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Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:00 am to OmniPundit
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:00 am to OmniPundit
quote:
Yes, I remember it. As far as I know, I'm the oldest poster on TD. (I'm well over 80.) If it happened in the last 75 years I probably remember it.
If you're like most people well over 80, you remember everything from 75 years ago all the way up to 5 years ago.
2
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:03 am to theOG
quote:
Disney is unfrickwithable
Disney is probably one of the safest places in FL to ride out a hurricane.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:04 am to slackster
Just got a notification from The Weather Channel App that Dorian may strengthen to a Cat. 4. Is this actually in the realm of possibility or are they wishcasting?
ETA: I trust the OT more than the weather channel trying to get views.
ETA: I trust the OT more than the weather channel trying to get views.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 10:06 am
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:05 am to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:
Made my account a few months after the tuscaloosa tornado, which I was also present for. Catastrophic storms seem to follow me
You should probably get on a ship and sail next to other ships (according to all applicable rules and laws of the seas, of course) and offer to frick off if the other ships pay you.
Life's all about identifying the opportunities sitting in front of you and capitalizing on them.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:06 am to PorkSammich
quote:
Disney is probably one of the safest places in FL to ride out a hurricane.
Plus, once the storm's done, they're gonna be up and open ASAP and the parks will be empty because the scared and weak of character have run home.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:08 am to al_cajun
quote:
Just got a notification from The Weather Channel App that Dorian may strengthen to a Cat. 4. Is this actually in the realm of possibility or are they wishcasting?
Yes, that's a very real possibility. Read a few pages back.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:10 am to al_cajun
quote:
ust got a notification from The Weather Channel App that Dorian may strengthen to a Cat. 4. Is this actually in the realm of possibility or are they wishcasting?
It’s possible, but there’s no certainty.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:13 am to TigerstuckinMS
11AM advisory has it smashing here into the Space Coast as a 4. Gulp.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:13 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Vero Beach is right in the center of the cone.....
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:15 am to PorkSammich
quote:
Disney is probably one of the safest places in FL to ride out a hurricane.
They will make sure the guests are safe during the hurricane, and will be open as soon as possible afterwards. I found out that every tree in Disney has a duplicate held elsewhere on the grounds. If a tree is knocked down, the groundskeepers will replace it quickly with its twin.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:18 am to al_cajun
quote:
Just got a notification from The Weather Channel App that Dorian may strengthen to a Cat. 4. Is this actually in the realm of possibility or are they wishcasting?
Once it makes it a bit further north, there is nothing but high energy and favorable conditions.
Rapid intensification is hard to predict, but it's certainly setting up to be a possibility.
And the way the atmosphere is setting up, I don't think heading out to sea is going to be an option here. Someone in the US is going to have to deal with this MF.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:19 am to JustinBRLA
Who's advisory is that Yikes!!!
Anticipating the 12z models to start rolling in...
Anticipating the 12z models to start rolling in...
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:20 am to LSURussian
quote:
What I am saying here is that if a storm has enough forward speed, it is going to push the ridge out of the way.
30 years ago, it was certainly a line of thinking that major canes could "push their own path" and not be influenced by other weather features.
We've debunked that in the last 30 years.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:22 am to LSUFanHouston
quote:
Someone in the US is going to have to deal with this MF.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:27 am to JustinBRLA
Ugh. That pic you posted, while further North, reminds me of friggin Andrew.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:31 am to slackster
quote:This.
If you're like most people well over 80, you remember everything from 75 years ago all the way up to 5 years ago.
My late father, right up until a couple of months before he passed away last October at age 87, could name every one of his immediate neighbors on the street he lived on in 1938 - but damned if he could tell you where he put his keys five minutes earlier
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:34 am to FearlessFreep
My grandma is 95. She can remember crazy details about everything from like 1940-2000
Cant remember what happened 5 minutes ago though.
Cant remember what happened 5 minutes ago though.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:34 am to LSUFanHouston
quote:
, I don't think heading out to sea is going to be an option here.
There is a possibility but it's a lower one vs Florida impact. It's really a question of where it is when the expected weakness in the ridge opens up. The more likely scenario is a turn once inland over Florida, as the stronger ensambles have it farther south and inland fast enough.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:34 am to LSUFanHouston
quote:
And the way the atmosphere is setting up, I don't think heading out to sea is going to be an option here.
Why? The bend in the right side of the cone seems more pronounced as the storm approaches land than it was earlier...
Oops, thanks Duke. You type faster - and know more - than I do.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 10:36 am
Posted on 8/29/19 at 10:40 am to LSUFanHouston
quote:
Rapid intensification is hard to predict, but it's certainly setting up to be a possibility.
If it’s slowing way down on its way in, it doesn’t even have to intensify that rapidly. I read earlier that landfall is being forecast for Monday, so that’s 4 more days over open, bath water temperature ocean
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