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1
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:42 pm to FairhopeTider
damn...
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:43 pm to GEAUXT
There is something off with the HMON. The GFS might have actually nailed the sub 900mb pressures (time will tell) but the HMON has been ripping away at record smashing pressures for the Atlantic run after run.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:43 pm to rds dc
quote:
The shear from earlier has died off.
It's scary that the shear is dying off while Irma never wavered from 185mph winds.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:47 pm to ByteMe
quote:
Is HMON the track that most people have been making fun of?
We've just been questioning the record breaking pressures it keeps spitting out.
Track from HMON has been decent.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:50 pm to slackster
It's like watching the election night exit polling. It'll be interesting to see who was right and wrong.
I have to imagine they learn a ton from each scenario like this.
I have to imagine they learn a ton from each scenario like this.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:50 pm to slackster
quote:
It's scary that the shear is dying off while Irma never wavered from 185mph winds.
That's the incredible thing. It maintained its intensity this entire time and has now intensified even further.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:54 pm to GEAUXT
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:54 pm to slackster
Looks like the new GFS have pressures at 898 southeast of Miami at 78 Hours
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:55 pm to RollTide1987
Does anyone know what exactly is going to keep Irma out of the gulf? I've just never seen a hurricane make pretty much a 90 degree turn like that before
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:55 pm to GeuaxTigers504
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:55 pm to LSU5508
Father-in-law just checked in from St.Thomas in the virgin islands.
He survived. Waiting on status update about the house and the rest of the island.
He survived. Waiting on status update about the house and the rest of the island.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:56 pm to GeuaxTigers504
A Front coming from up North.It has been explained a few times.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:56 pm to slackster
quote:
12z HMON taking Irma down to 875mb before Miami landfall.
Could that be true? WTF would the wind speeds be?
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:57 pm to LSU5508
quote:
Looks like the new GFS have pressures at 898 southeast of Miami at 78 Hours
That's incredible.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:57 pm to LSU5508
GFS is sparing Miami it looks like...
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:58 pm to GeuaxTigers504
quote:
Does anyone know what exactly is going to keep Irma out of the gulf? I've just never seen a hurricane make pretty much a 90 degree turn like that before
A high over Texas/four corners to block, an upper low projected to swing down into SEC country and the Atlantic high pressure eroding a bit. Irma splits in between the upper low and Atlantic high. Basically.
All the models have some variation on the positioning and strength of those features, but all seem to have them in place in some form and they all have Irma cut hard north near Florida for that reason.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:58 pm to GeuaxTigers504
quote:
Does anyone know what exactly is going to keep Irma out of the gulf? I've just never seen a hurricane make pretty much a 90 degree turn like that before
Pretty sure this high atmosphere cold front moving in. Someone correct me but I think essentially the dry air acts as a giant wall and pushes the low level hurricane away.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:59 pm to Rakim
Not sure about that definitely skirting the coast but appears to have the Western eyewall close to shore at 90 hours.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 4:59 pm to slackster
quote:
875mb before Miami landfall.
Damn. This is a monster storm
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