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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:42 pm to cajunangelle
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:42 pm to cajunangelle
Euro has started
0
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:43 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Mb as it comes into Miami at 6pm Sunday. shite! Still sitting there six hours later! Stalls!
So I should stock up on a months worth of blow is what you're saying?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:43 pm to Jake88
Those are pressures at landfall.
RDS or one of the other experts can explain, but in general the larger storms need a lower pressure to generate the same speed maximum winds as a smaller storm (Sandy and Katrina =large; Andrew and Charley =small).
RDS or one of the other experts can explain, but in general the larger storms need a lower pressure to generate the same speed maximum winds as a smaller storm (Sandy and Katrina =large; Andrew and Charley =small).
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:45 pm to eitek1
quote:
Odds this makes it into the eastern Gulf are 20-30%.
based on what?
these posts do nothing but fear monger if not based on actual evidence
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:45 pm to FunroePete
quote:Dude, WTF!!!
It was them damn ruskies
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:47 pm to rocket31
Those are vegas odds. They know their shite.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:47 pm to slackster
quote:
Irma's threat of a direct landfall to the panhandle remains low. These things are fluid, but as it sits today, the east coast of the state is a much bigger concern.
I hope you're right, these slight shifts to the west every model run are starting to make me a little nervous. This thing went from an afterthought here in the western panhandle to a full-blown panic seemingly overnight, people that were barely aware of Irma yesterday are doing major prep today. I have enough elevation to not worry much about surge, but I'm close enough to the GOM to feel the full unfiltered effects of CAT 4 or 5 winds easily.
Thinking about shuttering up the house and heading back home to AR to visit the folks if it continues to trend W over the next 48 hours.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:47 pm to rocket31
quote:
these posts do nothing but fear monger if not based on actual evidence
These threads are so much better late at night when people like that are asleep.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:58 pm to NorthEndZone
It's a pressure gradient issue.
Katrina had a broad one. Hurricane force winds extended way out but it wasn't as tight right near the center. Air is going to move from high to low pressures and the bigger pressure change over smaller distances will create stronger winds.
Katrina had a broad one. Hurricane force winds extended way out but it wasn't as tight right near the center. Air is going to move from high to low pressures and the bigger pressure change over smaller distances will create stronger winds.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:00 pm to Duke
I feel like it's about time they sticky the thread
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:01 pm to Duke
What are the intervals on the updates?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:01 pm to CptBengal
Potential possibly yes. Depends on many factors much of which is too early right now to know. I'd say Louisiana, Mississippi, Bama and Florida all need to watch it next several days especially Florida. Right now most models project anywhere from east coast storm to a panhandle one. Pretty big area
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:03 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:02 pm to TigerStripes06
rocket is a douche no matter where he posts. so he is the last person to judge accuracy of anything.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:03 pm to cajunangelle
Autocorrect can suck it
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:03 pm to CptBengal
quote:
Are we looking at a potential gulf threat?
In most situation with the model runs and ensamble splits I'd be a firm no. There is still a fly in the ointment of some energy off the West coast that will enventually determine the nature and timing of the late week trough. It's too unknown to completely discount a gulf threat but it's on the far end of the bell curve of possibilities at this time.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:04 pm to Duke
quote:
@W7VOA
1m
Governor of Puerto Rico declares state of emergency ahead of #HurricaneIrma.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:06 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
@EricHolthaus
This is a National Hurricane Center meteorologist, using today to run through his hurricane checklist in Miami. Irma is the real deal.
quote:
@EricBlake12
Today's the day I make sure I set every detail of my #hurricane plan since #Irma chances increasing near #Miami. No panic, just prepare!
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:06 pm to GEAUXmedic
I 
at GFS having potential Jose do a giant loop in the Atlantic and brush the east coast as a hurricane on the 2nd pass
at GFS having potential Jose do a giant loop in the Atlantic and brush the east coast as a hurricane on the 2nd pass
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:07 pm to GEAUXmedic
Just for my edification, when the models say 12z what time is that CST?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:07 pm to Duke
Am I seeing things correctly did the GFS slightly change to up from Miami with the eye veering off into the Atlantic and then hitting Alabama and GA?
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