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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:06 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

Any chance of strengthening again?

Unlikely, sea-surface temps will not be as favorable as it gains latitude.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

Unlikely, sea-surface temps will not be as favorable as it gains latitude.


1)gulf stream

2)sst's are warm enough up to obx for tropical weather
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69067 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

Most people are living paycheck to paycheck barely making ends meet. How the frick are these people supposed to just up and leave for 2-3 days and pay for gas, hotel, food, etc?


The Bahamians should have just done like those posters would have done: load up the Suburban with Jaeden and Brayden and roll out on the highway to higher ground on Abaco.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:10 pm to
You can see degradation in the western eyewall, indicating some weakening. the Hurricane Hunters have also noted an exposed western eyewall.


Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

2)sst's are warm enough up to obx for tropical weather

I'm not saying they aren't supportive of tropical cyclones. I just don't think they are going to be favorable enough for rapid strengthening like we say before it hit the Bahamas.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 6:12 pm
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46338 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:12 pm to
Any chance it just keeps ramping down and goes away completely before any landfall upper east coast?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Good news. Any chance of strengthening again?


There's a short term window as Dorian pulls north, as it'll pass on the gulf stream and should have the outflow to support some modest increase in strength. The Euro/GFS show some modest strengthening in the next 18 hours.

Big picture, doesn't change much. Some hints of another ERC could be trying to get going. Struggling with interference with Grand Bahama in terms of friction and probably sucked enough heat out of the surrounding water to slow down the inner core.

The bigger Dorian gets though, the lower the max winds with the wider spread of hurricane force winds. So we increase the impacts for the east coast if Dorian does another replacement.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

I just don't think they are going to be favorable enough for rapid strengthening like we say before it hit the Bahamas.


God willing
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Any chance it just keeps ramping down and goes away completely before any landfall upper east coast?


I wouldn't think there would be that rapid of a ramping down. I would still expect it to remain a hurricane as it passes Georgia and the Carolinas, I just don't know what strength.

Like Duke said, even with weakening, Dorian will increase in size, meaning the spread of hurricane force winds actually get wider, even if they aren't as strong.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 6:15 pm
Posted by Long Dong Silvers
Member since Mar 2019
51 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:15 pm to
Ann Culter compares dorian to illegal aliens


Shes a wretched individual
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 6:19 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:18 pm to
Check out this almost backwards wobble:

This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 6:19 pm
Posted by Long Dong Silvers
Member since Mar 2019
51 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:19 pm to
Your drunk Dorian, go home
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69067 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:23 pm to
It’s like wobbling in a circle. Hopefully it weakens it more.

That trough needs to get here and get it off the Bahamas.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6984 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

The Bahamians should have just done like those posters would have done: load up the Suburban with Jaeden and Brayden and roll out on the highway to higher ground on Abaco.


Many probably did. In some of the pictures and video of the aftermath there are plenty of cars moving around. Some spots on abaco are 50+ feet, not many, but enough where they could all evacuate to.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

Just curious, have you ever been through a hurricane?

Ever had to pack your shite, secure your property and evacuate?

Ever lost everything you own due to a hurricane?

Ever decided to stay and ride out a CAT 2/3 or higher?

I have a feeling the answer is no to everyone of those questions.


You forgot to add:

Ever come back home after a mandatory evacuation only to find your house has been burglarized?

Ever wait in line for 30 minutes just to get gas , so you can go 5 mph on the interstate leaving town?

Ever had to go live with a relative for months while your house is being rebuilt?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36747 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:33 pm to
Did she say nobody wants them and they cost a shite ton of money?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74952 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:34 pm to
Please tell me one of you found that shite head posting earlier and kicked him in the nuts.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51674 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:35 pm to
Just once, I'd like to see them drop a nice, large drone in the center of one of these, and let the drone hover there and provide live, satellite up link video from right in the middle until the drone's batteries die.

I bet you could get some really cool video of the inner eye wall rotation, and look down below to the ground from in the center in a 360 degree rotation.

This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 6:36 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74952 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:36 pm to
If I'm not mistaken someone did this with a recent storm. Not a long duration recording, but it was a good video.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:37 pm to
quote:


Ever come back home after a mandatory evacuation only to find your house has been burglarized?

Ever wait in line for 30 minutes just to get gas , so you can go 5 mph on the interstate leaving town?

Ever had to go live with a relative for months while your house is being rebuilt?


Have you?

I can honestly answer no to all 3 of your questions and I’ve probably been through more hurricanes than you and that Buckeye guy combined.
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