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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:34 am to
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:34 am to
quote:

yeah, it reverted back to a few models ago sparing NC from the right side of the Irma beast. I keep hearing Jose may come in and slam NC.


Uh...
Posted by someLSUdoosh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2016
893 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:39 am to
quote:

VABuckeye


Still have not gotten word from my family. Lots of Info on FB and lists of names out there....not seeing anything though.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6614 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:39 am to
Weird it says 920 outside the eye. I wonder if we're about to see another eyewall replacement?
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 11:40 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:41 am to
Preliminary storm surge inundation map from NHC

These numbers will go higher if landfall in the area is imminent.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39092 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:42 am to
looking at an interactive map from teh 2010 census looks like about 6 million ish

thats a very very crude estimate though.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 11:43 am
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:46 am to
I would just rent a room in St Petersburg or on western coast instead of driving through that traffic.
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22350 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:48 am to
r/TropicalWeather is amazing
Posted by PhillipJFry
Member since Sep 2016
1056 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:48 am to
quote:

Pinellas County, Just north of Tampa, has instituted a 6 am mandatory evac for level A. Level A is low lying, elderly, beach, and special needs people.


Oh boy here we go. There goes 275 and will make 75 even worse. Evacuating there seems excessive does it Not?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:49 am to
NE eyewall had ~165 mph winds just ~310 feet up

~130 mph winds at the surface
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:50 am to
That's quite a bit of water into Homestead..
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:50 am to
quote:

NE eyewall had ~165 mph winds just ~310 feet up

~130 mph winds at the surface




that's down, right?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:51 am to
3rd drop in the eye

it's moved +0.2 N, +0.4 W in about 1 hr 45 min

923 mb from the surface
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:55 am to
quote:

that's down, right?

stronger than their last trip through the NE quad of the eyewall

it's NW quad that has all the most shitty weather
Posted by mouton
Savannah,Ga
Member since Aug 2006
28276 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Doesn't look like it makes actual landfall until going into Georgia. Eye skirts around Miami and Jacksonville and makes landfall around Savannah
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:57 am to
Trying to parse through the raw data dump from the recon. If I'm reading it correctly, they've found Cat 3+ winds out at around 21.2 N with the center at approx 20.3-20.4 N riding out on the NE side of the eye. Since it's just a number dump with no column labeling, I might be misreading it but that's a pretty stout windfield if I'm not wrong.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:57 am to
Reed Timmer is in Key Largo... for those who care
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7789 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:57 am to
quote:

at 90 hrs. the center of the storm is forecast to be 65 miles closer to the Florida coast than the previous run. YIKES!


I have been saying all morning it is moving further W of WNW and is not gaining latitude the models had been anticipating. Little shite now means big shite later.
Posted by Hog Zealot
On the Flats
Member since Mar 2012
1777 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:58 am to
Pinellas is WEST not North of Tampa. It's a level A evac, (coastal) and all mobile homes no matter the zone. We are zone C so still holding at home. Just inland of the Tom Stuart Causeway on Boca Ciega Bay.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:59 am to
quote:

quote:
Doesn't look like it makes actual landfall until going into Georgia. Eye skirts around Miami and Jacksonville and makes landfall around Savannah




Effing A. Not good for HHI to Charleston either....sheeet
Posted by rb
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
5633 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:01 pm to
Been cleaning up at Daufuskie for 11 months & just finished up last weekend. Here we go again.
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