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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:26 pm to Macintosh
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:26 pm to Macintosh
quote:
Can’t tell what’s been said more so far in this thread. 24 hours or blowjobs
To be fair, we’re talking about OysterPoBoy here, so it’s probably more like a blowhobby for him than a job.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:27 pm to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
hotels were already high
But are people already high in hotels?
Everybody's high around the campfire.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:32 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
To be fair, we’re talking about OysterPoBoy here, so it’s probably more like a blowhobby for him than a job.
Do what you love and you'll never work a day in your life
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:33 pm to East Coast Band
12Z Hafs A and B plus HMON rapidly weaken Isaias before landfall
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:43 pm to lsuman25
quote:
12Z Hafs A and B plus HMON rapidly weaken Isaias before landfall
It's strange it has most of bad stuff on the NW side of the storm.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:46 pm to gaetti15
Gotta say, looks extratropical by the time it makes landfall on all three of em. Shear opens him up and pushes in the dry air.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:47 pm to Tarps99
Tarps99 - man that brings back some serious memories.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:50 pm to lsuman25
What is the opinion about google deep mind projections? reliable vs others?
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:50 pm to LSUDUCKMAN67
Recon making second pass from SE to NW. Should get another true reading of pressure in center of storm here in about 20-30 min.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:52 pm to NorCali
Million dollar question and TBD- place your bets!
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:53 pm to Duke
quote:
Gotta say, looks extratropical by the time it makes landfall on all three of em. Shear opens him up and pushes in the dry air.
Only the 12z HWRF tries to hold on to strong system. Extratropical transition will occur rapidly once it starts, given the depicted upper-level setup.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:54 pm to NorCali
New so not much data but performing well so far
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:56 pm to LSU=Champions
Isaias not looking nearly as impressive on IR satellite as it did earlier this morning. Overshooting of cold cloud tops are less numerous and the largest areas of convection appear decoupled. Suggesting to my untrained weather enthusiast view that it is fighting alignment of its circulation at the lower and mid levels. Shear may already been suppressing what would otherwise be a more robust strengthening period.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:57 pm to LSU=Champions
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:57 pm to LSU=Champions
12z models coming in less intense for sure
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:58 pm to LSU=Champions
quote:
Isaias not looking nearly as impressive on IR satellite as it did earlier this morning. Overshooting of cold cloud tops are less numerous and the largest areas of convection appear decoupled. Suggesting to my untrained weather enthusiast view that it is fighting alignment of its circulation at the lower and mid levels. Shear may already been suppressing what would otherwise be a more robust strengthening period.
It's downshifting at the moment and working on itself
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:58 pm to Spocks Brain
quote:
Million dollar question and TBD- place your bets!
Weak storm into southern Mississippi
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:00 pm to rds dc
Latest hurricane model runs (max winds and lowest pressure at model increment just before landfall)
HMON - 85 mph and 990 mb at 1 AM Saturday - Ft. Walton / Destin (peak of 975 mb and 115 mph)
HAFS-A - 55 mph and 993 mb at 4 AM Saturday - Dauphin Island (peak of 975 mb and 95 mph)
HAFS-B - 60 mph and 995 mb at 4 AM Saturday - Dauphin Island (peak of 971 mb and 105 mph)
HWRF - 120 mph and 954 mb at 7 PM Friday - AL/FL line (peak of 948 mb and 130 mph)
This is just one run and subject to change. Majority is much weaker near landfall than previous run.
HWRF is still hanging onto a stronger solution due to faster movement to coast before shear hits it.
HMON - 85 mph and 990 mb at 1 AM Saturday - Ft. Walton / Destin (peak of 975 mb and 115 mph)
HAFS-A - 55 mph and 993 mb at 4 AM Saturday - Dauphin Island (peak of 975 mb and 95 mph)
HAFS-B - 60 mph and 995 mb at 4 AM Saturday - Dauphin Island (peak of 971 mb and 105 mph)
HWRF - 120 mph and 954 mb at 7 PM Friday - AL/FL line (peak of 948 mb and 130 mph)
This is just one run and subject to change. Majority is much weaker near landfall than previous run.
HWRF is still hanging onto a stronger solution due to faster movement to coast before shear hits it.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:01 pm to NorthEndZone
That is an excellent trend
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:03 pm to geauxtigers87
quote:
Weak storm into southern Mississippi
Straight into FloraBama.
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