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re: Hurricane Season - August - Potential Tropical Cyclone #9
Posted on 8/4/17 at 12:06 pm to HubbaBubba
Posted on 8/4/17 at 12:06 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Some dumbass at my company decided it would be a great idea to host a national sales meeting (600+ people attending) in Fort Lauderdale starting Sept. 10th - 15th.
Probably got the conference center for a discounted rate.
Posted on 8/4/17 at 12:14 pm to rds dc
quote:
At this point, not too worried about 99L.
The Euro has started to back off of 99L and now the 12z GFS has come in weaker. From 925mb grinding Florida at 00z to a weak system moving through the Islands and into the Gulf with a final landfall in Louisiana. Still too far out to worry about.
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017080412/gfs_mslp_uv850_watl_43.png)
Posted on 8/4/17 at 12:27 pm to rds dc
quote:
The Euro has started to back off of 99L and now the 12z GFS has come in weaker. From 925mb grinding Florida at 00z to a weak system moving through the Islands and into the Gulf with a final landfall in Louisiana. Still too far out to worry about.
I enjoy looking at the 6 hour changes in the 10+ day tracks. I know they're incredibly unreliable, but it drives home how sensitive these things are to the slightest change.
6 hours ago this was an incredibly strong storm hitting Florida in 10 days, now it is a weak system moving through the Carribean at that same time frame. The dynamics at play 10 days out are simply incredible.
Posted on 8/4/17 at 12:40 pm to rds dc
The one in the Caribbean looks like a corn dog. I hope it doesn't frick up an LSU game.
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:05 pm to ForeverLSU02
18z tracks for 90L, there is basically no convection in the area that the models were initiated. I wouldn't be surprised to see this consolidate farther north once it moves deeper in the WCAB.
This post was edited on 8/5/17 at 9:03 am
Posted on 8/4/17 at 6:41 pm to JOJO Hammer
I ain't going to lie. This made me laugh. ![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Posted on 8/5/17 at 9:17 am to rds dc
Some deeper convection starting to fire with 90L this morning, models are generally showing a WNW track through the BOC to Mexico. One thing to watch will be how fast this system comes together, if it organizes and strengthens faster than what the models are showing then it could track farther north.
00z Tracks
![](https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/90L/imagery/avn_lalo-animated.gif)
00z Tracks
![](https://i.imgur.com/FXYnQPn.png)
Posted on 8/5/17 at 1:58 pm to rds dc
As of now, if 90L develops, it looks like the timing of the trough will be pretty favorable as it lifts out and allows a ridge to build over top. That should keep 90L pinned down in the BOC.
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017080512/ecmwf_z500aNorm_watl_5.png)
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017080512/ecmwf_z500aNorm_watl_4.png)
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017080512/ecmwf_z500aNorm_watl_5.png)
Posted on 8/5/17 at 2:01 pm to rds dc
BRING THAT shite TO ME, JOBU!
![](https://y.yarn.co/1f3934b0-dc3c-4688-ac76-9dfc43ba0ab2_screenshot.jpg)
Posted on 8/5/17 at 9:39 pm to rds dc
Looks like 99L got downgraded a bit.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 10:47 pm to rds dc
Looking at these radar images of how big these storms are makes me think about how crazy it must have been to be on a sailing ship before radar and weather forecasting.
Posted on 8/6/17 at 8:12 am to rds dc
90L continues to slowly organize but only looks like an issue if you are traveling to Tampico
The HMON model for 90L
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/90L_tracks_latest.png)
The HMON model for 90L
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hmon-para/2017080606/hmon-para_mslp_wind_90L_32.png)
Posted on 8/6/17 at 4:00 pm to rds dc
Hey, thanks for the update.
And thanks for that link too. ![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
Posted on 8/6/17 at 4:13 pm to rds dc
NHC has initiated Potential Tropical Cyclone 7 advisories
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204233_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png)
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204233_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png)
Posted on 8/7/17 at 3:22 pm to rds dc
Franklin now in radar range of Belize
![](https://www.hydromet.gov.bz/images/stories/radar/400/latest_400kmloop.gif)
![](https://www.hydromet.gov.bz/images/stories/radar/400/latest_400kmloop.gif)
Posted on 8/7/17 at 10:03 pm to rds dc
TS Franklin earlier today on GOES 16 5-min scans
Looking kind of ragged tonight as it approaches landfall, the combination of that massive convective blowup in the eastern feeder band and landfall could really disrupt the core of the system.
![](https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/saves/animations/CODNEXLAB-GOES16-Visible-20:52Z-20170807_415-444-10-100.gif)
Looking kind of ragged tonight as it approaches landfall, the combination of that massive convective blowup in the eastern feeder band and landfall could really disrupt the core of the system.
This post was edited on 8/8/17 at 8:30 am
Posted on 8/9/17 at 3:53 pm to rds dc
Franklin now the 1st hurricane of the season
![](https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/07L/imagery/rb_lalo-animated.gif)
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204733_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png)
![](https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/07L/imagery/rb_lalo-animated.gif)
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