few weeks later iced over. This is one hot dry arse summer.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10404 posts
Posted on 8/31/20 at 7:26 am to
quote:

Need to get through the next week or so and then the 1st cold front of the season should shut the Gulf down for a bit.



Thank you !
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