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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:00 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:00 pm to
18z GFS

Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:01 pm to
Road Town Tortola (Dolphin Discovery Bldg in blue)




This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 5:03 pm
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39084 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:02 pm to
sometimes some of these models will have something weird built into the formulas where it takes some weird factor that rarely happens into consideration that fricks with the output. My guess is HMON is taking one of those weird factors into account.
Posted by PhillipJFry
Member since Sep 2016
1056 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:02 pm to
Look at all those trees, damn.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:03 pm to
Good lord, Tortola
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36217 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:03 pm to
Jeez
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Could that be true? WTF would the wind speeds be?



Those same images show the max winds being 180mph. We've seen storms get down into the 890s and have winds in the 180-190mph range.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:04 pm to
If any of you have been to Ivan's on White Bay on Jost Van Dyke this is what's left of it. Goddamn I hate these storms. I'll probably have more pics in the coming days to post from my friends down there who are hopefully safe. Yes, this is the Ivan's that Kenny Chesney sings about in Somewhere In The Sun.

Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
71105 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:05 pm to
Praying most made it out safely, all that truly matters. Property is replaceable but a life isn't.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Good lord, Tortola


So sad.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39084 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

I have to imagine they learn a ton from each scenario like this
what a lot of people dont realize is that atmospheric science is still a really really young science in the grand scheme of things. i mean it wasnt really studied on a huge scale until the 1900's and didnt make huge jumps until the implementation of radar. Just about every situation brings about something new to study and look at to better help us understand what is happening. People always like to shite on forecasters for being wrong but with how little is truly known about how the atmosphere works the general accuracy meteorologists are able to forecast is really amazing.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
157488 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:06 pm to
I can't imagine what Miami is going to look like if it comes ashore there. Miami beach will be part of the ocean.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22752 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:07 pm to
More and more reports coming out from St. Martin saying the island is decimated. Go to Twitter with hashtag #stmartin.
Posted by MaHittaMaHitta
Member since May 2014
3198 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:07 pm to
THE BLUE SHED MADE IT!
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79805 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:08 pm to
A bunch of stuff is still standing, impressive.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

If any of you have been to Ivan's on White Bay on Jost Van Dyke this is what's left of it.
I was there a year ago. That's absolutely terrible.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:10 pm to
That's the bar and restaurant. I think. It's hard to tell what is what in the picture.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:11 pm to
Barbuda aerial footage now showing LINK It certainly looks bad but some of the properties made out better than others. Did see a Cell Phone tower which was snapped in half that was very impressive to see the power of the Hurricane.

This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 5:16 pm
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30955 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:11 pm to
St Martin airport


Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15742 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Does anyone know what exactly is going to keep Irma out of the gulf? I've just never seen a hurricane make pretty much a 90 degree turn like that before


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