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Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:20 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:20 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Only the unintelligent would expect forecast models to tell people where hurricanes will go days in advance with pinpoint accuracy.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:20 am to RummelTiger
Why did you anchor the jeff thread?
Wanted to try and keep the jeff stuff out of this thread
Wanted to try and keep the jeff stuff out of this thread
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:22 am to Tiger in NY
Those people were so unprepared they showed the building along the ocean in Naples yesterday I didn't even see anything boarded up.
This post was edited on 9/10/17 at 9:23 am
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:22 am to Tiger in NY
quote:
bring down a lot of Live Oaks.
I seriously doubt it
Southern Live Oaks are known to withstand hurricane force wind
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:25 am to ike221
The weather channel is saying that irma is going North and even maybe northeast. That will put it right into the everglades. Can any of our resident experts chime in on that?
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:27 am to PhillipJFry
It'll be raining pythons and alligators?
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:27 am to PhillipJFry
Looks like it's tracking due north
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:28 am to tigerpimpbot
Naples is going to get hit dead on.
Has anyone heard from liz lately?
I fell asleep but from what she told us theres a large possibility they will be in that max wind shield.
Has anyone heard from liz lately?
I fell asleep but from what she told us theres a large possibility they will be in that max wind shield.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:29 am to PhillipJFry
quote:
The weather channel is saying that irma is going North and even maybe northeast. That will put it right into the everglades. Can any of our resident experts chime in on that?
Irma is tracking slightly west of due north, which should put her on or immediately inside of the western Florida coast. Naples is her next stop.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:29 am to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
I don't believe people will trust those models as much after this storm. They are pretty accurate but when you are talking about 200 miles or greater that makes a big difference just as the people on the west coast of Florida are finding out now. I have a bad feeling about Naples, Clearwater, St. Pete they have no barriers at all against the storm surge.
Most people don't understand how a model works. If there is any chance a storm is even remotely heading your way, you prepare. Hell, I was buying water, topping up on gas, and getting batteries here in NOLA for Irma and it wasn't even supposed to get even close.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:30 am to rds dc
Serious question about evacuation. We are in a house about 400 yards off the water in Panama City Beach. It looks like the window to evacuate closes tonight. Does it look like we should evacuate and how far west do we go? Destin, Pensacola, Gulf Shores, Mobile?
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:30 am to Tiger in NY
The storm was 5 days away at that point. Of course it wasn't a pinpoint forecast.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:30 am to RummelTiger
I agree. The east coast of Florida got a wake up call last year with Hurricane Matthew especially my area. It had been 60 years since we have taken a direct hit. Well I believe the same thing happened in the Tampa area with Irma the ole " it hasn't hit here" mentality set in. It has been over almost a 100 years since that area has taken a direct hit. Believe me the cones on those models not the spaghetti paths will be looked at differently now. Sometimes we all need a reality check.We do live along the coast just like people in Louisiana and Texas do. We just get so used to ignoring what is right in front of us.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:30 am to tigerpimpbot
Damn Irma is still an intense bitch:
148 mph wind confirmed at the surface.
148 mph wind confirmed at the surface.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:31 am to TigerGrad2011
quote:
Does it look like we should evacuate
No
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:32 am to LSUJuice
Pinpoint?
This wasn't even close. This isn't like accidental anal. This is more like predicting sex and only getting a bj.
This wasn't even close. This isn't like accidental anal. This is more like predicting sex and only getting a bj.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:32 am to slackster
Yep still getting high wind velocity on R.ScopePro.
What's a little more concerning is she's trying at the last minute to close her eye wall.
What's a little more concerning is she's trying at the last minute to close her eye wall.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:32 am to ike221
quote:
Southern Live Oaks are known to withstand hurricane force wind
Generally, i agree, but the ground is saturated, and they have no tap root to keep them in the ground.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:32 am to GhostofJackson
I agree my area was a mad house for buying supplies and preparing over a week in advance. Again my area got a reality check from Hurricane Matthew last year.
Posted on 9/10/17 at 9:33 am to TigerGrad2011
What does your local NWS site say about expected storm surge? Also the NHC has a storm surge forecast package. Look on the Irma page for the surge graphic.
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