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Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:25 pm to LSUGrrrl
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:25 pm to LSUGrrrl
Thanks. Sorry that it was just posted. I'm on my phone and it's hard to keep up without computer. I stuck it out and got buttfricked by Katrina (like many others), so just a little nervous over here.
At this point, it mostly just sucks that so many people are inevitably going to be effected by this bitch. Wouldn't wish Katrina like damage and heartache on even the Gator fans, so it's even hard for me to say "rather them than me". This just fricking sucks all around.
At this point, it mostly just sucks that so many people are inevitably going to be effected by this bitch. Wouldn't wish Katrina like damage and heartache on even the Gator fans, so it's even hard for me to say "rather them than me". This just fricking sucks all around.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:25 pm to 50_Tiger
Yep. Posted before that I found out my stepdad survived Katrina from a random message board after he was missing for 6 days.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:25 pm to 50_Tiger
Hopefully the stall before the turn.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:26 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
When are those wind gusts projected to take place?
The highest winds the weather guy said will be on Sunday..after lunch all the way to Midnight...10+ hours of 100+ wind gust. Tremendous wind event
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:26 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
She sure does favor the left side of that cone though. Which is now in the panhandle.
Perhaps. The NHC did a phenomenal job with the forecast track to the point she's at now. The turn is the part where it gets interesting, hence the abnormal uncertainty 24 hours ago. Much of that is gone now.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:26 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
Cuba gonna weaken this thing any? Or is she just gonna shrug it off?
Depends on how long it stays near the coast and how much of the eye ends up on shore.
There was a tremendous convective blowup just as she got close to Cuba. I feel confident Cuba is the reason we're not seeing a big pressure drop and 180 mph winds at this time.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:26 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Nope i've been saying that for the last half hour.
DEF moving NW
sure seems that way, irma sure looks like she isn't ready to take on land again
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:27 pm to GhostofJackson
quote:
I'm still confused. You want a model to tell you exactly where a storm is going 10 days out?
I want my models to tell me where it's going 5 days out. And 5 days ago the NHC was wrong.
I don't understand why it makes people so angry to accept that reality.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 11:28 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:27 pm to GeauxTigers2525
quote:
sure seems that way, irma sure looks like she isn't ready to take on land again
At first I kinda shrugged it off as another wobble but she's been doing that the last few frames.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:28 pm to tunechi
quote:
Looking at the Key West geotag on Snapchat, there's still a bunch of people riding it out down there like it's no big deal Yikes
The cock republic is strong
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:29 pm to LaBR4
quote:
The highest winds the weather guy said will be on Sunday..after lunch all the way to Midnight...10+ hours of 100+ wind gust. Tremendous wind event
Damn. I've never been to the projected landfall area. Are the houses typically on pilings there? Would not want anything lifted off the ground having that kind of strain on it for 10+ hours
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:29 pm to GhostofJackson
Brad Panovich just said he thinks the turn north has started. James Spann retweeted.
is it happening?
is it happening?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:30 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
I want my models to tell me where it's going 5 days out. And 5 days ago the NHC was wrong.
You mean 5 days ago when it had it hitting the northern part of Cuba? You can literally go back one page and see you are wrong.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:30 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Brad Panovich just said he thinks the turn north has started. James Spann retweeted.
is it happening?
She's riding the coast a little bit longer I think.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:30 pm to JetFuelTyga
No problem.
I just happened to remember the post was only a few pages back to just c&p for you. Hard to follow such a long thread by phone.
I've said for several days now that there just isn't a "good" outcome here. No way I want this shifting west and hitting LA, MS, etc but hard to root for it to follow the projected path to smash FL.
I'd say no reason to be nervous right now. Just keep an eye on it to see if there are any drastic changes. It's not going to zip across the coast in a few hours so even if something totally crazy happens you will still have time to prepare!
I just happened to remember the post was only a few pages back to just c&p for you. Hard to follow such a long thread by phone.
I've said for several days now that there just isn't a "good" outcome here. No way I want this shifting west and hitting LA, MS, etc but hard to root for it to follow the projected path to smash FL.
I'd say no reason to be nervous right now. Just keep an eye on it to see if there are any drastic changes. It's not going to zip across the coast in a few hours so even if something totally crazy happens you will still have time to prepare!
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:31 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
I want my models to tell me where it's going 5 days out. And 5 days ago the NHC was wrong.
I don't understand why it makes people so angry to accept that reality.
The nhc was pretty much spot on 5 days ago, unless you are expecting them to have it down to tens of a miles of range. Don't be ridiculous
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 11:32 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:31 pm to 50_Tiger
Apparently Broadwave.com has a Key West webcam going. It's on TWC now.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:31 pm to slackster

This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 11:32 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:32 pm to GhostofJackson
quote:
You mean 5 days ago when it had it hitting the northern part of Cuba? You can literally go back one page and see you are wrong.
The very bottom line of the cone grazed Cuba. If that's your standard then we should expect you to say this will be a direct hit on Destin. Of course no ones saying that - but it's "in the cone" as much as Cuba was
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:32 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
And 5 days ago the NHC was wrong.
tell that to Cuba i suppose.
appears ol Irma just blasted right through there
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