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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:48 pm to bigpapamac
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:48 pm to bigpapamac
Sometimes when the models disagree this much I wonder if they're doing it intentionally because the DONT know where Irma will end up yet but want everyone within the "cone" to prepare themselves.
That would explain why the gfs is on the east side of the cone and euro on the west side
That would explain why the gfs is on the east side of the cone and euro on the west side
0
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:48 pm to Tigerbait357
Nope
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:49 pm to Tigerbait357
Within 3 days sure. outside of that who knows
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 5:50 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:49 pm to rds dc
Yes, and the NHC/NOAA has it at 21.4N 81.5W at 4:00pm on Sunday.
GFS - it's at 27.5N 78.3W
That's 477 miles apart center to center. That's really a big difference at this point.
GFS - it's at 27.5N 78.3W
That's 477 miles apart center to center. That's really a big difference at this point.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:50 pm to Pedro
quote:
I picture nhc offices looking a lot like that episode of spongebob where his brain is going haywire and all the other spongebobs are freaking the frick out.
There's a huge category five moving toward Florida and the models have no answers. There is only darkness. Errr...
We're going to take the Euro and run with it for now.
Oh and 914.3 off recon now.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:50 pm to Tigerbait357
basically in the next 24-72 hrs i'd say yes, they know where its going after that depends on a few things that will most likely put it on either side of florida
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:51 pm to slackster
quote:
Video from eye wall and breaking thru to eye
Amazing footage. I guess there is a reason to use props instead of jets?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:52 pm to rocket31
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:52 pm to HubbaBubba
Question about Jose forming behind Irma.
Is Jose more likely to be strengthened, weakened, or steered in any direction following in Irma's distant shadow or is there no effect in these scenarios?
Is Jose more likely to be strengthened, weakened, or steered in any direction following in Irma's distant shadow or is there no effect in these scenarios?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:53 pm to GeauxTigers2525
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:53 pm to AU24
Has pressure way too high. Don't trust that
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 5:59 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:55 pm to RatLTrap
quote:
looks like I might lose vacation property in st kitts
Yea my private island estate in the Caribbean is likely going to be wiped out. Sucks
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:56 pm to kadillak
generally one would expect irma to create a lot of upwelling from being a strong storm, and bring lots of cooler water up from the atlantic to the surface, weather or not that would put a damper on development is hard to say at this point.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:57 pm to rocket31
quote:
check out the live feeds, winds are starting to pick up
Thanks man. I'm texting with a buddy that has a condo on Cruz Bay. A bunch of people are holing up in his place to ride the storm out. Cruz Bay looks to be about as protected as it's going to get on St. John. Coral Bay, on the other hand is going to get crushed.
If any of you have been to Foxy's Taboo on Jost Van Dyke it may be gone. It's completely exposed.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:57 pm to rds dc
What's the annular rating on Irma now?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:58 pm to kadillak
quote:
Is Jose more likely to be strengthened, weakened, or steered
The news just said Jose is going to go north.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:58 pm to rds dc
frick, this is a monster storm. Look at that eye wall. 
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:59 pm to AU24
Stop showing shite models
Posted on 9/5/17 at 6:00 pm to deltaland
So is GFS now the outlier and Euro the most consistent with other models?
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