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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:02 am to
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71046 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:02 am to
I'm no expert but if the eye doesn't make landfall, very little weakening will occur. At least I think that's how it goes.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39094 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:02 am to
quote:

e slower storm putting wind across the water for a longer period of time provides more overall force to build up greater momentum in the coming surge? I'm guessing that's the idea here.
that is correct.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Yep. The powers that be in the NFL have reached out to the super dome to discuss playing the game there

all I can remember is the Saints 1st game in BR after Katrina was Nick Saban and the Dolphins
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51680 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Models tracked farther west the last 12 hours.

Tampa may be fricked.
GFS (latest 06Z run) absolutely shifted EAST, not WEST. The next run coming up soon will confirm if the forcast maintains the eastern shift or moves back west
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39094 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:03 am to
I thank that's vaguely correct. I'm not a hundred percent on that though that may be more of an rds/bay answer.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:05 am to
quote:

I didn't think sub 900 was possible still don't believe it will but who knows at this point.


Sub 900 is certainly possible, but those big dips down to like 880 as the GFS has been throwing out would basically require a little upper level help to enhance the ventilation. We'll see if it materializes.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Max sustained: 180 mph

Good. fricking. God.
Posted by Wal-Mart Warrior
Houston
Member since Aug 2013
765 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:05 am to
We just got back from honeymoon in Antigua, thankfully we left on Monday while weather as still good. The resort we stayed at (was on west coast of island thankfully) was not very hurricane safe (small cabanas made of wood and tin roofs) and they have evacuated everyone that is staying to a more safe and secure resort. I am hoping that some people will be able to leave today cause Irma is going to be hell for the island.

Talking with the locals they didn't seem to worried about the storm but that wasn't when it was a Cat 5 like it is now. Driving through the island I could only imagine what Irma is going to do. One good thing about Antigua is the island has some good size mountains/foothills to protect it from the wind.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:05 am to
What would y'all say the odds are of this thing making landfall anywheres between Galveston and, say Pensacola?
Posted by HoldTheDoor
STL
Member since May 2016
102 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:06 am to
So I've been lurking this thread since the beginning, but have a question. Currently, we're vacationing in Grand Cayman. From what I've seen, looks like maybe some rain Saturday/Sunday morning. We don't fly out until Monday the 11th. Should we be concerned that it actually might hit here?
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71046 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:06 am to
quote:

What would y'all say the odds are of this thing making landfall anywheres between Galveston and, say Pensacola?



The odds are slim but there's always a chance.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:06 am to
SIAP, been away for a while.

I've seen reports of gusts in Irma of up to 215mph.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 10:09 am
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:07 am to
quote:

So I've been lurking this thread since the beginning, but have a question. Currently, we're vacationing in Grand Cayman. From what I've seen, looks like maybe some rain Saturday/Sunday morning. We don't fly out until Monday the 11th. Should we be concerned that it actually might hit here?


Grand Cayman will be fine.
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11006 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:09 am to
quote:

So I've been lurking this thread since the beginning, but have a question. Currently, we're vacationing in Grand Cayman. From what I've seen, looks like maybe some rain Saturday/Sunday morning. We don't fly out until Monday the 11th. Should we be concerned that it actually might hit here?
I'd definitely keep a constant eye on it, but as of now, you're good.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8849 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:09 am to
quote:

One good thing about Antigua is the island has some good size mountains/foothills to protect it from the wind.


Only problem is the winds will likely be even stronger at elevation. Several islands in the Caribbean are going to get a huge hit from this.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26682 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Grand Cayman "should" be fine
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:10 am to
oh quick thread hi-jack we have TS Jose out in the Atlantic now.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:10 am to
And landslides. I'd be a little worried about landslides.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:10 am to
dropsonde in the eye says 927 mb

also 0.1 degree north of where it was 1 hr 45 min ago when the previous dropsonde was dropped

ETA: 927 mb at the surface
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 10:11 am
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31584 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Jim Cantore is headed to South Beach. :smh: as he doesn't have the balls to sit in Islamorada.


Can you imagine the shite show trying to get up Hwy 1A to the mainland over the next couple days?
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