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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:45 am to theunknownknight
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:45 am to theunknownknight
I made a triangular math thread for you. Go there.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:46 am to slackster
Just due to the geography and road system of Florida - people should have been GTFO'ing starting this last Monday
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:47 am to weagle99
But have y'all seen the boobs on the meterologist out of Miami ABC station? Granted, hers are not natural. Don't switch now, she's not on camera.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:48 am to Redbone
Not when it causes a run on gas and hotels to keep the people who really need to get out from doing so.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:48 am to Paul Allen
quote:
And?
Off day? More folks? More time to argue and bitch?
Just an observation.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:49 am to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
The cone, to me, never makes sense because the cone itself shifts. It should theoretically just be the path inside the cone.
If the whole cone moves that defeats the purpose of the cone.
Well A) the cone is updated every 3 hours, so it adds 3 hours on the back end of the cone.
B) The cone gets smaller at a particular time interval 95% of the time. The "shifts" usually take people out of the cone.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:50 am to slackster
Well it has something to do with a line going right up the Savannah River with a 4/5 on it. That gets people's attention.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:52 am to Dick Jacket
quote:
Well it has something to do with a line going right up the Savannah River with a 4/5 on it. That gets people's attention.
No I understand that, but there was still time. The mandatory evacs should have probably ended yesterday too, but they still are enforcing them to my knowledge.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:53 am to Duke
I got hammered and haven't followed the storm since 5 yesterday. Are we dead yet?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:54 am to BOSCEAUX
quote:
I got hammered and haven't followed the storm since 5 yesterday. Are we dead yet?
You in Tampa?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:54 am to BOSCEAUX
It's looking like Tampa is going to get it's first major (Cat 3+) hurricane in almost 100 years.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:55 am to slackster
quote:People are arguing the exactness of the cone for no good reason and with no better idea as to how we can prepare.
Well A) the cone is updated every 3 hours, so it adds 3 hours on the back end of the cone.
B) The cone gets smaller at a particular time interval 95% of the time. The "shifts" usually take people out of the cone.
According to unkowing it can hit anywhere from Mexico to Maine.
Using the "cone" from 5 days ago has helped me get my friend out of Tampa to come to B.R. instead of both of us going to Montana.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:55 am to BeepNode
Irma looks a lot better in the last few frames. Hopefully it is a temporary flare up.


Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:56 am to slackster
Nobody seems to be saying anything, but I keep hearing the storm is moving straight west as of the last few updates. What are the chances this thing hits somewhere between Louisiana and the Panhandle?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:56 am to slackster
They are.
My uneducated solution is to either stop the line at the 3 day mark or make it a wider line that fades to indicate the uncertainty.
There needs to be some level of required probability before putting a line through a city and telling them that they are about to get it.
My uneducated solution is to either stop the line at the 3 day mark or make it a wider line that fades to indicate the uncertainty.
There needs to be some level of required probability before putting a line through a city and telling them that they are about to get it.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:57 am to toosleaux
quote:
Nobody seems to be saying anything, but I keep hearing the storm is moving straight west as of the last few updates. What are the chances this thing hits somewhere between Louisiana and the Panhandle?
Essentially zero chance it gets outside of Florida.
ETA - To add some reasoning here - The NHC gives Buras, LA a 3% chance of seeing sustained winds of 34kts in the next 5 days. 34kt winds extend 170 miles to the west of Irma's center. You do the math.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 11:11 am
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:58 am to slackster
Quick reminder to the Florida folks, TWC is talking about surge currently and on top of the new surge potentials you have wave action and high tide (potentially).
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:58 am to toosleaux
quote:
Nobody seems to be saying anything, but I keep hearing the storm is moving straight west as of the last few updates. What are the chances this thing hits somewhere between Louisiana and the Panhandle
Yeah I'm kind of waiting for this turn that isn't happening yet myself. The cone moves west. Hurricane isn't moving north. Getting a little worried.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 11:00 am to ShamelessPel
The storm wasn't predicted to turn till today 3 days ago!!
Posted on 9/9/17 at 11:00 am to slackster
That's quite the flare up around the eye. That the warmer water?
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