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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:11 am to GetCocky11
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:11 am to GetCocky11
This looks bad 
0
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:11 am to GetCocky11
Is rds going to start the Jose thread, too? Looks like we have another to watch.
I will not get any work done from now until November
I will not get any work done from now until November
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:12 am to rt3
It's still moving basically due west, with a storm so strong wobbles will happen.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:12 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:
What would y'all say the odds are of this thing making landfall anywheres between Galveston and, say Pensacola?
So you want to know if it will hit Louisiana?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:12 am to lsuman25
quote:
It's still moving basically due west, with a storm so strong wobbles will happen.
oh I know
still worth pointing out though
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:14 am to rt3
I wish the damn thing would just start moving due north and basically miss everyone.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:14 am to rt3
Are we now at the "point of no return" for the hope that this thing will turn north and east and go quietly out to sea and miss the US altogether?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:15 am to GetCocky11
Yeah both of those are good points. Also with winds between close foothills/mountains there is potential for increased wind speeds due to wind tunneling effect.
Checked the Antigua airport and looks like they are still flying in/out and have increased the departure flights. So that's good.
Edit: Spelling
Checked the Antigua airport and looks like they are still flying in/out and have increased the departure flights. So that's good.
Edit: Spelling
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 10:16 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:16 am to LSUGrad9295
quote:
Are we now at the "point of no return" for the hope that this thing will turn north and east and go quietly out to sea and miss the US altogether?
Not at all. While not looking nearly as likely as a Florida strike, that possibility is still open through it's approach toward the Bahamas and Florida.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:16 am to LSUGrad9295
quote:
Are we now at the "point of no return" for the hope that this thing will turn north and east and go quietly out to sea and miss the US altogether?
Some models still showing that as a possibility as of 15 minutes ago. Looking more and more like the Florida peninsula is gonna get rocked.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:16 am to LSUGrad9295
quote:
Are we now at the "point of no return" for the hope that this thing will turn north and east and go quietly out to sea and miss the US altogether?
NM, listen to Duke.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 10:19 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:17 am to LSUGrad9295
quote:
Are we now at the "point of no return" for the hope that this thing will turn north and east and go quietly out to sea and miss the US altogether?
I'd say there is very very very little chance this does not impact the continental US at this point. Even if it shifted east and crazy turn north earlier, it would still impact the coast and hence, would not go quietly.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:18 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:as of right now low but theres still very little certainty on anything with this right now. still very much in wait and see mode for just about everyone
What would y'all say the odds are of this thing making landfall anywheres between Galveston and, say Pensacola?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:19 am to Pedro
Well, looks like I'm not gonna get shite done this week.
These things are fascinating.
These things are fascinating.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:20 am to OldSouth
Thanks for the replies. I'll continue to read this thread religiously like I've been doing. Looks like if we were to fly out any later than Monday, we might not get to fly into Charlotte airport.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:20 am to bamarep
This storm looks to head over all those island chains and Cuba south of the U.S. won't all that time over land really weaken this?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:21 am to HoldTheDoor
wtf 180mph winds now? jesus
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:21 am to TennesseeFan25
the NHC track makes it look like the only model that they are using is the Euro.
stupid of them IMO
stupid of them IMO
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:22 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Looking for signs of Irma losing a little steam, and no, not really there to be found.
It's got a healthy outflow channel setting up to the NE with increasingly cold cloudtops filling in. Convection still strong wrapping around the east side of the circulation and she looks to be expanding the overall cloudcover. Eye perhaps contracting a bit, but that indicates continued strengthening.
Looks like we gots a healthy five until the eventual eyewall replacement.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 10:22 am to toosleaux
Not that it means a lot at this point, but at least the moon phase is not in sync with the arrival in Florida. No full moon or new moon (although there is tonight in the Leeward), so the tidal pull won't pull the tide up higher as it pulls in the tidal surge.
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