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re: Hurricane Season - August - Potential Tropical Cyclone #9

Posted on 8/17/17 at 6:58 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21498 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 6:58 am to
NHC has bumped 91L up to 90%
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4945 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 7:21 am to
SAL is insane right now. i don't think models account for that re: intensity.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52562 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 7:53 am to
A more intense SAL helps to limit cyclone intensity, right?
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4945 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 8:16 am to
yes
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21498 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 8:41 am to
12z tracks for 91L

Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4945 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 8:43 am to
92L is a bigger threat IMO. 91L is gonna bury itself in CA.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21498 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 8:49 am to
quote:


92L is a bigger threat IMO. 91L is gonna bury itself in CA.


Certainly possible, 91L into Texas wouldn't surprise me but a long ways to go. There is a very complicated upper level setup evolving that will give the models fits. So the models might be under estimating the potential of 92L. Interest in the Gulf should keep an eye on both.
This post was edited on 8/17/17 at 8:55 am
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78305 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 8:58 am to
When should we know a more definitive path for 92L, Tuesday or Wednesday?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 10:06 am to
What's preventing 91L from going north when it strengthens? They usually turn northward when they develop right? Seems like this year a lot of storms have drifted far westward into South America/Mexico. If I remember right, they had a year after Katrina where South America got pounded by like 3 major hurricanes that year. I don't like 92L's track definitely going to keep an eye on both. I hope 91L keeps their current track.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21498 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 10:24 am to
91L has been designated Potential Tropical Cyclone #9

Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 8/17/17 at 10:42 am to
That's probably the most heated area of ocean to be crossing?
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