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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:32 am to Ed Osteen
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:32 am to Ed Osteen
This shite in the last few pages is what I'm talking about. It's going to be "in the cone" because that's how "the cone" is designed to work.
It's a freaking moving trajectory with an end point of 500 miles in any direction. So theoretically, well actually in this case, the actual path was 400 miles west where the cone began.
If it does that twice it could be 800 miles off but still in the cone.
Stop attacking posters for seeing the obvious. Just let it go.
It's a freaking moving trajectory with an end point of 500 miles in any direction. So theoretically, well actually in this case, the actual path was 400 miles west where the cone began.
If it does that twice it could be 800 miles off but still in the cone.
Stop attacking posters for seeing the obvious. Just let it go.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 10:36 am
4
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:32 am to theunknownknight
Don't care
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:32 am to tiger91
quote:Probably got tired of the trolls.
GeauxMedic hasn't really been around.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:33 am to Duke
That radar loop is impressive considering the more westerly track.
Next six hours will say a lot.
Next six hours will say a lot.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:33 am to BeeFense5
Yeah, it's real interesting how some people react. Several days ago it was suggested I be banned from the thread for daring to share that my gut was telling me it was going to shift west and come in from the west side when the models were showing east side/Miami area landing. It was like I stole their puppy.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:33 am to CidCock
quote:
The eye is still within the cone from days ago, how hard is this to undersrand?????
What's bad is there will be a shite ton of people who believe/feel like the NHC totally fricked up with Irma, even though they've been incredibly impressive up to this point.
There will be people saying "3 days ago they said it would hit Charleston and now it is going to hit Naples. That's 400 mile apart!" Meanwhile, those same folks fail to realize the NHC center of the track was only off by the distance from Miami to Naples. The rest of it is geography.
At this point, the NHC's "error" is equivalent to predicting the storm will hit New Orleans and it hits Lafayette instead.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:34 am to Redbone
Woahhhh
Storm Surge forecast HAS DRASTICALLY CHANGED.
10-15 in Naples
6-10 Fort Myers
5-8 Tampa.
Storm Surge forecast HAS DRASTICALLY CHANGED.
10-15 in Naples
6-10 Fort Myers
5-8 Tampa.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:34 am to Festus
I hope it all works out. Lot of my neighbors are still here too. If shite hits the fan I will be on periscope
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:35 am to BeeFense5
quote:Not really. High winds and storm surge.
That's a big deal.
So what if the eye won't cross Daytona Beach?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:35 am to TheOcean
quote:
I hope it all works out. Lot of my neighbors are still here too. If shite hits the fan I will be on periscope
Ocean check your map again and adjust for 5-8ft surge.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:35 am to Redbone
quote:
They should go watch TWC. Jim C walking around on water and telling us how many Walmarts will get damaged in Miami.
I've watched TWC a lot over the last 3 days and i've come to the conclusion that it's garbage. 90% of the coverage is filler crap like interviewing some county EMS spokesman or a storm surge graphic showing a CGI house washing away. They spend minimal time talking about the real time conditions of the actual hurricane.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:35 am to Hangit
I think it has more to do with a lot of their students are from the potential affected areas. Who the hell can study/focus on school when this shite is going?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:36 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
Yeah, it's real interesting how some people react. Several days ago it was suggested I be banned from the thread for daring to share that my gut was telling me it was going to shift west and come in from the west side when the models were showing east side/Miami area landing. It was like I stole their puppy.
Exactly. These personal attacls because people are mad about pointing out a shifting storm track are absolutely ridiculous.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:36 am to theunknownknight
quote:
moving trajectory with a end point of 500 miles in any direction.
Wrong. The end of the cone could be due west from Irma instead of north (in Florida). But it's not. It is predicting a 90
degree turn and they have been predicting this turn for a week now.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:37 am to theunknownknight
quote:Good idea. SHHHHHH.....
Just let it go.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:37 am to Redbone
Well, this thread has gone to shite.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:38 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Ocean check your map again and adjust for 5-8ft surge.
Folks in southern/western Florida peninsula should monitor this map every 6 hours
^NHC Storm Surge inundation model.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:38 am to Duke
Duke , Slackster . If it hugs the west coast of Florida (say 20-30 miles offshore ) can it continue to strengthen as it goes up the coast ?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:38 am to slackster
I don't think the NHC screwed up it's forecast.
I do think that local and state authorities fricked up their evacuations and planning based upon how the NHC presents its forecast.
I do think that local and state authorities fricked up their evacuations and planning based upon how the NHC presents its forecast.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:38 am to 50_Tiger
We're about 35 feet up from what I looked at (if I read the map properly). Second safest area to be in the county
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