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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:07 am to The Mad Fratter
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:07 am to The Mad Fratter
quote:
why it's been delayed and keeps moving west
I'm no expert, have just been following along here, but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:08 am to thegreatboudini
quote:
Can someone show a prediction model form like 7 days ago, then 3 days ago, then now?
This is from 4 days ago:

Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to bigpapamac
quote:
I'm no expert, have just been following along here, but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.
I think it ends up in Cancun.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to LSUFanHouston
When I look at her breasts, I found the place where I would like to shelter in place.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:09 am to TheOcean
quote:
TheOcean
This is my version of giving you a cookie for maintaining your composure (more or less)...
Avi Gary Osceola
(don't care if you use it or not - just sharing
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to HubbaBubba
Why can't your gif provide a full frontal view?
She does appear to have a pretty face, too.
She does appear to have a pretty face, too.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to The Mad Fratter
quote:Not all. I'm totally ignorant as to how these things work.
Isnt it obvious we are all wondering why
I've followed Harvey and this thing for a while.
I've seen the evidence and now understand the predictions.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:10 am to East Coast Band
quote:
Why can't your gif provide a full frontal view?
She does appear to have a pretty face, too.
She has a face?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:11 am to dbeck
Thats not a prediction.
Thats a single model run
I kinda wish these models werent available to the general public because the general public is full of morons
The NHC cone is what matters.
Anywhere in that cone is within 2 standard deviations margin of error
Thats a single model run
I kinda wish these models werent available to the general public because the general public is full of morons
The NHC cone is what matters.
Anywhere in that cone is within 2 standard deviations margin of error
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:11 am to bigpapamac
quote:
but the turn hasn't been forecasted to occur until today. So it's not been delayed at all.
Yes. It hasn't been expected until later today into the overnight. It's still riding the edge of the ridge and the shortwave to facilitate the turn is still working it's way south.
People who are waiting for the turn, just watch the storm. As it feels the push to go north, you'll see the storm seem to spread out to the north. That'll be the first sign the steering is getting into place.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to East Coast Band
Carl Arredondo of wwl weather is posting on fb his frustration of people's Irma comparisons to Katrina and such. He is losing it. Must be the crosfit rage coming out.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to Cosmo
Is there a cone from a week ago and a cone from today?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to PT24-7
quote:Still closer than you could have guessed.
So if it hits 800 miles from projections and people still claim the models got it right
They are doing the best they can.
Go watch the weather channel and stop clogging up this thread.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:13 am to PT24-7
quote:
It will hit the panhandle after being projected to hit the mia/Carolinas 2 days ago and the model fan boys on here will still claim "it was within the cone".
Come on its wanna be weather men, real ones only get it right 35% of the time.....
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to Duke
quote:
As it feels the push to go north, you'll see the storm seem to spread out to the north.
You can already see the northern edge being pulled towards the northwest and up the east coast of GA and SC.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to dbeck
You guys do realize that a model run from 6 days ago isn't going to be as close to the ultimate path as a model run that is three days out, right? Everyday that goes by they are going to get closer. If models were going to be right from the get go, we would give specific forecasts for 7+ days out, but models aren't that way and so we don't do that,
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 9:16 am
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:14 am to doublecutter
quote:
When I look at her breasts, I found the place where I would like to shelter in place.
There's a hurricane warning... in my pants.
I'd like to give her a dropsonde.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to Cosmo
quote:We need Rummel in here.
I cant tell if people are trolling or just ate up with stupid
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to HubbaBubba
Yes. Like a weather girl with T and A or just T or just A?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 9:15 am to Front9Bandit
If it pushes directly up into Tampa Bay, everything is fricked.
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