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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:27 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

I'm going to go through the shite we dealt with in the 10-14 days after Katrina and see if that changes their mind.



While that should give anyone pause, but the surge potential should scare the shite out of them. If the surge forecasts verify, they're quite literally putting their lives at risk at that elevation unless I'm missing something about their location.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:27 pm to
You can’t tell people how bad it is and make them understand.

No reflection on intelligence, they just can’t imagine that kind of power.

It’s frustrating for those who know and want to save friends/family trauma or worse.

They’ll learn for themselves. It’s human nature.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

While that should give anyone pause, but the surge potential should scare the shite out of them. If the surge forecasts verify, they're quite literally putting their lives at risk at that elevation unless I'm missing something about their location.



I've already sent them about 5 MS Gulf Coast storm surge videos today...
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:28 pm to
Well someone had to do something got any suggestions?
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15746 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:29 pm to
You can live in Wilmington and be 5-10 miles inland from the ocean.
Posted by Azazello
Member since Sep 2011
3231 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:29 pm to
I’m honestly shocked here in Durham. Everyone I know is staying put, we are the only people leaving. frick roasting here for days with no power.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

You can’t tell people how bad it is and make them understand.

No reflection on intelligence, they just can’t imagine that kind of power.

It’s frustrating for those who know and want to save friends/family trauma or worse.

They’ll learn for themselves. It’s human nature.


Too true. This was the mentality in NOLA pre-K. That is not the mentality now.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

I’m honestly shocked here in Durham. Everyone I know is staying put, we are the only people leaving.


All those relocated Yankees probably don't know that a North Carolina exists outside Raleigh-Durham.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42137 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

It seems people really underestimate the power of that much water rolling in over a few hrs worth of time.


They can't grasp that much water rise. It was unbelievable to see salt water rust marks 40' up a water tower after Rita.

Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

You can live in Wilmington and be 5-10 miles inland from the ocean.


Theres a river next to Wilmington, no?

So if theres a 20' wall of water at one end of the river, and feet of rain falling in the watershed upstream- where exactly do these people expect the water to go? Thats also ignoring the 24+ hrs of hurricane winds and a possible landfalling hurricane with 140+ mph winds.

Some people are just insane.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Gotcha. Can guess at it here, but that's certainly rds territory. Wouldn't mind an overly technical explaination myself.



Just to clarify, major Pacific storms:

Tip



Haiyan



Meranti



Megi



Patricia



They all have substantial southern halves, if not completely skewed that way. I know it's mostly outflow, but they still skew to the south.

Meanwhile, Atlantic storms seem to be more symmetrical or random.

Irma



Allen



Katrina



Rita

Posted by gmrkr5
NC
Member since Jul 2009
15143 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:36 pm to
As someone who just moved to the triangle area from Louisiana, I just want to say this is some bullshite

That being said, fridge/pantry is stocked, gas cans are full, and generac is ready to roar.

I have the sneaking suspicion our new neighbors don’t fully understand how this works. I’ve got more than 1 sideways look when getting the hurricane kit ready
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
71118 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:36 pm to
I am trying to bring hope and optimism to this thread lol
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

I've already sent them about 5 MS Gulf Coast storm surge videos today...



All you can do man.

There's a lot of cases on here when people ask if they should leave, where it's like "it's gonna suck afterwards, I'd head inland" but then there's what you're talking about. Where it's they could die. I really hope they don't have kids or pets.
Posted by lazcreek
Galvez
Member since Feb 2004
1125 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:37 pm to
They won’t have to worry. The marines at camp lejune will come rescue them.

My son is there and they are not allowed to leave. Frick their personal belongings cars/trucks etc. they are 7 miles inland but right on the river.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

You can’t tell people how bad it is and make them understand.

No reflection on intelligence, they just can’t imagine that kind of power.

It’s frustrating for those who know and want to save friends/family trauma or worse.

They’ll learn for themselves. It’s human nature.



The good news in modern America is that the chances of dying because of your stupidity (outside of Katrina/a bowl) are still incredibly low. It's almost a certainty they'll survive without harm, but they'll be miserable for two weeks nonetheless. They'll regret it.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

You can live in Wilmington and be 5-10 miles inland from the ocean.



Except they aren't. They're closer to Sea Breeze than Wilmington.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:40 pm to
One thing instantly jumps out.

Every storm you show in the Atlantic has a landmass nearby, though certainly Irma is a bit of an exception considering it's Cuba. Every Pac storm has warm open ocean on the south side.

At best speculation on my part though.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:40 pm to
The stadium effect of those storms is just crazy.

Beautiful, yet terrible at the same time.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 7:41 pm to
ummm isn't the expected storm surge in Wilmington going to be 15-24 ft?? Not also considering tide and wave action.

That city is in the red for evac...those folks are nuts.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 7:42 pm
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