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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:24 pm to
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108259 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:24 pm to
Wtf?
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
157481 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

I think their best bet is to leave tomorrow at a ridiculous time (e.g. 1 am)


My buddy is doing this strategy tonight. Will update how it went for him.

Problem is that he's evacuating to his mom's condo in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL. It's a new condo so it's built to Cat 5 standards but still.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:26 pm to
Top part was quoted.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177151 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:26 pm to
Is Rick Scott broken? He repeated the same sentences multiple times just now.
Posted by thesoccerfanjax
Member since Nov 2013
6128 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

The arrogance of those who haven't suffered-yet.


I grew up in FL my whole life. I'm not new to this hurricane thing. I grew up in South FL in the 90's. I know what it's like. Sorry if I don't buy into the fear mongering going on here and in the media. We are prepared for the worst but hoping for the best.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45864 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:27 pm to
New condo high up outside of Miami should be fine. I think we're just going to bunker down here in Tampa barring any last minute shifts
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72057 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

See what it's like after having lived through a couple.


Dude I'm from Louisiana and live in south Florida. I don't know anyone who HASNT been greatly affected by a storm. It doesn't mean people can just say frick all responsibilities and bounce out almost a week ahead of time.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45864 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:28 pm to
Rick Scott is a moron
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:28 pm to
You should be okay in Tampa Ocean.
Posted by SpanishFortTiger
Spanish Fort, Alabama
Member since Dec 2014
1662 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:28 pm to
I think people underestimate the time it takes to move around during these circumstances. Regardless I hope the best for you and your family.
Posted by thesoccerfanjax
Member since Nov 2013
6128 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Problem is that he's evacuating to his mom's condo in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL. It's a new condo so it's built to Cat 5 standards but still.





Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45864 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:28 pm to


I'm more concerned about the elderly down south. I know some of the nursing homes are already in the process of evacuating.
Posted by thesoccerfanjax
Member since Nov 2013
6128 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

It doesn't mean people can just say frick all responsibilities and bounce out almost a week ahead of time.


x10000
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177151 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:29 pm to
Jacksonville is going to be fine. It's in a great location. This storm has two option for Jacksonville. It will either go straight up the peninsula which means it will be much much weaker when it gets to Jacksonville. Or it will stay right off the Florida coast and with the way the coast goes a bit concave at Jacksonville it will keep the city away from the center of the storm. The impact will be like it was for Matthew last year if it takes the path right off the coast.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178746 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:


Problem is that he's evacuating to his mom's condo in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL. It's a new condo so it's built to Cat 5 standards but still.


make sure he knows how to periscope.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
157481 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

. I think we're just going to bunker down here in Tampa barring any last minute shifts


You should be good assuming no westward shifts I would think.

Jacksonville is kind of inset to the West so if we get any amount of jog to the East we should be in relatively good shape. It's tough to make that call though when this bastard is so strong.
Posted by thesoccerfanjax
Member since Nov 2013
6128 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:30 pm to
You're exactly right and that's what I'm hoping for. Historically, that's how it's typically gone down so we will see.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95496 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:30 pm to
New update looking a little better(track wise, anyway) for Florida - the more of Florida that stays on the good side of the storm, the better.

Still going to be a rough one to ride out, but if the East side of that storm stays offshore, pounding the Atlantic Ocean instead of folks and property, it will be a much less catastrophic even, IMO.
This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 2:31 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:30 pm to
AF305 3rd dropsonde in Irma's eye

18.5 N 64.8 W

+0.1 N +0.4 W in 1 hr 50 minutes since 2nd eye drop

917 MB at the surface (down 4 mb since previous drop)
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