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re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland

Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:33 pm to
Posted by PillageUrVillage
Mordor
Member since Mar 2011
14787 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:33 pm to
Ole Rob Perillo seems to be running with the sensationalism also. He’s been posting global warming hysteria on social media as well.
This post was edited on 5/23/18 at 2:33 pm
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:41 pm to
Posted by MrPappagiorgio
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2009
41122 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Pretty solid bet the SE is going to get quite a bit of rain over the next week.


all the major sites recently dropped their BR area rain %s for the weekend... any idea why?
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:47 pm to
quote:


all the major sites recently dropped their BR area rain %s for the weekend... any idea why


Slightly slower storm progression and having us on the west side would be my guess.
Posted by Bama and Beer
Baldwin Co, AL
Member since Oct 2010
80893 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:49 pm to
So I'm across the bay from Mobile. What's the time from on this thing and outlook for rain projections around my area?
Posted by MrPappagiorgio
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2009
41122 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:50 pm to
really need that to hold true... have an open fire jambalaya to cook
Posted by WoWyHi
Member since Jul 2009
23339 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

Dylan needs to switch to decaf if he expects to make it in this business. One thing a pro met can't be is prone to hysterics. This shite may pan out exactly like he says, but five days away is not the time to be making predictions like this.


Don't you question him, baw! He's a meteorologist you frumpy dumpy non-scientist! If it threatens Louisiana he's the first to scream then goes silent otherwise.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

So I'm across the bay from Mobile. What's the time from on this thing and outlook for rain projections around my area?



Sunday through Wednesday is the rain timeline based on the current computer models. Rainfall amounts depend on exactly where the storm goes and just how badly sheared it is. Mobile is in that area that you should be thinking a solid 10-14" of rain from this system. It may well underperform that if the rain sets up heaviest west or east of you but best to have those sorts of numbers in your head.
Posted by Higgysmalls
Ft Lauderdale
Member since Jun 2016
6430 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:57 pm to
weather channel say a very slight chance that its gonna intensify.

that means channel 9 and 2 are gonna act like Katrina is coming to destroy everything
Posted by Bama and Beer
Baldwin Co, AL
Member since Oct 2010
80893 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:59 pm to
Jesus hell. Thanks
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
134860 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 2:59 pm to
There was a storm that hit Houston a little while back and they were constantly making references back to Harvey as if the storm was going to be comparable
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14731 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:03 pm to
New Orleans and local news will start losing their minds soon, and elected officials will hold countless news conferences telling people to get ready. While in the end my prediction which is worth nothing, the storm will go a little further east and result in great weather for a lot of the weekend for areas West of Mississippi.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

really need that to hold true... have an open fire jambalaya to cook


That wood gonna be soaking wet! hope you got your kindling on point!
Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2057 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:15 pm to
They should just move the event to Lamar where they have sufficient parking and don't have to worry about the ditch flooding out the cooks every year. Ascension vs Gonzales politics, screw the participants, community and volunteers....
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5015 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Ole Rob Perillo seems to be running with the sensationalism also.


Rob is a good meteorologist but he hypes stuff up way to much and wishcast sometimes. And his global warming crap is ridiculous.

Klfy just says hey it might rain in the next week

Dylan is a freaking joke and so is Bob Breck

Posted by Higgysmalls
Ft Lauderdale
Member since Jun 2016
6430 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

They should just move the event to Lamar where they have sufficient parking and don't have to worry about the ditch flooding out the cooks every year. Ascension vs Gonzales politics, screw the participants, community and volunteers....
EXACTLY CORRECT SIR.

I'm tired of no parking and basically walking in a freaking dust bowl. it would be 1000% better at lamar
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19809 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:29 pm to
A couple of things of note from the 12z GEFS, more members develop 90L than previous runs and a westward shift.



ETA: for reference, 00z run



This post was edited on 5/23/18 at 3:48 pm
Posted by Turftoe
Denver
Member since Mar 2016
3903 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

New Orleans and local news will start losing their minds soon, and elected officials will hold countless news conferences telling people to get ready.


I just hope there's time to get the new shirts embroidered
Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2057 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

EXACTLY CORRECT SIR.

I'm tired of no parking and basically walking in a freaking dust bowl. it would be 1000% better at lamar


Pretty crappy situation considered most who attend actually paid for Lamar through taxes.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19809 posts
Posted on 5/23/18 at 6:24 pm to
NHC up to 70%


Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
710 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad surface low centered over the southeastern Yucatan
Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, and it
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the
Florida Straits. Continued slow development of this system is
possible during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near
the Yucatan Peninsula. Thereafter, environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the
eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the
Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida
and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information
on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local
weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Beven
This post was edited on 5/23/18 at 6:25 pm
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