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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:41 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102599 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

The manager of their townhome community told them "it hasn't flooded there before". Based on the elevation maps they're around 7-10ft above sea level.


They’ve never gotten a Cat 4 before either.

A 20ft surge would put a 7ft elevation under a good bit of water unless they are prettu far inland

Send them this map link and if they’re in the surge areas, they should leave. I would assume a Cat 5 level surge because if this storm reaches that strength it will bring that level of surge even if it weakens before landfall

LINK
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:42 pm to

quote:

got any suggestions?

First link should say NHC, not NHS. But that's just being a dick for the sake of being a dick
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

I've already sent them about 5 MS Gulf Coast storm surge videos today...




Send them this - Euro wave height

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:47 pm to
quote:

ummm isn't the expected storm surge in Wilmington going to be 15-24 ft?? Not also considering tide and wave action.

That city is in the red for evac...those folks are nuts.


Unless things change dramatically, no one should remain in Wilmington. It's that simple.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109164 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

i am probably out late tomorrow night to New Orleans. Was going there next week anyway. Can’t take risks with a 3 month old.


Safe travels.
Posted by crispyUGA
Upstate SC
Member since Feb 2011
16266 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:49 pm to
Sooooo, Bald Head Island might not exist after this, at least as we know it. Is that a real possibility? Because it seems like a real possibility.
Posted by CorkSoaker
Member since Oct 2008
9823 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:49 pm to
I’m sorry. I know you are tying to convince them and that’s hard on you too. They seriously may not make it through this if they stay. Please tell me they don’t have kids.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:49 pm to
Send them clips from that movie the Perfect Storm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102599 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:49 pm to
Considering Wilmington will likely get the NE quadrant of this storm he should send his friends pictures of Bay St. Louis post Katrina because that’s what that town will look like










Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:50 pm to
Hey thanks don’t know how I missed that!
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

I’m sorry. I know you are tying to convince them and that’s hard on you too. They seriously may not make it through this if they stay. Please tell me they don’t have kids.


They don't. I'm pretty confident my wife and I can convince them in the next 24 hours.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

They don't. I'm pretty confident my wife and I can convince them in the next 24 hours.



At least get them just a little inland. Somewhere like Greenville or Florence.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78344 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:57 pm to
Wow. Have a friend with family on the Outerbanks. From what I am told her uncle copyrighted the 'OBX' acronym or something.

Apparently her parents are deciding to ride it out. Having a hurricane party end of the week.

Dumbasses.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 7:57 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:57 pm to
quote:


I have the sneaking suspicion our new neighbors don’t fully understand how this works. I’ve got more than 1 sideways look when getting the hurricane kit ready


Are they not from the area?

People on the East Coast know just as much if not more than people in La what the effects of a major hurricane can be.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

They do. He works at a hospital so he's likely to be called in for mandatory staffing. And even if he isn't they've heard "they won't be able to get back in" next Tuesday when he's back on shift.

I've already told them that the authorities blocking access back into town will let medical personnel through.

I'm going to go through the shite we dealt with in the 10-14 days after Katrina and see if that changes their mind


This one is a beast. I hope you can convince them to move inland.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

They won’t have to worry. The marines at camp lejune will come rescue them.

My son is there and they are not allowed to leave. Frick their personal belongings cars/trucks etc. they are 7 miles inland but right on the river.


To be fair the coast guard was in New Orleans the next day too. Thousand people plus cant make that mistake again.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

People on the East Coast know just as much if not more than people in La what the effects of a major hurricane can be.


Not really.

There hasn't been a major direct hit from a hurricane on the east coast since 1989.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31525 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:59 pm to
Is it a pride thing? I can’t imagine why people would do that
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:59 pm to
They'll want to keep a flashlight or two, an axe, and rope in the attic. Id also suggest taking a look now at the chopping angle. It can be tough to get enough force in tight spots to cut through, so they should have an idea where they'll have the best angle to cut through or just have a chainsaw or something.

The rope obviously to tie themselves off as to not get swept away when on top of the roof. They need to legitimately plan for a roof escape.
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24817 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:00 pm to
That’s really dumb
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