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Message

re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/6/18 at 6:49 pm to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43292 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 6:49 pm to
You know what would be crazy is the wave that just came off Africa get classified as Helene, then 92L gets classified as Issac.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102538 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 6:52 pm to
Florence is almost back to a TS. Went down as fast as she went up.

How long until it reaches a more favorable environment?
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109128 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:04 pm to
I have to post on page 100 so Flo stays away.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

Went down as fast as she went up.

there are pills to help with that, you know






Posted by Dalosaqy
I can't quite re
Member since Dec 2007
13456 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

Just starting to have a little roll to it...

She comin'
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102538 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 10:29 pm to
We now have Tropical Storm Florence. Shear did a number on that storm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

We now have Tropical Storm Florence. Shear did a number on that storm

There were some other hurricanes that fizzled out Sunday night, too
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134788 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

remember the hysteria from Cat 1 Sandy?
Sandy was only a tropical storm at landfall.

The news media had to come up with a new term to hype a tropical storm by referring to it as Super Storm Sandy.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 10:59 pm to
How the hell is the water so hot in the North Atlantic?

Those colors must be blue is hot and red is cold
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/6/18 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

Those colors must be blue is hot and red is cold


It's deviation from the average for the time of year.
Posted by dawgM2
MS
Member since Jan 2013
4265 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:09 am to
Any updates?
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 7:10 am
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:22 am to
quote:

Any updates?


Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102538 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:31 am to
The colors have changed a lot since I posted that. Thread was started August 15. There were above average at the time
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9567 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:31 am to
quote:

The news media had to come up with a new term to hype a tropical storm by referring to it as Super Storm Sandy

Not quite... the powers that be determined it as a "sub-tropical" storm when it made land fall although it had the punch of Cat 1 or so. Determining Sandy as sub-tropical allowed insureds to avoid the Hurricane deductible on their policies.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102538 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:32 am to
Florence has shifted due West now. US landfall looking more and more likely.

How fast it strengthens back up will determine where it hits most likely. It’s only a 65 mph Tropical Storm now
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:34 am to
Still in wait and see mode with Florence but the 00z Euro EPS opened up a far south option.



The 06z GEFS shifted back west after most of the 00z members were OTS.



On 92L, Euro EPS is pretty steady with a westward track and the GEFS is about 50/50.

00z Euro



06z GFS


Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:35 am to
quote:

Still in wait and see mode with Florence but the 00z Euro EPS opened up a far south option.


Oh man, local news is about to ramp up the coverage of this big time.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:45 am to
quote:


Oh man, local news is about to ramp up the coverage of this big time.


I think everyone is, it would be amazingly rare for a storm to hit the 25/50 benchmark and then hit the US.

The models are showing a record breaking ridge over the top of Florence.

Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:48 am to
Nature at her best.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/18 at 7:49 am to
The 6z GFS has a media hype machine type solution:



quote:

it would be amazingly rare for a storm to hit the 25/50 benchmark and then hit the US.


Saw last night an image of her location and all the storms we know of crossing/near that spot. Zero US landfalls.

Of course...

quote:

The models are showing a record breaking ridge over the top of Florence.

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