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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:03 pm to
Posted by tigerbandpiccolo
Member since Oct 2005
49477 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:03 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 3:04 pm
Posted by DrewDawg13
Athens
Member since Apr 2015
3970 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

Nice. We eat over at Coopers Hawk on Fruitville often. My wife is a member of their wine club.


Haha that's awesome, we were just there on Saturday. We are also wine members there.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

HWRF - 110.7 kts = 125 mph and 934 MB
HMON - 119.9 kts = 140 mph and 930 MB
HAFS-A - 74.2 kts = 85 mph and 965 MB
HAFS-B - 68.2 kts = 80 mph and 965 MB


I does like the HAFS suites general idea.

*Not a forecast, just saying, it dropping the explosive growth is a good sign generally. there are more potential flies in the ointment

This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 7:32 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102666 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Put a nuke on the sea floor - boom- Cool water to the top. Plus all the seafood you can eat. Win-Win


That’s how Cthulhu gets out
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21518 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:46 pm to
quote:


I does like the HAFS suites general idea.


I wouldn't be surprised to see another step back at 00z. The hurricane models show convection building over the NHC 8 pm advisory LLC by 00z. However, convection is currently displaced to the east of the advisory LLC.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42279 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:48 pm to
Lots of dry air and shear. ULL to the West is doing a number on it.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 7:50 pm
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71078 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

It looks like the projections keep moving it to the east




Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108313 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:50 pm to
English please
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71078 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

The lands of the bay Tampa are said to have been blessed by the Tocobaga.



Shields are at max right now


Posted by James11111
Walnut Creek, Ca
Member since Jul 2020
5664 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

18z GFS coming in much weaker than the 12z run. Still a problem, but it is at 966mb instead of 945mb through Thursday at 5pm.




00z Friday would be 7pm Eastern Thursday right? It looks like 966mb is at 00z on Friday at landfall. I ask becasue I have a flight to Atlanta that day and a couple of hours could make a difference.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 7:54 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93623 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

00z Friday would be 7pm Eastern Thursday right?


8:00 PM EDT
Posted by Kim Jong Ir
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2008
55270 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

I wouldn't be surprised to see another step back at 00z. The hurricane models show convection building over the NHC 8 pm advisory LLC by 00z. However, convection is currently displaced to the east of the advisory LLC.



I love it when you talk like this....
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20876 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

English please


Current forecasts may be overestimating the intensity.


Also…..
Posted by Sampson
Thailand
Member since Mar 2012
25065 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:00 pm to
I think it’s my love language
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44832 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

ULL to the West is doing a number on it.


They get mad if you don’t call them Louisiana.
Posted by James11111
Walnut Creek, Ca
Member since Jul 2020
5664 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

8:00 PM EDT


Thanks
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40227 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:07 pm to
they sure do and I never do it. They ARE ULL.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 8:08 pm
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42279 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

They get mad if you don’t call them Louisiana.


True...

I guess that explains the down vote.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42279 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

they sure do and I never do it. They ARE ULL.


The pissed off peppers with penis envy.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40227 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:09 pm to
To anyone in the Florida affected area .. are people prepping? Surely there’s somewhat of a sense of urgency??
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