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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:00 pm to
Posted by Mr. Misanthrope
Cloud 8
Member since Nov 2012
6421 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:00 pm to
Last I saw it was 185 MPH. But with continued pressure dropping 200 seems possible, even probable. I am amazed at the models that picked up the extreme deepening and commensurate increase in wind speed.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:00 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:00 pm to
So this might be the most impressive microwave image if an eye you'll ever see. Dear Lord.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:01 pm to
NHC discussion mentioned the possibility of an eyewall replacement about to get started. They might just miss the peak of this cycle.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

quote:
It's so strong it's gonna wobble

Get in there, yeah, yeah


I lol'd.
Posted by cleeveclever
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2046 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

I can't for the life of me understand how an airplane can fly through 200mph+ crosswinds. It seems like it would flip the plane on its side.



How Do Planes Fly Into Hurricanes?
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46340 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:01 pm to
There isn't enough Xanax and red wine on the planet.
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:02 pm to
Hurricane goatse
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
26633 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

video from hurricane hunter plane


Jesus, at one point it looks like they're flying underwater.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:04 pm to
It's perfect. Never seen anything like it. Hope I never do again.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24184 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

I can't for the life of me understand how an airplane can fly through 200mph+ crosswinds. It seems like it would flip the plane on its side.


Umm, pretty sure they fly over it and then into the eye which is relatively calm.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Last I saw it was 185 MPH. But with continued pressure dropping 200 seems possible, even probable. I am amazed at the models that picked up the extreme deepening and commensurate increase in wind speed


It's going to be a monster. Hopefully it hits less populated areas. It seems unlikely that it would hook away from the GoM.

With those winds, even areas well inland will see catastrophic damage.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

That prison may be built to withstand some cat 5 winds but not cat 5 storm surge. Whoever decided to build a prison there was a moron, and whoever decided not to evacuate the prisoners is a moron. Now would be the time to do it long before shite gets real and personnel would be needed elsewhere.



If I was employed at that prison and they told me I had to stay...today would be my last day working there
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102522 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:08 pm to
Irma still tracking due west and gaining speed. Only 130 miles from the islands. She better turn NW soon or its gonna be a much more southern track than anticipated
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Umm, pretty sure they fly over it and then into the eye which is relatively calm.


Flight level winds are up to 180 mph on recent flights, so they do fly through it.
Posted by LadyTigress
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2017
632 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

If I was employed at that prison and they told me I had to stay...today would be my last day working there


No escaping death row.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83708 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:09 pm to
it might be my dumb arse pea brain, but is it tracking further south than originally anticipated?
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Irma still tracking due west and gaining speed. Only 130 miles from the islands. She better turn NW soon or its gonna be a much more southern track than anticipated


So Cuba appears to be in the cross hairs directly? That would be slightly farther south than originally estimated.

That could weaken it before it gets into the gulf.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 4:11 pm
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23715 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:10 pm to
The 5:00 PM is out. Still at 185 sustained.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:10 pm to
quote:


it might be my dumb arse pea brain, but is it tracking further south than originally anticipated

Originally anticipated when?
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