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Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:32 am to rds dc
The wave just coming off of Africa is already being listed as "Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight"
That's impressive for a wave just coming off of Africa.
That's impressive for a wave just coming off of Africa.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:36 am to rds dc
12z GFS
It also has 92L moving through the Caribbean.
It also has 92L moving through the Caribbean.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:39 am to rds dc
Florence is going to be the big news story next week. Could be a major East Coast threat.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:40 am to rds dc
N.C. outer banks
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 11:52 am
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:41 am to rds dc
This was the 12z model suite:
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:43 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:47 am to deuce985
quote:
Why's it so rare for storms to hit central america? Just curious. Is it geography?
Duke explained it, but essentially every storm wants to go north due to the rotation of the Earth. Many meteorological features keep that from happening, but any weakness in the steering currents to the north will allow a storm to "escape."
Basically, there is a lot of real estate between where storms form and Central America. It's unlikely storms can traverse that distance heading due west before they get a chance to gain latitude and get north of Central America.
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:48 am to rds dc
Thank you to everyone here who post on a daily basis. I feel like sometimes you guys don't get the credit you deserve. The information here is easy to understand and it's spoken in a way that you can put some trust into. I prefer you guys over most other websites and television coverage.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:48 am to LaBR4
quote:
N.C. outer banks
Not Sweating [Sweating]
Folks on Ocracoke might want to start gathering their shite for the ferry
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:51 am to Roll Tide Ravens
TABS looks like something my niece would try to draw on a piece of paper. Love how it goes south, then north, then just loops around. It doesn't know wtf to do. 
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:54 am to Rox
Not sure if sarcasm but no. It was predicted to be pretty average then downgraded again later in the summer. I think the forecast was something like 10-14 named storms with 1-2 major? Something like that.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:56 am to rds dc
92L on the wayyy too far in advance hour 348 looks like it's going to hit right in the Gordon slot.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 11:58 am to BRIllini07
348 hours out
That honestly would be impressive if that thing dwindles that long then takes that path.
That honestly would be impressive if that thing dwindles that long then takes that path.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 12:14 pm to deuce985
quote:
348 hours out
That honestly would be impressive if that thing dwindles that long then takes that path.
Maybe I am looking at this backwards...but I would kinda be GLAD if a hurricane was predicted to hit me in 348 hours (that is 2 weeks and 12 hours for those scoring at home) because what are the odds that the correct spot could be predicted this far out?
Posted on 9/7/18 at 12:15 pm to rds dc
frickin A
Thankfully my little cousin’s internship in Wilmington ended last week.
Thankfully my little cousin’s internship in Wilmington ended last week.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 12:19 pm to LSUGrad9295
quote:
ut I would kinda be GLAD if a hurricane was predicted to hit me in 348 hours (that is 2 weeks and 12 hours for those scoring at home) because what are the odds that the correct spot could be predicted this far out?
One of the models had Harvey pegged 9 days out with the epic rainfall.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 12:22 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
looks like it's going to hit right in the Gordon slot.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 12:24 pm to LSUGrad9295
quote:
Maybe I am looking at this backwards...but I would kinda be GLAD if a hurricane was predicted to hit me in 348 hours (that is 2 weeks and 12 hours for those scoring at home) because what are the odds that the correct spot could be predicted this far out?
Yes and no. The bigger issues is that the first 5 days keep 92L on a potential GOM entry. The final solution at that point is usually wildly inaccurate, but sometimes the end result is the same.
In other words, the GFS track for 92L is highly unlikely to occur in that exact order, but it could still end up in that general area down the road.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 1:04 pm to slackster
quote:
The final solution at that point
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