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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:40 pm to thesoccerfanjax
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:40 pm to thesoccerfanjax
quote:
Andrew
CAT 4, yes it was a major hurricane
quote:
Wilma
CAT 3 when it hit, but yes, I'd consider Wilma a major Hurricane....how much damage did Jacksonville get from Wilma?
3
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:41 pm to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:42 pm to TheOcean
quote:
I think their best bet is to leave tomorrow at a ridiculous time (e.g. 1 am)
This was my strategy for leaving Metairie for Gustav in 2008. I was still 12-24 hours late. 20 hours after I left my house at 3 AM, I ended up at my destination in Birmingham. That sucked.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:42 pm to tgrbaitn08
Andrew hit as a cat 5. They upgraded Andrew afterwards
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:43 pm to lsutiger2010
People hear " oh my house was built to the new Cat 5 standards" and think they are living in a bomb shelter. At the end of the day all that really means is the super structure of the house won't fly away. You can still expect massive damage, roof leakes or even breached, busted out windows, 2x4s, trees, and anything else the trashy neighbors left out, being tossed around at 150mph. Your power and water will more than likely go down for no one knows how long.
Think of it like car crash impact ratings. Sure you can have a Volvo that can take a huge crash, but do you really want to test it out against a good ole baw's f250 with truck nuts swinging?
Think of it like car crash impact ratings. Sure you can have a Volvo that can take a huge crash, but do you really want to test it out against a good ole baw's f250 with truck nuts swinging?
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:44 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Tread lightly baw. Chicken be watching this thread.
Chicken be like:
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:47 pm to tiger91
quote:
Wasn't this "dark" about 90 minutes ago.
It was.
That table survived!! I sit there often so that makes me happy.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:47 pm to biohzrd
Sweeeeeedish!
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:48 pm to biohzrd
quote:
People hear " oh my house was built to the new Cat 5 standards" and think they are living in a bomb shelter. At the end of the day all that really means is the super structure of the house won't fly away. You can still expect massive damage, roof leakes or even breached, busted out windows, 2x4s, trees, and anything else the trashy neighbors left out, being tossed around at 150mph. Your power and water will more than likely go down for no one knows how long.
Think of it like car crash impact ratings. Sure you can have a Volvo that can take a huge crash, but do you really want to test it out against a good ole baw's f250 with truck nuts swinging?
Normal run of the mill "contractor" windows are rated for a design pressure of 35 psf at the most in pretty much any brand, which means they have to test to 1.5 times that for the rating = DP52.5; that is equivalent to 140-150 mph winds and let me tell you, they cut as many corners as possible to get as cheap as possible while still passing so you can guarantee they wont make it much farther. In some cases, big manufacturers will just test a 100 windows until one passes; that's how tight they ride the line.
Now those types of windows cant be installed in high velocity wind zones like Miami legally, but for everyone else; you're lucky if the windows that came with your house even tested that high, bc usually they are pieces of absolute shite. I know florida is pretty strict about window structural ratings, but other states, the inspectors don't even know about window ratings, so who knows what most people have in their house.
This post was edited on 9/6/17 at 2:51 pm
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:48 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
CAT 3 when it hit, but yes, I'd consider Wilma a major Hurricane....how much damage did Jacksonville get from Wilma?
Don't remember. I grew up in Palm Beach area, not jax.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:48 pm to The Boat
quote:
Andrew hit as a cat 5. They upgraded Andrew afterwards
you're right..I stand corrected
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:50 pm to The Boat
quote:But The Boat knows
That's a good thing since a 5 day model has a 100% chance of being wrong.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:52 pm to The Boat
quote:
That's a good thing since a 5 day model has a 100% chance of being wrong.
So people who do this for a living are 100% wrong, but you're right?
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:53 pm to TH03
quote:
So people who do this for a living are 100% wrong, but you're right?
I see this is your first day on a message board. Step this way and we'll show you where the locker room is...
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:54 pm to JuiceTerry
All he's saying is that the shape of the coastline helps protect Jax. It's not some impossible forecast he's making. Y'all suck at reading comprehension.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:55 pm to LSUJuice
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 10:27 pm
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:56 pm to nicholastiger
quote:Or at least it will be worse in S. FL and not as bad for central and north FL coasts as Matthew. The damage may be similar just flipped as the closest approach will be south as opposed to north FL this time.
It will be worse than Matthew if it hugs coast, much bigger storm.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:58 pm to lsutiger2010
But his whole point is that because of the shape of the coastline, the only way there is a direct hit on Jax is if it travels on land up the peninsula... and would be much weaker by the time it gets there. Other alternative is it stays offshore... again because of the shape of the coastline.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:59 pm to The Boat
quote:The Boat knows all...sees all. Just like....
You're hoping for death and destruction if you don't think Jacksonville is going to be fine.
Posted on 9/6/17 at 2:59 pm to St Augustine
quote:
Right, well in the slim chance we don't get 150 mph winds on a storm that could still fluctuate pretty wildly and not get up here until Sunday, I think I'll just avoid completely panicking and take the time to secure my shite and make sure my neighbors are good as well
Sure, but the other Jacksonville poster is talking about it like it's just another Thursday at work tomorrow.
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