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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:10 pm to
Posted by LurkerTooLong
Lakeview, NOLA
Member since Aug 2016
1952 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

But, for some of the residents of those islands in the target zone, couldn't they have been evacuated by the govt to other Bahamian islands not in the path?


I mean, what wasn’t in the path
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30955 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

I’m a weather nerd and keep up with this stuff and I’m just trying to think of a hurricane parking like Dorian while staying at least a high 4.

Has this ever happened?

I know storms like Harvey and Carmen stalled after landfall but at lower strength.

Stalling and staying a 5 or high 4 for this long?

Is there a precedent?

No expert here, but I’ve been fascinated and followed hurricanes since Andrew in ‘92 and I’ve never seen a major cat5 stop like this.

I’ve never seen one go to zero miles per hour as a Cat 4. This is unprecedented imo.

ETA: it’s essentially a tornado, hurricane, tsunami sitting on top of you for hours. Never seen anything like this.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:15 pm
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46338 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:13 pm to
Right? Let’s evacuate them to another shanty town on another island. They aren’t putting these people in the resorts and they likely don’t know people with larger, sturdier, higher homes well enough to go there or they would. The schools aren’t solid enough to shelter them in many areas. Are they supposed to just shuffle them from one island to another?
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46758 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

I mean, what wasn’t in the path


A lot of the Bahamas.

Dorian is on the move. I am looking at different maps and they are looking like it will have moved about 20 miles to the NW by 1 am, EST. It appears to be a total of a little over 30-35 expected by 6 am.
Posted by Hat Tricks
Member since Oct 2003
28935 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:22 pm to
quote:


Maybe put a little back in case of emergency? Oh I forgot we cant encourage poor people to save for emergencies.


Some of them are lucky if they make 40 in an entire fricking day.
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
26662 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:23 pm to
Looks like some of the cloud tops may be cooling again, especially to the south of the center.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

Are they supposed to just shuffle them from one island to another?


Yes. That’s what they do.

However, the problem is, when and how they get back to their home island.

If they get shuttled to a neighboring island they never know when or how they will get back. So they just don’t leave.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20515 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Maybe feed her to some bears.


PETA would consider that animal abuse. And for once I'd agree with them.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
29713 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79820 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

I mean, what wasn’t in the path
As I recall a decent bit of the island chain. I'm not faulting the poor citizens. Could their govt have a plan in place? The chain is about 600 miles in length and gets hit about once every four years.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79820 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Stalling and staying a 5 or high 4 for this long?
I recall about ten years ago people always saying a storm this strong went where it wanted and that was north, poleward. I guess that was bullshite.
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6655 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:42 pm to
Hook not shiney enough.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39092 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:43 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:43 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79820 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

Right? Let’s evacuate them to another shanty town on another island. They aren’t putting these people in the resorts and they likely don’t know people with larger, sturdier, higher homes well enough to go there or they would. The schools aren’t solid enough to shelter them in many areas. Are they supposed to just shuffle them from one island to another?
Maybe the govt should get on the stick...
quote:

The Bahamas is the richest country in the West Indies and the third wealthiest country in the Americas.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
6200 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:44 pm to
Last few frames of the IR show the eye wobbling south southeast.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79820 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:44 pm to
What hook? I simply recall it being said that Cat 4-5 storms went where they wanted.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64505 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:48 pm to
Its always weird to me how these things never really look THAT bad on radar

Of course I know it’s a monster
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

Last few frames of the IR show the eye wobbling south southeast.


It's a bit of an illusion. Dorian isn't moving at all.

quote:

Its always weird to me how these things never really look THAT bad on radar


I'm not sure exactly why but radar doesn't often do tropical rain justice. When you turn over to the velocities though...you get the idea pretty clearly.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:55 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53868 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:54 pm to
What are the winds in that band in Palm Beach right now?
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 8:15 pm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46758 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

What hook? I simply recall it being said that Cat 4-5 storms went where they wanted.


There was a big discussion on that in this thread last night. You should read a little of it.
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