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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:27 pm to
Posted by biohzrd
Central City
Member since Jan 2010
5902 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Just got home. Have to drive a few miles on the interstate and man, there are a shitload of Broward and Dade county tags on the road. They are getting the hell out of Florida altogether.



That's a good thing. I hate hearing people are having to leave behind almost everything, and may come back to nothing, but atleast they will make it out with their life.
Posted by ForeverGator
Elite 8 - 2020 Worst SECRant Poster
Member since Nov 2012
14197 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:28 pm to
Gainesville
Posted by biohzrd
Central City
Member since Jan 2010
5902 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Not if you live at the tip of Florida or Georgia/SC/NC. If it misses Puerto Rico it maintains its strength.


I was be hopeful that the models would be wrong, and it would make its turn earlier than expected, and never make a full blown landfall again.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53867 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:29 pm to
That's pretty good for it being Wed. They should be glad they are ahead of the pack
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Talked to a guy who said a pallet of water was gone in 30 seconds


There was a video of something similar on twitter earlier. Pallet rolls out and is gone in 30 seconds.

it was under @hurricaneirma2017 tag
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:32 pm to
quote:


Maybe just wishful thinking on my part, but it looks like she's starting to go more north.



She's certainly had a more northern component to the movement this afternoon, but not really far off the expected path and the mechanism to drive the big north turn isn't in place yet.

It does spare PR the worst of it though, and eliminates the possibility of a Hispaniola strike thankfully. I know Florida might want the land interaction, but storms hitting the DR and especially Haiti are humanitarian disasters.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34099 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:32 pm to
Anyone else seeing the new update that Irma is turning more north? They have it going east of Florida now and more towards S. Carolina
Posted by ForeverGator
Elite 8 - 2020 Worst SECRant Poster
Member since Nov 2012
14197 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:32 pm to
I am definitely going to have to use a different path home the next two days. I can see it just getting that much worse. They've started canceling reservations for hotels here for people that were coming for the game and putting refugees in them from what I've heard. The way it should be. I still cannot believe they are having this stupid game.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:33 pm to
12z HMON taking Irma down to 875mb before Miami landfall.



Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:33 pm to
The Hurricane Hole before/after photos in Tortola, BVI.

The Moorings and Sunsail Charters took a hit.




More Tortola pics


Road Town in Tortola, BVI


This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 4:38 pm
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
8041 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

Anyone else seeing the new update that Irma is turning more north? They have it going east of Florida now and more towards S. Carolina



Everyone here is looking at the most up to date models, and this is not the case. GFS running right now I think; we will see, the euro earlier actually moved west from the 3am one.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Anyone else seeing the new update that Irma is turning more north? They have it going east of Florida now and more towards S. Carolina


Umm, you might want to inform the NHC, because their new update says this thing is going to make landfall over Miami.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:36 pm to
quote:


Presentation of Irma, somehow, improving this afternoon. The field of cold cloudtops has expanded and it's more symmetrical, though not the perfect circle Irma was showing yesterday at this time. Not surprising at all to see the pressure once again dropping, some 8 mb since mid-morning.

She's only got warmer water ahead on the approach to Florida too.



The shear from earlier has died off. There are signs that a secondary eyewall is forming and a ERC might happen tonight. That would set the stage for another round of intensification. However, we saw the same yesterday and the walls just merged. A run at sub 900 could be on the table.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30505 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

12z HMON taking Irma down to 875mb before Miami landfall.


that would be very, very bad
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34099 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:37 pm to
Twitter Quote


Was referring to this.
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Anyone else seeing the new update that Irma is turning more north? They have it going east of Florida now and more towards S. Carolina


What "new update" are you looking at?
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11878 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:39 pm to
Of the total Antigua + Barbuda population, Barbuda is 3% of that total according to a CIA website.

Then there are the sites that talk about cities and don't know what to do with Barbuda so they lump it as 10,000 to 100,000 because their definitions can't conceive of a country with smaller cities.

(The google map is an interesting and depressing visit.)
Posted by buffbraz
Member since Nov 2005
5742 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:39 pm to
Any chance Turks and Caicos doesn't get absolutely hammered?
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22750 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:40 pm to
From St. Martin. Look at the trees on the mountains. Completely stripped.
This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 4:42 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

However, we saw the same yesterday and the walls just merged.


I remember a typhoon, I think it was Haiyan do the same thing.

quote:

A run at sub 900 could be on the table.


It's hard not to think that with the conditions in front of her. The ACE is going to be in super typhoon territory.
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