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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:07 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:07 pm to
through the 72 hour forecast the Euro is as it was at the 12z yesterday
Posted by eitek1
Member since Jun 2011
2828 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

uote:
Odds this makes it into the eastern Gulf are 20-30%.


based on what?

these posts do nothing but fear monger if not based on actual evidence


Sorry. I realized no one actually answered the guys question. I work for a company that pays close attention to this sort of stuff. That number I quoted is the opinion of someone that is paid for his opinion.

If you don't like it. Ignore it. I'm OK with that.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:14 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Am I seeing things correctly did the GFS slightly change to up from Miami with the eye veering off into the Atlantic and then hitting Alabama and GA?

2nd US landfall at GA/SC border in the 12z GFS
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:08 pm to
I saw that loop too pretty funny. (or not)
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Just for my edification, when the models say 12z what time is that CST?



12Z is 0700 CDT, 0600 CST.
Posted by SLafourche07
Member since Feb 2008
10053 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:10 pm to
Reminds me of those survey companies full of bullshite data where you don't even know where they get their demographic groups, how they collect it and how bias it actually is. In other words, take with a grain of salt.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:11 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

That number I quoted is the opinion of someone that is paid for his opinion.



That's all well and good, but post a snippet of his reasoning in the future.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166643 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:10 pm to
thanks
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102449 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

of the 23 storms with pressure below 925mb occurred since 1992.



3 in 2005. That was such a bad yet incredible hurricane season
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51653 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

rocket is a douche no matter where he posts. so he is the last person to judge accuracy of anything.
Pretty much, but it's nice having him around to provide a contrast between those here who are sane and those who aren't. I certainly feel better about myself after reading his posts, but then, just knowing people like that are out there is disconcerting. At least he makes us aware..

I kid a lot...
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:22 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:16 pm to
Euro is a tiny bit south of yesterday's 12z model for Friday
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64505 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:17 pm to
What time does Levi usually post? And if he has already link?

Sorry trying to catch up on thread
Posted by eitek1
Member since Jun 2011
2828 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

quote:
That number I quoted is the opinion of someone that is paid for his opinion.


That's all well and good, but post a snippet of his reasoning in the future.


I would, but unfortunately it's not part of the communication I get. It's not an in depth analysis, it's a short blunt synopsis.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

What time does Levi usually post? And if he has already link?

Sorry trying to catch up on thread

he'll post right after he's done in tonight's MNRT
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:19 pm to


Gotcha. I like to see the why generally, but I get you're limited in what you have to post.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56143 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

cajunangelle


ca, the wife's going to be around Daytona Beach on the 20th of this month. I assume this will have come and gone by then? Of course any clean up in the area might still have an impact on her plans. Oh yeah, thanks for having my back yesterday.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102449 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

FWIW, the 12z GFS got the pressure down to 893 mb, and the wind speeds were 135 mph.



That doesn't make much sense
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

I work for a company that pays close attention to this sort of stuff.


thanks
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:20 pm to
When is thread going to be stickied?
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