re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

quote:

---

Philippe Papin
@pppapin
·
1m
Now that we have a @NOAA_HurrHunter plane making center fixes of #Ida, wanted to see how location compares to EC/GFS ensembles to infer near-term trends.

Pretty clear latest fix is on right side of ensemble envelope, but closer to mean of 12z GEFS (which was east of 12z EC EPS)

---

quote:

---

The east shift continues….

---

Ride those northern members out and see where it ends up.

quote:

---

Looks like the outer bands are starting to hit the mouth.

---

Mike Tyson moment for SELA

At this point I’m just hoping for west eye wall over east eye wall

quote:

---

Yeah I’d issue evacuation orders for Orleans and parts of Jefferson now if I was JBE.

---

Given the approach, I think Jefferson would want to act more. Specifically the Westbank.

quote:

---

The east shift continues….

---

There has t been any shift East in the track from BR, right? Looking at the NHCs track from this morning and comparing it to the current, both tracks look basically the same.

quote:

---

Also, second time for a big time hurricane the Euro ensembles were all too far west, where the GEFS had it well within the spread. That was a hell of a upgrade.

---

I think the models that has the more eastern tracks will continue prove correct on this one. Hopefully it won’t be an intense storm.

Rare to have one hurricane seriously threaten both Baton Rouge AND New Orleans.

quote:

---

The Westbank is on the east side of the city

---

It's more south of the city. The angle is going to be pushing water from the SE. That's the part of the levee system most likely to be really tested here.

Drink plenty, turn the ac down low, pray to the Lord, and string up your kites. Gonna be a goodun.

Yes, right winger collectivists are such victims. You poor things.