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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:45 pm to JonTheTigerFan
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:45 pm to JonTheTigerFan
quote:
You ever notice Pat's title is "Chief Forecaster"? It's because he's not a meteorologist and has no clue what he's talking about.
I realize this but he takes the one model that shows this thing dying in Mexico. Im sure he is told what to show by someone higher up
0
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:46 pm to JonTheTigerFan
Pats awesome 
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:46 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
I'm no storm guru, but I honestly find it hard to believe that the storm will follow the exact path that they laid out. I expect it to hit Texas, then peter off. Maybe bring some rain to west LA, but then die out.
That's understandable, since you don't often see storms hit such a road block and get kicked back out to sea. That being said, the models are getting to be very consistent with that resolution, so doubt it at your own risk.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:50 pm to slackster
18z still brings Harvey further inland than Euro on first landfall.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:51 pm to slackster
18z GFS is pretty much in lock step with the 12z GFS through 72 hours. Shows Harvey penetrating as far inland as George West before it starts its loop.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:51 pm to Jim Rockford
That's good for Louisiana right?
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 4:52 pm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:52 pm to Jim Rockford
I can't stress enough how bad the GFS has been. When the Euro starts to show something similar to the GFS then I will believe it. And when you have the EURO and NHC both agreeing so closely, you have to go with those two. No way can you side with the GFS at this point.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:52 pm to The Pirate King
quote:they are getting real good at this stuff
storm guru, but I honestly find it hard to believe that the storm will follow the exact path that they laid out. I expect it to hit Texas, then peter off. Maybe bring some rain to west LA, but then die out.
I'm buying my extra gas food ice and drinks. Tonight. Checking generator and getting air cond unit out
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:52 pm to slackster
Looking at the spaghetti models on the first page it seems they don't think it goes back to sea, but just juts over to central la and into oblivion. Are there other models that show it going to sea, reorganizing and shitting on Louisiana?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:52 pm to tiger91
That scenario is, but remember it's a model.
It's just a possible path. The gist here though is the more into Texas it gets, the better it is for us in La.
It's just a possible path. The gist here though is the more into Texas it gets, the better it is for us in La.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:53 pm to RummelTiger
Hey RuPeeJmmel, I cancelled my trip to Austin 5 hours ago. Thanks for nothing.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:53 pm to tiger91
quote:I'm beginning to wonder if "good" and "Louisiana" should ever be included together in a sentence.
That's good for Louisiana right?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:53 pm to tiger91
Depends who in Louisiana.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:53 pm to slackster
by hour 84 it's starting it's approach back to the coast now will it actually show it getting into the Gulf?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:54 pm to burgeman
quote:Yeah. The Euro has been skullfricking LA for the last 2 days
Are there other models that show it going to sea, reorganizing and shitting on Louisiana?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:55 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
Yeah. The Euro has been skullfricking LA for the last 2 days
3 days actually, which is very worrisome.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:56 pm to rds dc
Last 15ish mins of 30sec scans
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:56 pm to lsuman25
About to get the frick out. Mandatory evacs in the small towns. Lines out the arse for sand bags and boards at this point. I've boarded up what I can, getting sand bags now. I'm hoping to be out of here by midnight.
The hotel reservation in San Antonio doesn't look much better.
The hotel reservation in San Antonio doesn't look much better.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:56 pm to slackster
quote:
3 days actually, which is very worrisome.
when is next Euro run?
Trend has been getting worse for LA with each model set. If it continues on next run I'm going to start prep.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:56 pm to rds dc
just an awesome shot and sucks that it will hit land.
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