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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:07 am to GetCocky11
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:07 am to GetCocky11
quote:
wouldn't want to be in the mountains this weekend if this track stays true.
You know, or should know, if your area is prone to flooding. Make the call accordingly.
0
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:08 am to slackster
Anyone have suggestions for a good 5 minute daily video that explains the major national weather patterns/gulf activity?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:09 am to deltaland
quote:
How are conditions looking today for any intensification?
She's got about 18 hours to make a run toward high end 4. Little upper trough on the west side has eroded overnight. Eye pretty symmetrical this AM and a little less lopsided overall, if still a little light on the south.
Notable from last nights HH flight, the wind field is pretty damn expansive. About 100 miles from the center on the NE.
And I see Euro sticking with SW drift into SC/GA.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:09 am to Kingpenm3
Tropical tidbits on YouTube
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:15 am to rds dc
It's refreshing to wake up to some good news after last season bringing worst case scenarios nearly everyday during the active stretch of the season. 95L looks worse this morning, has less model support than yesterday and NHC lowered it to 60%. Recon found Isaac nearly sheared to death with the center exposed west of the deep convection. A combo of data suggest that Florence has never fully restructured the storm core after the 1st ERC and is likely starting another one this morning. With all that said, Florence is still a very large and dangerous storm.
Dr. Ventrice posted the IBM wx model which does show 95L as a TS and Isaac rebounding in the Caribbean.
Dr. Ventrice posted the IBM wx model which does show 95L as a TS and Isaac rebounding in the Caribbean.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:16 am to wickowick
quote:
Fridges float..
Had 3-4 feet of water after Harvey.
Fridges do float but they also lose power and tip. Clearing out fridge and pantry a biohazard.
Everything floats after 2 feet of water including pianos that you can’t budge an inch normally. You’ll also find your bedroom furniture in your living room.
Do not put valuables in/on freestanding furniture because those things float or collapse.
Mattresses do float and don’t tip. Got lucky with a laptop.
Good luck.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:18 am to KwoodTiger
quote:
KwoodTiger
Hey neighbor. I feel like people will let their guard down because the storm will “weaken”.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:20 am to rds dc
quote:
Dr. Ventrice posted the IBM wx model
Ya, sitting here in Cola i'm not really liking that model right now.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:21 am to slackster
Slack, I'm between Savannah and Tybee Island. What do you recommend?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:22 am to bigberg2000
quote:
bigberg2000
100% agree.
Harvey should have been a reminder that it’s the rain/water more than the wind that’s the issue. I now worry more about the potential to stall than the wind.
The eye of Ike passed over in 2007. No power for a couple of weeks was a PITA. But, not still rebuilding more than 1 year later like Harvey.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:25 am to KwoodTiger
Yeah to me unless you are right on the coast wind shouldn’t be your concern for most if not all storms. I am over here by sharkys and luckily I am on second floor and I stayed at my moms near Atascocita for Harvey.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:27 am to monsterballads
quote:
Charleston and Beaufort area could be hit hard by this one
Yet in Charleston the VA is still requiring us to come to work.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:29 am to PsychTiger
quote:
Yet in Charleston the VA is still requiring us to come to work.
I don't think anyone in Charleston is taking this seriously yet. I-26 is virtually empty in all four lanes up to Cola.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:31 am to bigberg2000
quote:
Yeah to me unless you are right on the coast wind shouldn’t be your concern for most if not all storms.
Typically you're good from the major hurricane type winds if you're a bit inland. Get a storm with a big windfield though, and you can ride through prolonged hurricane force winds well away from the center.
Which downed trees and widespread power outages won't be helpful if you got flood clean up to deal with too.
Eyewall replacement definitely going now. Which, again, expands the windfield more still.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 8:34 am
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:34 am to Duke
Ohh yeah I agree with you, just that people downplay flooding with these things they just say ohh 80 mph winds ain’t shite I’m staying home.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:36 am to rds dc
quote:
A combo of data suggest that Florence has never fully restructured the storm core after the 1st ERC and is likely starting another one this morning. With all that said, Florence is still a very large and dangerous storm.
Chances of strengthening before landfall?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:38 am to bigberg2000
quote:
Ohh yeah I agree with you, just that people downplay flooding with these things they just say ohh 80 mph winds ain’t shite I’m staying home.
I've been one of those people.
Then I've had my house flooded, like many of us in Louisiana and Houston over the past couple of years. I can't imagine getting preped for that, trying to get pets and stuff to higher ground, while 70 mph gusts are rocking outside.
It's a threat that's hard for people to imagine. They really need to know that smell to take it seriously.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:38 am to wickowick
quote:
Fridges float...
They can also be rather handy in the event of a nuclear blast.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:38 am to rds dc
quote:It shows a lot more than that. A new storm just off the carolinas forms too.
Dr. Ventrice posted the IBM wx model which does show 95L as a TS and Isaac rebounding in the Caribbean
Posted on 9/12/18 at 8:40 am to Duke
Duke is there a micro pass confirming that?
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