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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:09 am to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51691 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:09 am to
Posted by BayouENGR
Seagrove Beach
Member since Nov 2015
2915 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:13 am to
GFS can GTFO
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59564 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:24 am to
I like James Spann
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6159 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Why do you keep bringing up Francine? This has nothing to do with that.


Why do you keep claiming the models have to have a center of circulation formed to be somewhat accurate? Most ensembles have been predicting Miss/ panhandle hit for days now and that’s where it’s going to hit
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93621 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:53 am to
You must just be trolling now, or you dumb as frick. Could be both…
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23290 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:54 am to
quote:

You must just be trolling now, or you dumb as frick. Could be both…

Careful that poster is the angriest person I’ve ever seen when it comes to weather.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49668 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Most ensembles have been predicting Miss/ panhandle hit for days now and that’s where it’s going to hit


You don't freaking know that. Yeah things are leaning toward a panhandle landfall right now, but they don't even have a storm right now. So much can change.

There are a few posters on here that know what they are talking about Rummy is one, but you are not.
This post was edited on 9/22/24 at 7:58 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:02 am to
Yeah, I aint comfortable making much of a prediction at all on this.

Florida is certainly looking most likely this morning. Still some potential it misses the east kick and finds a weakness into Louisiana. That scenario is more of a tail risk, but a launching point farther south and west of models leaves that scenario open.
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
25717 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Florida is certainly looking most likely this morning. Still some potential it misses the east kick and finds a weakness into Louisiana. That scenario is more of a tail risk, but a launching point farther south and west of models leaves that scenario open.


I trust what you say even when I don’t like what you have to say, lol.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49668 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Yeah, I aint comfortable making much of a prediction at all on this.

Florida is certainly looking most likely this morning. Still some potential it misses the east kick and finds a weakness into Louisiana. That scenario is more of a tail risk, but a launching point farther south and west of models leaves that scenario ope


exactly

It amazes me how so many will throw out absolutes and we don't even have a storm yet. Sure there are trends but how often do trends end up being what exactly happens? Yeah not often.
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
134620 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:31 am to
I've got a honeymoon in ocean springs starting next weekend


What are the odds I'm screwed and do I need a backup? I don't even know if i can get a refund
Posted by Auburntiger
BTR area
Member since Mar 2005
14570 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:33 am to
quote:

I've got a honeymoon in ocean springs starting next weekend


quote:

What are the odds I'm screwed


If not 100% your marriage won't last
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
134620 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:35 am to
quote:

If not 100% your marriage won't last



Touche. No worries on that front.

I just need to make moves if the Mississippi coast is gonna be kaput.
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39214 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:39 am to
quote:

I've got a honeymoon in ocean springs starting next weekend


Congrats, brother

You deserve it
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:52 am to
quote:

What are the odds I'm screwed and do I need a backup?


Low still. I can come up with a reasonable scenario to get it over here, but Florida still preferred based on upper levels.
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
134620 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Low still. I can come up with a reasonable scenario to get it over here, but Florida still preferred based on upper levels.



Phew. Thank you. I mean I'm sorry for the Florida people, hope it doesn't form at all.
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
11043 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Rummy is one, but you are not.


He’s an admin, not a meteorologist, with that being said the poster he was responding to is a moron
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74835 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

UF just cancelled the rest of their semester and football season
But got an extra home game next year from LSU.

Go Gata!
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74835 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 9:26 am to
quote:

I've got a honeymoon in ocean springs starting next weekend

What are the odds I'm screwed and do I need a backup?
Post pics of her and I’ll let you know if I’m interested.

& congrats!
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16396 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 9:32 am to
Looking like a cool front might be big player keeping this one to the east of us

I hope it fizzles
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