Started By
Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:02 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

ou think they didn't take it seriously or they didn't expect it to intensify just before landfall?


I don't think they took it seriously from a planning standpoint. They were up shite creek most of the night.
Posted by Loungefly85
Lafayette
Member since Jul 2016
7930 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

That run looks like it weakens significantly before making it to SC, yes?


It'll depend on how long it stays over FL. If the eye skirts the coast then SC if fricked.

*Going by the current model.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

I don't believe that for a minute. If the pressure is that low, this thing will be a Category 5.




Alternatively, if the winds are "only" 135 mph, then the pressure probably won't be that low. Intensity 6 days out is problematic.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39084 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

it plays into climate cycles with oscilations and shite if i remeber right. I dont remmebert the exact terminalogy (probs rds territory again) since i hated climatology but it plays into the same thing that causes el nino/la nina just on a larger/longer scale.

wiki article with links to different oscilations

LINK
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

it plays into climate cycles with oscilations and shite if i remeber right. I dont remmebert the exact terminalogy (probs rds territory again) since i hated climatology but it plays into the same thing that causes el nino/la nina just on a larger/longer scale.


Makes sense to me.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:07 pm to
Odds this gets into the gulf?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Gulf Threat

Just noticed the thread title change
Posted by LSUKNUT
Naples, Florida
Member since Jun 2007
2345 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

I just got a bad feeling this is going to end up in the GOM. It just keeps heading more west each day


I'd put money on this scenario. First it was going out to sea, then upper EC, lower EC, up FL's arse and next will be the GOM.
Posted by purplepylon
NOLA & Laffy
Member since Nov 2005
8419 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:08 pm to
If Irma doe what the models say and goes North through Miami all the way to Jacksonville then people will have nowhere to evacuate to. All of Florida outside the western portion of the panhandle will have major hurricane conditions. I don't know how many people live in Florida but you are looking at a massive evacuation order with nowhere safe to go that isn't hundreds of miles away
Posted by OKellsBells
USA
Member since Dec 2016
5264 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

bet Jeff and crew are eastbound and down


He live on periscope right now talking about it. I signed up for Jeff notifications.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72064 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:09 pm to
Man every store in palm beach county sold out of water and plywood already lol. Wonder if Ill get the house I'm supposed to close on next month for cheaper if it doesn't have a roof.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
70990 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Alternatively, if the winds are "only" 135 mph, then the pressure probably won't be that low.


This is very true. But the models have been starting to line up on the pressure inside the storm at landfall and most of them are saying sub-900. I just don't see the storm being that "weak" with a pressure that low if those predictions hold.

Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39084 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:10 pm to
i would say low end right now but certainty on anything with this seems to be low right now. theres alot of different factors that could go alot of different ways right now
Posted by Chuker
St George, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2015
7544 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Jeff and crew don't take Irma as lightly as they did Harvey.



Jeff has been chasing storms for 35 years. He knows whats up.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:



Ahh, gotcha.

Cyclones in the western Pacific Ocean are insane. Typhoon Tip had 10 minute sustained winds of 160 mph. Think about that for a minute.



In Pacific you are looking at 400 ft of warm arse water for those storms to draw on in many cases.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

If Irma doe what the models say and goes North through Miami all the way to Jacksonville then people will have nowhere to evacuate to. All of Florida outside the western portion of the panhandle will have major hurricane conditions. I don't know how many people live in Florida but you are looking at a massive evacuation order with nowhere safe to go that isn't hundreds of miles away


You're also dealing with people who evacuated for Matthew last year and it was mostly a dud along the FL peninsula.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51650 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Wind speeds will be close to 200 MPH
Doubtful it's that high, but certainly gusts of 165 -175 wouldn't be a surprise.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:13 pm to
I don't doubt the models especially when most are in agreement but that straight northern track is unusual to me. It hits Cuba and takes the entire state of Florida up to Carolinas.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

Jeff has been chasing storms for 35 years. He knows whats up.



Sure, but they took refuge in a car wash that lost its roof. Their plan was shoddy.
Posted by ATLsuTiger
Johns Creek
Member since Aug 2009
5750 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 12:14 pm to
Florida peninsula is fricked.
Jump to page
Page First 74 75 76 77 78 ... 711
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 76 of 711Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram