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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:22 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Which are the best enhancements for a layperson to view?

Just stare at your avitar
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:23 pm to
I like RBTOP and Funktop. They're good for showing the stronger parts of a storm, Funktop for precipitation especially. Rainbow is also used a lot. Dvorak is used sometimes to classify a storm using the Dvorak technique.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
48827 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:25 pm to
Damn, that radar pic from recon looks crazy. Just a "beautiful" looking storm. I know it's not good IRL, but as a storm, that thing is wrapped up nicely.
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

When did the eye of a storm pass 'over' West Palm Beach? I owned a home near there in Ocean Ridge and don't recall any storm where the eye went over Palm Beach.


Wilma's eye passed right over my house in the 33409. I lost directv after the eyewall passed. Then it went out to sea in Jupiter.
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32234 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:36 pm to
That just caused quite the rise.....in barometric pressure
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:37 pm to
The data dump was ingested by the 00z NAM and it is kicking the trough out faster. Have to wait and see what that means in the GFS but there will probably be some significant shifts.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:37 pm to
NOAA2 is in fact going home

now AF305 is the only plane currently doing recon in Irma
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105207 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:38 pm to
Good or bad shifts?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

The data dump was ingested by the 00z NAM and it is kicking the trough out faster. Have to wait and see what that means in the GFS but there will probably be some significant shifts.

that doesn't make me feel any better rds
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134768 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

it is kicking the trough out faster
What does that mean exactly?

Eta: Do you mean the trough is forming faster or it is weakening faster?
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 9:45 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Good or bad shifts?

I read that as bad b/c the trough is what's supposed to grab Irma and pull it out to sea

ETA: if the trough is out of the area faster... that would mean the chances of Irma finding it is lessened
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 9:41 pm
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23706 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:40 pm to


Stock up on your whiskey and beer now gents.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:40 pm to
So these things collecting info ... if they're dropped how do they get them back or is it just all computerized?? Not trying to be silly at all. Truly trying to learn and y'all are great at simple terms. Tia.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 9:41 pm
Posted by TitleistProV1X
Member since Nov 2015
3647 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:41 pm to
I can't remember a single update recently that shifted the track east. This thing is consistently shifting west. I'm sure by tomorrow It'll be going through Destin.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

How's the hurricane looking for the gulf? Haven't been able to keep up with the thread much today.




A trip up the central Florida peninsula is basically the consensus at this point. A trip up the easter Florida coast is the next most likely outcome, followed by a trip up the western Florida coast.

Direct impacts in Florida are pretty likely at this point. There are a few outliers that suggest it may get into the GOM, but of those, most suggest it will head northward after entering and hit the panhandle.

I'd argue things look better for the GOM today than they did yesterday, simply because we're roughly 5 days out and most models are still suggesting a northward turn before, in the middle, or immediately after it passes Floridia.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 9:45 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

So these things collecting info ... if they're dropped how do they get them back or is it just all computerized?? Not trying to be silly at all. Truly trying to learn and y'all are great at simple terms. Tia.

Wiki on dropsondes
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:43 pm to
...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 4
Location: 16.7°N 55.6°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 943 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

So these things collecting info ... if they're dropped how do they get them back or is it just all computerized?? Not trying to be silly at all. Truly trying to learn and y'all are great at simple terms. Tia.


They just report data back. Pretty sure they're left at sea.

Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51674 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:44 pm to
You're right. I'd blocked it out. We had lots of tree damage and damn near lost Two Georges there off the intercoastal at Boynton Beach.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:44 pm to
Do you mean the dropsondes?

They send back info via radio and have a gps to track it. Can you imagine trying to retrieve one in the middle of raging hurricane?
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