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Message

re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by metallica81788
NO
Member since Sep 2008
10540 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:10 pm to
Hopefully not everybody is leaving with me in the middle of the night. Trying to get my route together back to NOLA.

26 up to Cola then via Augusta/Atlanta
vs
95 to Jacksonville then 10 (my usual preferred)
vs
backroads to somewhere
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21504 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:10 pm to
95L is getting that look and it might be sooner rather than later.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

I'm not going to read through nearly 200 pages... would someone please let me know what Peej predicted?



He didn't, making the forecast a lot more challenging.
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:11 pm to
I honestly hope he's learned his lesson and stays away from these threads.
Posted by LSUtigerMD
Member since Nov 2005
1162 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:11 pm to
This may make some people feel better...,

“Class I” buildings at the Brunswick Power Plant “are designed to withstand 300-mph tornado winds,” according to a 2004 report from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (pdf). “The nominal plant grade results in 2 feet of water depth surrounding the plant during maximum surge conditions, and all of the safety-related structures are waterproofed to an elevation of 22 feet,” the report said.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178840 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Do people really hope something would happen?




yes and no. the correct answer is for me to say no, the real answer is for me to say yes.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

26 up to Cola then via Augusta/Atlanta


I'd go from ATL to Montgomery to Mobile on in

Should only take 7 or so hours (from Atlanta to New Orleans)
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 1:21 pm
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:20 pm to
Any idea where Issac is predicted to go long range?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:21 pm to


The Euro with a coastal stall now.

Not that I'd want to see that happen, but highlights how the steering just disappears near landfall.

And the fricking kicker:



This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 1:23 pm
Posted by Azazello
Member since Sep 2011
3231 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:22 pm to
We drove from Durham to Jackson today. Empty roads. Nobody I know from the triangle is leaving. Better safe than sorry!
Posted by Mudminnow
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2004
34216 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

I honestly hope he's learned his lesson and stays away from these threads.


Many people took Peej's prediction about the Baton Rouge flood event as just an afternoon rain spritzer. I'm really surprised he still made weather predictions after that event.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:23 pm to
Euro is...well, here is Euro at 120 hrs

Posted by TigerBait1971
PTC GA
Member since Oct 2014
16374 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

I am genuinely curious what they are going to do to keep the rods cool in event of power failure.


Back up generators and pumps run on diesel.

Fukishima had these as well, but they were located at ground level and were flooded.

Hopefully this plant is smarter and the back-ups are located at an elevated position.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21504 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:23 pm to
12z Euro going with the stall right on the coast. This might be a case that a stronger 95L is actually a good thing. The upper level outflow from 95L might aid the ridge over the SE just enough to keep Florence from driving inland?
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:23 pm to

72


96


120
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147073 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Upper Low - NHC 11 am Disco

Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:24 pm to
Beaufort folks be like cmon maigne
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:24 pm to
SC after seeing the latest Euro model:

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:26 pm to
quote:


12z Euro going with the stall right on the coast. This might be a case that a stronger 95L is actually a good thing. The upper level outflow from 95L might aid the ridge over the SE just enough to keep Florence from driving inland?



Assuming it doesn't find a path inland eventually.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

We drove from Durham to Jackson today. Empty roads. Nobody I know from the triangle is leaving. Better safe than sorry!


Good move. The will beer will be cold. The a/c will be cool. The College football will be on TV.
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 1:27 pm
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