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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:29 pm to
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71018 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

It's going to be catastrophic either way.


Indeed.

I just fear that if it does get into the Gulf of Mexico we may have a Category 5 situation on our hands. I could be wrong though.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30506 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:29 pm to
Yeah, it's a terrible feeling wishing it away from LA knowing SOMEONE is going to get it
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45871 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Yeah, it's a terrible feeling wishing it away from LA knowing SOMEONE is going to get it



Ya, well, I'm sitting in South Carolina hoping it moves west in to the GOM so don't feel too bad.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

The trend is moving it more West?


Every single run.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14470 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:31 pm to
In Mobile. My butt is half puckered. I need this bitch to turn north SOON.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:31 pm to


SOB AP-19 spaghetti strand is at Louisiana
Posted by Tesla
the Laurentian Abyss
Member since Dec 2011
9146 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:31 pm to
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30506 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:32 pm to
quote:


I just fear that if it does get into the Gulf of Mexico we may have a Category 5 situation on our hands. I could be wrong though.



I claim to know next to nothing about meteorology. However, everything I'm reading seems to indicate conditions in the Gulf would be prime for rapid intensification if she got that far
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
134530 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Yeah, it's a terrible feeling wishing it away from LA knowing SOMEONE is going to get it



Mexico. Let it hit Mexico.

Really don't need anymore hurricanes in the US this year. Harvey was enough
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

SOB AP-19 spaghetti strand is at Louisiana

too busy looking at weather girl to care
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:33 pm to
I know one thing for certain and that is driving on the Overseas Hwy the next three days will absolutely suck on that two lane highway through the Keys
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:34 pm to
mission 4 (NOAA9) dropping a bunch of dropsondes in a giant rectangle formation west and northwest of Irma
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71007 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:35 pm to
This thing has Miami written all over it. The $$$ will be insane if they get a direct hit



Posted by Tesla
the Laurentian Abyss
Member since Dec 2011
9146 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

I know one thing for certain and that is driving on the Overseas Hwy the next three days will absolutely suck on that two lane highway through the Keys



I know it would never happen but I wish at some point the cruise lines would cancel the week and book passage to evacuate to an unaffected port. You're on your own to get home but at least one idiot running out of gas on 7 mile bridge wouldn't endanger the folks leaving the southern keys.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:37 pm to
quote:


I think we all need to get a drink and do a little calm down currently. I think NOAA has an upper atmosphere plane doing some data gathering and those extra soundings going today. All that data should get fed into the 00z models tonight


I haven't seen a single model take it farthwe west than Key West, but you couldn't tell that based on this thread.

I understand people are gun shy, but there is no discernable threat to a state west of Florida at the moment. Hell, the Carolinas and Virginia have far more to worry about than Alabama, Mississippi, LA, etc.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:38 pm to
quote:


I claim to know next to nothing about meteorology. However, everything I'm reading seems to indicate conditions in the Gulf would be prime for rapid intensification if she got that far


With no shear the water in front of Irma for the foreseeable future has plenty of heat to fuel a Cat 4 or better storm.

Oh and you're right not to trust the models past five days. The possibility range from out to sea to getting into the gulf. Until it's far more certain we have a gulf storm, don't fret too much.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:38 pm to
first dropsonde from mission 5 (NOAA9)


Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14470 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:38 pm to
Yeah but this thing keeps creeping west. It's highly upsetting.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:38 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:41 pm to


I've been to her hoochy kootchy.

St. Thomas, that is.
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