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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:07 am to
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:07 am to
quote:

why it's been delayed and keeps moving west


I'm no expert, have just been following along here, but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:08 am to
quote:

Can someone show a prediction model form like 7 days ago, then 3 days ago, then now?

This is from 4 days ago:

Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
18409 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to
quote:


I'm no expert, have just been following along here, but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.


I think it ends up in Cancun.
Posted by doublecutter
Member since Oct 2003
7141 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to



When I look at her breasts, I found the place where I would like to shelter in place.
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to
quote:

TheOcean


This is my version of giving you a cookie for maintaining your composure (more or less)...



Avi Gary Osceola




(don't care if you use it or not - just sharing )
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to
Why can't your gif provide a full frontal view?
She does appear to have a pretty face, too.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Isnt it obvious we are all wondering why
Not all. I'm totally ignorant as to how these things work.

I've followed Harvey and this thing for a while.

I've seen the evidence and now understand the predictions.

Posted by Jorts R Us
Member since Aug 2013
17520 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to
quote:


Why can't your gif provide a full frontal view?
She does appear to have a pretty face, too.


She has a face?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131433 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:11 am to
Thats not a prediction.

Thats a single model run

I kinda wish these models werent available to the general public because the general public is full of morons

The NHC cone is what matters.

Anywhere in that cone is within 2 standard deviations margin of error
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:11 am to
quote:

but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.


Yes. It hasn't been expected until later today into the overnight. It's still riding the edge of the ridge and the shortwave to facilitate the turn is still working it's way south.

People who are waiting for the turn, just watch the storm. As it feels the push to go north, you'll see the storm seem to spread out to the north. That'll be the first sign the steering is getting into place.

Posted by Crawdaddy
Slidell. The jewel of Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
19241 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to
Carl Arredondo of wwl weather is posting on fb his frustration of people's Irma comparisons to Katrina and such. He is losing it. Must be the crosfit rage coming out.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am
Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
7184 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to
Is there a cone from a week ago and a cone from today?
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to
quote:


So if it hits 800 miles from projections and people still claim the models got it right
Still closer than you could have guessed.

They are doing the best they can.

Go watch the weather channel and stop clogging up this thread.
Posted by Front9Bandit
Member since Dec 2013
15432 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to
quote:

It will hit the panhandle after being projected to hit the mia/Carolinas 2 days ago and the model fan boys on here will still claim "it was within the cone".


Come on its wanna be weather men, real ones only get it right 35% of the time.....
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to
quote:

As it feels the push to go north, you'll see the storm seem to spread out to the north.

You can already see the northern edge being pulled towards the northwest and up the east coast of GA and SC.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to
You guys do realize that a model run from 6 days ago isn't going to be as close to the ultimate path as a model run that is three days out, right? Everyday that goes by they are going to get closer. If models were going to be right from the get go, we would give specific forecasts for 7+ days out, but models aren't that way and so we don't do that,
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 9:16 am
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40972 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to
quote:



When I look at her breasts, I found the place where I would like to shelter in place.


There's a hurricane warning... in my pants.

I'd like to give her a dropsonde.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to
quote:

I cant tell if people are trolling or just ate up with stupid
We need Rummel in here.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to
Yes. Like a weather girl with T and A or just T or just A?
Posted by PRK
Member since Sep 2009
9142 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to
If it pushes directly up into Tampa Bay, everything is fricked.
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