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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:23 pm to dallastiger55
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:23 pm to dallastiger55
On infrared satellite Dorian is looking about as impressive as ever over the last few hours.
2
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:24 pm to BayouENGR
Goes to show you how nobody knows anything. Worthless profession
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:26 pm to ScaryClown
quote:
ScaryClown
Go away.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:29 pm to notiger1997
If ratings and commercial potential value were a thing meteorology for hurricanes would be a real thing. He's right.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:33 pm to Bedhog
quote:
If ratings and commercial potential value were a thing meteorology for hurricanes would be a real thing. He's right.
He's completely wrong.
The NHC's most recent projection vs the one 48 hours ago are within 132 nm of one another. Their average error on a 5 day forecast is actually 175 nm, so they're currently doing better for Dorian than their 5 year trailing average.
ETA - it's the equivalent of saying it will be in Beaumont 5 days from now and it actually hitting Morgan City. That kind of error is perfectly reasonable 5 days out. Florida's peninsula, however, is less that 130 nm across, so a reasonable amount of error could mean a complete miss of the state.
This post was edited on 8/31/19 at 3:37 pm
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:38 pm to slackster
Its fear mongering with commercial value at its core. Watch that cone movement link a few posts ago.
That should be criminal.
That should be criminal.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:39 pm to slackster
Power of prayer will keep it out in the Atlantic
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:39 pm to rds dc
That neon Green track is crazy.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:39 pm to slackster
I suspect you're wasting your breath.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:41 pm to Bedhog
That's because people like you don't understand fluidity and how these situations evolve daily. It's not fear mongering.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:42 pm to Bedhog
quote:
Its fear mongering with commercial value at its core. Watch that cone movement link a few posts ago.
That should be criminal.
You're incapable of understanding what you're even seeing. The cone movement conversations are always comical.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:44 pm to slackster
Nevermind. Continue. I'm enjoying this. 
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:46 pm to Cosmo
quote:Cooled irl.
Damn, the ocean is gonna get flooded AF
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:47 pm to slackster
Meteorologists got it wrong. If you say they didn't then you're agreeing that their professional opinions on Hurricanes are bunk. Why even start talking about the potential of these storms so far out with this kind of degree of error?
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:47 pm to LegendInMyMind
Had to look it up. Not that much difference. Is this metric or some other obscure measurement. I'm thinking the latter.
1 Nautical Mile = 1.15077945 Miles
Metric system advocate.
1 Nautical Mile = 1.15077945 Miles
Metric system advocate.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:47 pm to slackster
Water Vapor looks like a slowly strengthening storm. Filled in around the core a little better to the west this afternoon. A bit more symmetric. Still outflowing bigly to the east.
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:49 pm to Bedhog
quote:
If you say they didn't then you're agreeing that their professional opinions on Hurricanes are bunk. Why even start talking about the potential of these storms so far out with this kind of degree of error?
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:52 pm to Duke
Nice reply. Prove me wrong. BTW, looks like the west winds are dipping w/sw now.
This post was edited on 8/31/19 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 8/31/19 at 3:54 pm to slackster
fwiw- If I learned anything from Barry & Dorian, it’s that Hurricane Cones are much more reliable with fast moving storms rather than slow ones.
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