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Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:04 am to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:04 am to LegendInMyMind
I know something else getting 2-4 inches in the St Augustine area on Thursday 
1
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:08 am to VolSquatch
quote:
I know something else getting 2-4 inches in the St Augustine area on Thursday
Hope he at least takes you to lunch first.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:09 am to Splackavellie
quote:
Hope he at least takes you to lunch first.
Conch Fritters at the Beachcomber, bub
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:11 am to NOSHAU
quote:
Some either live near those areas or have family there.
i live in LA and i laugh when others make jokes at our expense... it is what it is
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:19 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Conch Fritters at the Beachcomber, bub
Where A street meets the beach, yo.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:24 am to Cosmo
quote:
Lows in low 60s down to i10
Those are just under my current highs.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:24 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
That is a bad look for inland flooding concerns. That puts 8-12" of rain in the foothills. It doesn't take much in those hills and hollers to really cause problems.
The Birmingham meteorologists have been discussing the storm interacting with a cold front, which could pump up rain totals in the eastern half of Alabama into Tennessee.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:27 am to Duke
quote:
Duke
quote:
Those are just under my current highs.
Nobody like a braggart.
(Actually I am envious).
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:31 am to Duke
quote:i’m in kitterege and BV this week it’s glorious
Those are just under my current highs.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:31 am to alphaandomega
quote:
Nobody like a braggart.
(Actually I am envious).
Tell him to check back in when it is -15°, blowing 30+ , and he has icicles hanging from his nose.
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 11:39 am
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:36 am to Duke
What’s the outlook for the Orlando area?
Posted on 9/24/24 at 11:39 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Tell him to check back in when it is -15°, blowing 30+ , and he has icicles hanging from his nose.
Gotta wear layers, baw.
And alcohol. A lot of alcohol.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:01 pm to Duke
quote:
Helene is moving a little faster toward the northwest (310/10 kt)
as it moves around a mid-level area of high pressure located over
Florida and the Southeastern U.S. The high is expected to slide
eastward through Wednesday as a deep-layer trough digs southward
over the Lower Mississippi Valley. This pattern evolution should
cause the system to turn northward and north-northeastward late
Wednesday into Thursday. The track guidance is very tightly
clustered, which would normally imply high forecast confidence.
However, depending on exactly where the center forms could end up
shifting the entire guidance suite in future cycles, so it is
imperative to not focus on specific landfall locations this far in
the future.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/241459.shtml?
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:06 pm to slackster
Low level center was exposed this morning but is starting to have storms fire off now. Looks like shear is dying down as well as more convection is building to the west and southwest.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:07 pm to Duke
quote:
Those are just under my current highs.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:10 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
The Birmingham meteorologists have been discussing the storm interacting with a cold front, which could pump up rain totals in the eastern half of Alabama into Tennessee.
Yep. Atlanta too. That whole area is going to see some significant rain unless the system tracks further east.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:13 pm to loogaroo
quote:
The track guidance is very tightly clustered, which would normally imply high forecast confidence. However, depending on exactly where the center forms could end up shifting the entire guidance suite in future cycles, so it is imperative to not focus on specific landfall locations this far in the future.
Giving themselves wiggle room for their big miss
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:14 pm to Oates Mustache
12z intensity models are a couple hours old now but still very bullish.
Hasn’t seen it posted so sorry if it’s a duplicate.
Hasn’t seen it posted so sorry if it’s a duplicate.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:20 pm to HogX
quote:
Gotta wear layers, baw.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 12:21 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Giving themselves wiggle room for their big miss
Maybe, but most of the ensembles which help account for different starting points are within the cone too. Destin to Tampa is the reasonable range IMO.
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