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Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:52 am to Duke
quote:
Saw last night an image of her location and all the storms we know of crossing/near that spot. Zero US landfalls.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:55 am to rds dc
What storm is that that became a TS again over Iowa?
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:55 am to rds dc
Now all storms that passed the area of the current position.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 8:02 am to rds dc
I was telling someone yesterday you never see a storm take this path to the east coast by cutting across the middle of the Atlantic. This is historical.
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 8:03 am
Posted on 9/7/18 at 8:44 am to Zephyrius
quote:quote:
The news media had to come up with a new term to hype a tropical storm by referring to it as Super Storm Sandy
Not quite... the powers that be determined it as a "sub-tropical" storm when it made land fall although it had the punch of Cat 1 or so. Determining Sandy as sub-tropical allowed insureds to avoid the Hurricane deductible on their policies.
yeah that's how I remember it... it still had like Cat 1 level winds but had lost tropical characteristics
hence why the NHC has started giving out "post-tropical cyclone" advisories for storms like that
Posted on 9/7/18 at 8:48 am to rds dc
quote:
but the 00z Euro EPS opened up a far south option.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 8:48 am to rds dc
The 00z Euro EPS and UK Ensembles had the farthest south tracks of the 00z models, Florence is currently tracking towards the southern side of the short range spread.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:06 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
What storm is that that became a TS again over Iowa?
That looks like the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900. It technically didn't become a "tropical storm" again because it was classified as extra-tropical, but it apparently combined with something else in the atmosphere about the time it hit Iowa and continued to be a strong storm. It had hurricane force winds through parts of northern NY, Canada, and Maine. That storm was one bad sumbitch. Being 1900 and all, I bet that surprised the hell out of some folks in its path in the Northeast.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:10 am to LSUGrad9295
yeah, that thing is ridiculous if that graphic is accurate. a CAT 1 as far inland as Dallas.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:18 am to rds dc
quote:
The 00z Euro EPS and UK Ensembles had the farthest south tracks of the 00z models
UKMet had been riding a southern solution for days it seems like.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:27 am to Duke
Any idea of the intensity forecast at the time landfall?
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:28 am to The Boat
quote:I keep saying that it still hasn't happened. Just looking at how far out it is and how far north it is tells me that there is a lot of space and time left before anything is set in stone. Its not historic yet, becaue it hasn't happened. I'm still thinking it will turn out to sea.
was telling someone yesterday you never see a storm take this path to the east coast by cutting across the middle of the Atlantic. This is historical
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:31 am to CidCock
quote:
Any idea of the intensity forecast at the time landfall?
That far out is tough to say with certainty but the shear would be low and the water plenty warm enough to support a major hurricane. The model runs hitting the coast all have been in the major hurricane range recently.
I'd keep a close watch, especially if you've got interests in the lowcountry.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:32 am to Duke
quote:
That far out is tough to say with certainty but the shear would be low and the water plenty warm enough to support a major hurricane. The model runs hitting the coast all have been in the major hurricane range recently.
I'd keep a close watch, especially if you've got interests in the lowcountry.
I'd say within 48 hours, we'd know a lot more about the forecast of intensity.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:38 am to rds dc
quote:
Alright, there's a track at the far left of this graphic that comes out of the spaghetti as a tropical storm over North Texas, turns into a tropical depression over Kansas, turns back into a tropical storm over the upper midwest, then becomes a hurricane over Canada. WTF?
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:41 am to Jim Rockford
Thats the great Galveston Hurricane of 1900. LINK
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:41 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Alright, there's a track at the far left of this graphic that comes out of the spaghetti as a tropical storm over North Texas, turns into a tropical depression over Kansas, turns back into a tropical storm over the upper midwest, then becomes a hurricane over Canada. WTF?
See my post above. This is the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900
Posted on 9/7/18 at 9:42 am to rds dc
When is the last time NC or Va got slammed by a major Hurricane ?
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 9:46 am
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