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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:44 am to
Posted by Mempho
Member since Dec 2021
906 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:44 am to
Euro is west to Mississippi.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
25305 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:48 am to
quote:

Largest one I seen down here was 143k a few years ago.

quote:

Lots of corruption IMO.

It’s deferred maintenance being rolled into storm damage assessments.

None of those boards are good about keeping up with non aesthetic stuff and so a storm comes and it turns into a hot potato where the current owners get stuck for all the money the previous owners didn’t pay.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14711 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:53 am to
What’s the google model say? How often does it run?
Posted by Dtbtiger
Member since Oct 2024
342 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:54 am to
quote:

meetup still happening on the Valor?
at the sailaway on the lido
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
86288 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 6:59 am to
quote:

Euro is west to Mississippi.


Last Euro I see out there is 00Z

GFS has 006 run and is Miss/Ala border
Posted by Craft
Member since Oct 2019
1365 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:02 am to
pretty sad that our tech is still this bad predicting storms. that’s a substantial shift in the track for a storm right off the coast
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4391 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:04 am to
AI has this hitting OB-ish

Models have this Biloxi to GS
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
118267 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:05 am to
quote:

quote:
Hopefully this shift east saves us


From the hurricane at least


:golfclap:
Posted by Dtbtiger
Member since Oct 2024
342 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:06 am to
So whos going to be first in line from oyster?
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
31473 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:09 am to
quote:

pretty sad that our tech is still this bad predicting storms. that’s a substantial shift in the track for a storm right off the coast



??

It is currently 600 miles from the expected point of landfall as the crow flies. How is that "right off the coast".
Posted by Craft
Member since Oct 2019
1365 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:11 am to
anything in the gulf should have minimal error in the track at this point.
Posted by PurpleandGold Motown
Waltzing Between the Raindrops
Member since Oct 2007
25090 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:12 am to
Social Media has been a curse. I swear, people are acting like this is the damn apocalypse. Idiots talking about canceling a game that takes place 250 miles inland for what will probably be a Cat 1 at landfall. Not every every hurricane is Ivan or Katrina.

Yeah, be cautious, be prepared, but the level of panic amateur meterologists generate is not helpful.
Posted by PurpleandGold Motown
Waltzing Between the Raindrops
Member since Oct 2007
25090 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:16 am to
quote:

Gotta appreciate the Pensacola, Perdido and Orange Beach peeps for taking the hit again for everyone to keep the NOLA intact.

FYI- always rent/never buy property down there.

The special assessments from the condo towers for hurricanes will eat you alive.


My folk's place was remarkably spared by Ivan (Dad's Kenner ended up in in the Region's bank parking lot on Canal) but had some roof damage, so they decided to replace the roof. Contractors came in and blue tarped it. Tropical storm hit a few weeks later, ripped off the tarp and rained into the house for two days. Fun times.
Posted by Mempho
Member since Dec 2021
906 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:17 am to
quote:

Well, dickhead, the cone has a TD in Kentucky on Sunday morning


Cone has a TD in Indiana at 1am Sunday. The previous forecast point is an H near Foley, AL.

Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14982 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:18 am to
quote:

anything in the gulf should have minimal error in the track at this point.


You people are frickin DUMM holy shite
Posted by Shorts Guy
BR
Member since Dec 2023
1132 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:20 am to




Some models still have it going over the New Orleans area, but the cone centers over the Mobile area.
Posted by Jack Daniel
Gold member
Member since Feb 2013
29999 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:21 am to
How furiously are yall hacking off now that there is a named storm?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67301 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:21 am to
quote:

Models pushing this into KY as a TS

Living about 200 miles inland from the coast, one thing I've learned is that they almost 100% of the time over predict the storms strength as it moves over land.
In other words, you're not gonna get a tropical storm in Kentucky
Posted by Macintosh
Lane State University
Member since Sep 2011
57220 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:23 am to
So I guess it’s safe to say New Orleans won’t get the brunt of this
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88513 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:23 am to
You know nothing of mathematical models and their complexity. Stfu
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